Results 16,776 to 16,800 of 18222
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10-11-2022, 10:51 AM #16776
Out of TSM. 5 pts on 1/2, 22 on balance.
Thanks pelosi.
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10-12-2022, 03:52 PM #16777
I thought 2008 was a fun learning environment. This will be even better. The politicians and academics do not even have enough knowledge to grasp the problems (they created) and we expect them to fix them.
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10-12-2022, 05:03 PM #16778"We don't beat the reaper by living longer, we beat the reaper by living well and living fully." - Randy Pausch
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10-12-2022, 06:43 PM #16779
I have an eight year timeline. I’m not going to sit on the sidelines nor try to catch a falling knife. I put money in as I get it. Generally I put it into things I already own, things I’ve already researched and still feel confident about. Although, I have taken a few new positions lately, notably F and ARCC.
Sold a $30 strike, Jan 20 call on MRO for $240 today. I’m in it $5.73/share, if crude falls hopefully I can buy it back and take the easy cash. Even if crude soars and I’m assigned I’ll be ok with the 465% increase in less than two and a half years. It only yields 1.1% so I’ve wanted out of it for a while, I could be wrong but I think I’ve milked most of the share price growth out. I’d rather move that $3200 into something yielding higher.
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10-13-2022, 09:50 AM #16780
Market Rollercoaster by the Red Hot Volatility Traders
You give me that funny feeling in my tummy
Ahhh shit, yeah, that's right, huh
Rollercoaster
Of Stocks
Say what?
Rollercoaster
Yeah (QQQ)
Oh, baby, you know what I'm talkin' about
Rollercoaster of stocks (market rollercoaster, child)
Oh, yeah, it's Rollercoaster time
Lovin' you is really wild
Oh, it′s just a volatile rollercoaster
Step right up and get your tickets!
Your price is like a Rollercoaster baby, baby
I wanna ride, yeah (awawawawawaw)
Your price is like a Rollercoaster baby
Baby I wanna ride, yeah!
(as predicted)Last edited by summit; 10-13-2022 at 12:10 PM.
Originally Posted by blurred
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10-13-2022, 10:29 AM #16781
Core CPI inflation isn't slowing. Negative real interest rates aren't controlling inflation. Who could have predicted this?
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10-13-2022, 11:36 AM #16782
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10-13-2022, 11:40 AM #16783Registered User
- Join Date
- Jan 2012
- Location
- Juneau
- Posts
- 1,101
Ah, on the equities side, it feels like were back in July 2020 again.
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10-13-2022, 08:47 PM #16784
Heard someone predict no new ath for the indexes for the next 10 years today. Huh. Well, fuck it dude, I'm goin skiin'..
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10-13-2022, 10:25 PM #16785
No all time highs for 10 years sounds like some serious pessimism. Ski on.
Been thinking of moving off of 100 shares of XOM, watched it perk up before the bell and checked options, things were looking juicy. Ended up setting an order to sell a $125 strike, Jan 20 call for $130 while waiting to give Dantheman a ride back to my shop. It filled before we got back, and then started retreating.
I’m in the 100 $40.70/share, I liked the yield when I bought as they were paying me to hold. Now I’d rather move the money into a midstream or BDC.
If I get a chance to make a quick $50 on either of my option trades I’ll probably take it. Then take that money and put it into EPD or ARCC. Or, if assigned do the same, I can’t see I lose here.
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10-14-2022, 10:20 AM #16786
Cool. Cool. Cool.
https://twitter.com/MstarBenJohnson/...TOo-JySkQ&s=19
Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk
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10-14-2022, 10:42 AM #16787
Took 15 years to make new high on nasdaq after 2000.
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10-14-2022, 11:05 AM #16788
^ yep..
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10-14-2022, 11:13 AM #16789
Is the stock market going to tank?
There are several reasons why stocks can still move higher over time without good fundamentals
1. A lot less publicly traded companies (supply and demand)
2. Stock buybacks continue to chip away at supply
3. 401k and IRA investment is the primary savings vehicle vs pensions 40 years ago.
2021 was a big year for IPO due to SPAC craze but most of those will go away through bankruptcy and delisting.
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10-14-2022, 11:47 AM #16790
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10-14-2022, 12:14 PM #16791
Anyone ever follow the Hedgefundie's Excellent Adventure threads over at Bogleheads?
TLDR- A guy who allegedly works at a Hedge Fund came up with a 3x leveraged risk parity strategy and back tested it. It would have turned $100k into $10MM over a 20 year period.
The idea was to split the portfolios between 3x leveraged equity ETFs and 3x leveraged bond ETFs. When equities fall, bonds have historically been a safe haven. When bonds underperform, equities have usually outperformed.
The insane returns drew in otherwise risk averse Boglehead investors, but in the rising interest rate environment the Hedgefundie portfolios are down 80% or more.
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10-14-2022, 12:38 PM #16792
Is the stock market going to tank?
Delete
Last edited by 4matic; 10-14-2022 at 04:28 PM.
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10-14-2022, 01:31 PM #16793Rod9301
- Join Date
- Jan 2009
- Location
- Squaw valley
- Posts
- 4,671
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10-14-2022, 01:32 PM #16794Rod9301
- Join Date
- Jan 2009
- Location
- Squaw valley
- Posts
- 4,671
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10-14-2022, 01:47 PM #16795
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10-14-2022, 02:03 PM #16796
Found this Twitter thread very interesting as I had heard zip about it on any of this on MSM. Maybe I'm just blind. Maybe it's all just hyperbole?
https://twitter.com/jordanschnyc/sta...tions-228.html
THREAD: The US government's new export controls are wreaking havoc on China's chip industry.
New rules around "US persons" are driving an "industry-wide decapitation.""We don't beat the reaper by living longer, we beat the reaper by living well and living fully." - Randy Pausch
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10-14-2022, 04:12 PM #16797
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10-14-2022, 04:28 PM #16798
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10-14-2022, 07:42 PM #16799Registered User
- Join Date
- Dec 2020
- Location
- Idaho
- Posts
- 1,740
"7.) Restricts the ability of U.S. persons to support the development, or production, of ICs at certain PRC-located semiconductor fabrication “facilities” without a license;"
https://www.bis.doc.gov/index.php/documents/about-bis/newsroom/press-releases/3158-2022-10-07-bis-press-release-advanced-computing-and-semiconductor-manufacturing-controls-final/file
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10-14-2022, 09:48 PM #16800
#4 and the $50 Trillion with a T of "Assets" currently invested into bonds trapped in an inflationary + currency + energy + financial catastrophe death spiral that will have very much trouble squeezing into many many markets, at least efficiently....We are not here yet though. Watch Gold though it will tell is when the time is right. And Stocks, good ones will be much much higher. The money has nowhere else to go. Global stock equity is a fraction of the global debt cess debt pool.
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