Results 676 to 700 of 1735
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01-22-2020, 01:21 PM #676
^ yup. And this next comment isn't for you river, it's for lucknau and anyone concerned about future problems ...
The scenario to watch for after we get the bulletproof rain crust we are soon expecting, is less than 10" of cold new snow on top followed by a week of clear skies and super cold temps (like low teens or less overnight) ... then we could into get some nasty lingering stuff in the upper snowpack. It's not very common here, but that's basically what happened in the Sierra Nevada between New Year and last week (in case you heard about the Alpine Meadows accident and all the other close calls reported in the last week). And if that scenario plays out you can be sure that NWAC and COAC will be all over it._______________________________________________
"Strapping myself to a sitski built with 30lb of metal and fibreglass then trying to water ski in it sounds like a stupid idea to me.
I'll be there." ... Andy Campbell
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01-22-2020, 01:26 PM #677
what loads on top of the end of this r**n event
that will be a significant layer in the snowpack to remember
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01-22-2020, 02:23 PM #678
Damn. I hadn't heard about that squaw incident.
It's easy to ignore the possibility of inbounds slides when control work has been done and a run is "open." I feel for the patrollers and victims. That has to be heartbreaking.
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01-22-2020, 02:51 PM #679
Good times skiing Cloudchaser with jonesy & TBS today, seems we hit timing just right before the surface turned to glop, too bad we couldn’t see what we were doing...
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01-22-2020, 05:50 PM #680
^^^It was a good day to test waterproof/breathable fabrics. Reminiscent of Timberline conditions...
I can report that my Antero II jacket, Baker bibs and FTP gloves kept me dry as a nun's vagina (tm Joe Strummer)
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01-22-2020, 07:20 PM #681
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01-22-2020, 11:18 PM #682
Yeah, you’re right. I guess I’m thinking that if a deluge is on the way, the water loading on the recent massive snow dump plus possibility of temperatures staying mild mean there’s a significant near term massive wet slide hazard.
I’m kind of stuck in a loop assuming the mean temperature will remain consistently higher this year, given the shite weather pattern so far. I’ll gladly be wrong about that, but until the cold sets in, I will remain spooked.
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01-23-2020, 11:20 AM #683
Hmmm, Cloudcatcher closed today due to "unsafe snow conditions". As is the wet side of the hill...
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01-23-2020, 01:24 PM #684
Snow bombs from trees, Rime, creeks on runs.
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01-23-2020, 02:16 PM #685one of those sickos
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Well, we stopped at Crater anyway, since staying at one of the Sno Parks outside of the park made sense. The snow was pretty terrible but we got a little walk on skis in and almost caught a glimpse of the lake. Next stop will likely be Baker after visiting some friends in Tacoma, so here's hoping it gets cold again.
Sent from my LG-US998 using TGR Forums mobile appride bikes, climb, ski, travel, cook, work to fund former, repeat.
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01-23-2020, 02:46 PM #686
Cascade pass roads are wet & bare. Easy roll over to 5 & into the evergreen state.
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01-23-2020, 03:59 PM #687
I think you might have a short memory.
Mt. Hood is completely out of the question. Swim goggles and water wings for the next week and a half. Bachy is your best and only bet. Earlier and higher the better.
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01-23-2020, 05:00 PM #688
short something, but it ain't a memory
One thing I look at that most others don't is the temps at various altitudes. When there's pervasive sub-freezing air at 6400-ish feet (and especially when that remains true at lower points in the air column), and when that's true for hundreds of miles in any direction from the mountain, we tend to get good snow unless there's a truly uncommon inversion. I'm sure there are other indicators to watch that are more scientific, but this has worked for me over time, and I don't think I've made a strong weather call in here without being mostly right. I don't like to raise red flags if they're just whiny bullshit that doesn't pan out. Anyway, temps at altitudes... Caveat: the worst of the lot is about a week from now, which has less forecast reliability, but if it holds fairly steady, we're looking at stupid high winds, moderate rain and 40 degree temps. That's ark-level water on the ground between precip and meltage. And yes, Sunday night looks sorta OK on paper. It could even turn out that way. It could also be sleety, snainy bullshit. Too close to call.
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01-23-2020, 05:28 PM #689
^ what site did you pull those from?
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01-23-2020, 05:38 PM #690
You look like a windy.com master. So far it seems like normal January weather on Hood to me.
I think more than three days out isn't reliable. NWAC numbers don't look bad through Monday.
Water wings, goggles and largest dose of the r word in memory seems like hyperbole. But, then again who knows. We have a week left in January and like you're saying it might turn into something special.
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01-23-2020, 05:53 PM #691
Granted, a bit of hyperbole. There are at least a few days coming up here that aren't going to avoid sucking. It happens. I'm gonna put on my poncho and go tear it up.
January overall will be great even if this week sucks as hard as possible. Simply put, if the forecast holds, this last week of the month is bad in terms r*** plus wind plus temps. My birthday week, so I have perfect recall of all late Jan weather patterns going back to 1980.
@patatero, windy.com
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01-24-2020, 11:37 AM #692
So what's the prognosis for Mt Hood on Sunday? Will be out that way this weekend. I will bring the skis and gear regardless, but do I also need to pack a garbage bag for the skiing, or will my Gore-Tex suffice?
"We don't beat the reaper by living longer, we beat the reaper by living well and living fully." - Randy Pausch
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01-24-2020, 03:04 PM #693Registered User
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- Mar 2018
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- 304
It is suppose to rain Sat night and snow sunday. The freezing level will be right at the base of the resort so if it is snow it will be heavy wet snow. Although if the forecasted temp is off a little bit in either direction, it could make it a pretty decent or pretty wet day.
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01-24-2020, 03:50 PM #694
Fuck me, I thought I replied to this, but it ain't here. Sorry.
Anyway, no garbage bag needed for sunday. Pineapple delivery mostly an overnight thing on Saturday and then again middle of next week.
Next weekend starting to look better, and especially next Sunday when forecast currently calls for a return of the cold air we want.
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01-24-2020, 03:58 PM #695
what are your thoughts about tomorrow? Something I am seeing is showing that it might not be too extremely wet mid-day. I will bring up an extra parka to change out but I'm not skiing in a bag. As long as I can see I am good until my pants get too uncomfortable. potentially more wind Sunday no?
I have a friend that wants to pick Saturday or Sunday and I'm not sure what to tell him
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01-24-2020, 04:01 PM #696
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01-24-2020, 04:49 PM #697
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01-24-2020, 06:01 PM #698
All this talk of wetness. PSA: if you see a women in a tree well with her skis off and her pants down be sure and stop and check on her status. Now back to your wetness discussion.
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01-24-2020, 06:11 PM #699
Today was fun. No rain, some sun breaks, wind was manageable, light crowds, about 2-3 inches of fresh heavy snow.
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01-24-2020, 08:31 PM #700
Boy has a day off Mon & the weather seems like it may be favorable...
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