(05-15-2007 08:18 AM) I'm super bullish on equities and continue to be:
1. Warren Buffet said buy index funds.
2. The Dow Theory has turned super bullish. Richard Russell turns bullish.
"We saw something that is extremely rare [on April 20 and April 25], in fact I can't remember ever having seen this before. What I'm referring to is that on those two dates all three Dow Jones Averages closed at simultaneous historic highs. To me, a fellow steeped in Dow Theory for over half a century, this was like a clap of thunder
... My take on the situation is that the stock market (and the Dow Theory) told us that an unprecedented world boom lies ahead." Russell acknowledges that what he has written will surprise many who are accustomed to his long-standing caution about the stock market. He imagines that we will want to respond by saying "But Russell, you're usually so conservative, so restrained. How can you possibly talk this way? Now you're talking about a worldwide boom. Are you smoking something we don't know about?"
Russell's response:
"I stopped smoking over 40 year ago. No, I'm simply relating to you my interpretation of what the market is saying. I believe the markets talk in their own secret language. And when the market does something that has never been done before, that serves as a 'kick in the pants' for me. It's telling me, 'Russell, wake up. Something very unusual is going on. Get up out of your chair -- and pay attention'."
3. Sentiment remains skeptical.
4. M&A activity surging.
5. China loosens investment restrictions in foreign equity.
6. The super bulls like Henry Dent and Don Hays of the Hays Advisory have been calling it right. They expect Dow 20000 by 2010 and I tend to agree at this point. Read the forecast here:
http://www.hsdent.com/download/dow20000.pdf
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