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Thread: Predict the Post COVID-19 World
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04-14-2020, 01:21 PM #1
Predict the Post COVID-19 World
I'm curious what the collective thinks things will look like when this is over. So, just assume we have a vaccine, or an anti-viral drug that works, or whatever. Things are normal again, but what's the new normal?
- Do people travel less?
- Do people go out to eat less?
- Do more people work from home on a regular basis?
- Do small businesses make it, or does Amazon have an even greater hold than they did before?
- Does the 1% make a killing and increase their wealth even more, or does this reset things?
- Does the US realize the health care system is broken and actually fix it?
Just some questions I've been wondering about, feel free to add your own. Hopefully this doesn't go straight to Polyass, that's not my intent at all.
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04-14-2020, 01:26 PM #2
No handshaking. Evah.
What we have here is an intelligence failure. You may be familiar with staring directly at that when shaving. .
-Ottime
One man can only push so many boulders up hills at one time.
-BMillsSkier
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04-14-2020, 01:27 PM #3Banned
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We'll see an increase in wealth/income inequality, lower wages, greatly restricted recreational access to public lands at a local, state and federal level, increased surveillance/the further erosion of personal privacy, no significant investment in/expansion of social welfare programs, and the further consolidation of wealth, power and influence in the hands of the elite.
But other than that, it will pretty much be back to business as usual at face value. And yeah, handshaking and giving high-fives is (hopefully) over forever.
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04-14-2020, 01:29 PM #4Registered User
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I'm not gonna miss doing awkward bro-hugs, maybe the only bright side of all this?
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04-14-2020, 01:29 PM #5Banned
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04-14-2020, 01:31 PM #6
USA severely diminished possibly irreparably, China dominates global affairs, allows Russia to pick some of the carcass(es). Petro dollar is dropped. Major realignment of world power accelerated greatly. It didn't have to be this way. Thanks tRump.
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04-14-2020, 01:34 PM #7
With some significant percentage of people already living from paycheck to paycheck, this will likely have some negative economic impacts. I'm not sure this group of people travels a lot or goes out to eat (aside from drive in/McD/fast food). The middle class was dwindling and this will just make it worse. Will there be pitchforks or platitudes?
Hopefully, this will cause more resources to be devoted to pandemic preparedness. Will that just be federal fodder for the pharmaceutical companies.
I keep wondering when people will actually start some significant civil disobedience rather than just change the channel.
I did notice Ikon is offering a $50-$100 discount on next years passes for the masses. How noble.Merde De Glace On the Freak When Ski
>>>200 cm Black Bamboo Sidewalled DPS Lotus 120 : Best Skis Ever <<<
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04-14-2020, 01:35 PM #8
I expect-
-Amazon will get an even stronger hold on the US retail sector.
-Small businesses and restaurants will go bankrupt en masse
-People travel less for a couple of years
-More people are able to work remote. My company (~500 person tech company) has been entirely remote for over a month. Many employees are working from home in their second homes or even across the country at their in-laws' or parents' homes. If this goes on long enough, those other locations are going to start feeling like home. I expect a lot of employees will not want to move back to whatever major metro area they were located in previously. There's the stupid bullshit internal politics of who gets what office, etc. That came up for me in a meeting today ("it's nice that you're next to so and so when we are back in the office, you guys can collaborate on XYZ") and my first thought was "I don't want to be back in the office".
-US healthcare won't get fixedLast edited by Kevo; 04-14-2020 at 02:01 PM.
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04-14-2020, 01:35 PM #9
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04-14-2020, 01:37 PM #10
I doubt things like travel will be affected much in the long term. Travel will be down for the next couple years, but I think it will slowly get back up to post COVID levels, especially after a vaccine is available.
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04-14-2020, 01:38 PM #11
Curious why you think that?
Our Federal land is some of the least restricted open space right now. Trail heads, campgrounds and other facilities are closed but trails are still open you just have to find legal parking spots away from trailheads and hike or bike in. Same with a lot of state parks. The City is the biggest land manager that has actually closed trails. I don't really agree with that but there are so many people around and trails were overrun with people after the stay at home order it was probably a good call. I see these closures being some of the first restrictions to be cancelled when things start to re-open.
The rest of the things listed I can see happening, but hopefully not. Maybe people will start saving money rather than buying all kinds of shit they don't need.
If anything good comes out of this it will be our cheeto in chief losing the election. If not I forsee the Dems spending the next four years running dozens of inquiries into federal handling of all aspects of the virus response.
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04-14-2020, 01:38 PM #12
Social distancing in lift lines might not be a bad idea.
No more running over my tails.
Powder days might be reasonable again!. . .
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04-14-2020, 01:41 PM #13
The rich get richer. The poor get poorer. The innovative get rich. Travel, going out, hugs, kisses, other greetings go back to normal by 2022.
Market for tested, high priced hookers skyrockets. Market for $10 whores and Lincoln Tunnel transvestites diminishes“How does it feel to be the greatest guitarist in the world? I don’t know, go ask Rory Gallagher”. — Jimi Hendrix
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04-14-2020, 01:45 PM #14
Things will be much the same after a vaccine is developed. We will prepare for the last disaster and not be prepared for the next one
Live love and make the best of it by making wise decisions
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04-14-2020, 01:47 PM #15
Look and Marker finally go out of business (thank goodness), Tyrolia and Salomon dominate.
Micol begins producing a new line Covid resistant ski jackets infused with silver coated threads. He becomes so rich he buys WL Gore, and a AMG.
The rest of you continue to post in the PR blaming the rich and others, commiserating with one another about your lot in life while smoking weed and popping antidepressants."timberridge is terminally vapid" -- a fortune cookie in Yueyang
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04-14-2020, 01:55 PM #16
It will be a slow change at first, but I see this as peak urbanization. People, mostly those who now work almost entirely remotely, are gonna come to their senses and be like, "Why the hell have I lived in NYC, Philly, Chicago, LA, Dallas, etc for the last 25 years?"
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04-14-2020, 01:57 PM #17Registered User
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I'm hoping i don't get sick and die
I got a local ambulance chaser drawing up my will just in case
I'm hoping cash will still be king and there could be oppurtoonities but if i don't need to and i won't know till later ... why bother ?
the point of restricting acess to the outdoors was for no other reason than you were suposed to stay in doors not any other reason, but in the future drones could easily be re-purposed to pickoff the errant outdoor enthusiast
when he trys to open America early, the state governors will hopefully tell trump to fuck off and he will look bad/not get re-elected
I used to do the shug which is shake hands and right shoulder bump, good for people who are really not sure about their latent tendanciesLee Lau - xxx-er is the laziest Asian canuck I know
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04-14-2020, 02:10 PM #18
I predict most people are going to be a bunch of annoying germophobic hypochondriacs.
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04-14-2020, 02:14 PM #19
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04-14-2020, 02:23 PM #20
Millions of human jobs lost to machines sooner than expected.
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04-14-2020, 02:27 PM #21
Main Street: Acceleration of automation supplanting jobs and the inevitable death of brick & mortar retail, replaced by Amazon, et. al. B&M local service biz will continue much as before. Niche cottage industries will continue to limp along in some sectors.
Wall Street:
Alternative A: Two things, working in tension:
-- People get a taste of $2 trillion burst of socialism and realize it aint so bad after all
-- Governors will gain more power as part of a move towards a new progressive federalism as people in NY, CA, WA, IL and other wealthy states realize the folly of collecting taxes in the blue states and shipping the money to anti-government red state hicks who berate the taxpayers up north who fund the Dixie dole.
Alternative B: Not much changes, just another socialistic bailout of big biz capitalism
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04-14-2020, 02:34 PM #22
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04-14-2020, 02:34 PM #23
I'm generally OK with a world dominated by Solomon.
Now if they'd only bring back the 2nd gen. 1080s.I still call it The Jake.
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04-14-2020, 02:36 PM #24Registered User
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04-14-2020, 02:44 PM #25Registered User
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I think this may be a peak for large cities like the ones you listed. But this may actually drive growth in small and medium cities as people move from, say, San Francisco to Bozeman. At the same time, the people most able to move will be upper middle class and above, with jobs that can be performed remotely. That might make large cities a little more livable, as some of the higher income residents move away, but it will wreak havoc in small cities whose housing markets get completely hosed by people spending their SF salaries to buy Bozeman property. Companies that allow you to go fulltime remote will want to adjust salaries to your local cost of living, but that will be a hard sell and I'd be surprised if any employer gets much traction with that.
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