Results 15,701 to 15,725 of 18218
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04-30-2022, 01:14 PM #15701
At some point, cash will be directed into bonds and no longer stocks. Can’t see how mkt is not completely crushed. Depends on leverage I guess.
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04-30-2022, 01:31 PM #15702
Investors who were afraid of stocks or perceived safety and were in bonds instead of cash the last few years have been devastated. They’ll never make that money back. I agree though. Equities can get seriously repriced and go below the historical multiple in an overshoot.
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04-30-2022, 01:44 PM #15703
Is the stock market going to tank?
Could be a meltdown from otc interest rate swaps. All the BS Frank Dodd chest pounding and that garbage is still not cross guaranteed through any kind of clearing house. No margin either. Trillions of risk on.
Has to be someone big bleeding bad.
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05-04-2022, 01:22 PM #15704
+50 basis
Market like!Originally Posted by blurred
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05-04-2022, 02:36 PM #15705
Lots of curve steepening after the close.
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05-04-2022, 03:50 PM #15706"We don't beat the reaper by living longer, we beat the reaper by living well and living fully." - Randy Pausch
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05-04-2022, 05:08 PM #15707
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05-05-2022, 09:22 AM #15708
Yesterday may have been last call for a while.
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05-05-2022, 10:08 AM #15709
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05-05-2022, 10:43 AM #15710Registered User
- Join Date
- May 2016
- Posts
- 3,581
I was thinking yesterday afternoon the market had entered bizarro world. This is more along the lines of what I expected.
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05-05-2022, 10:58 AM #15711
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05-05-2022, 11:21 AM #15712Registered User
- Join Date
- Jan 2012
- Location
- Juneau
- Posts
- 1,093
Agreed, mostly because the risk of a 75 bp hike seemed very, very, very low. Or, the risk was disproportionate to the post-hike-announcement celebration.
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05-05-2022, 11:21 AM #15713
IS THE STOCK MARKET GOING TO TANK?
YesGo that way really REALLY fast. If something gets in your way, TURN!
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05-05-2022, 11:50 AM #15714
Projections on the bottom: Dow 18K ??
Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums"Zee damn fat skis are ruining zee piste !" -Oscar Schevlin
"Hike up your skirt and grow a dick you fucking crybaby" -what Bunion said to Harry at the top of The Headwaters
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05-05-2022, 11:53 AM #15715
29999 would be take off half your shorts.
23,365 would be double fisted buy.
18,000 would be take out a note on the island and buy on margin.
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05-05-2022, 01:23 PM #15716
Is the stock market going to tank?
Still haven’t taken out the Weekly low and the 5yn is unchanged from Monday. Violent curve adjustment. Should be good for banks
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05-05-2022, 01:31 PM #15717
The 1yr note is well off it’s high yield. The 30y breaking out makes growth stocks multiple collapse
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05-05-2022, 01:51 PM #15718
Reversals after Fed meetings are not unusual.
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05-05-2022, 05:07 PM #15719Registered User
- Join Date
- Aug 2013
- Location
- shadow of HS butte
- Posts
- 6,398
How is the bond market affecting those getting ready to collect, or already collecting, on their 401k? Is it correct to assume that a lot of those people took a pretty big hit?
Looking at my current portfolio as a youngin, it seems locking things up via bond investments come later, closer to retirement. Am I off with this line of thinking?
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05-05-2022, 05:19 PM #15720
Is the stock market going to tank?
Balance portfolios have been mercilessly crushed. 2022 is the worst year for a 60/40 mix ever. It’s the rate of change in bond yields as much as the yield level. Personally, I think now would be a good time to add some yield with treasury rates double the S&P dividend rate.
My favorite perma bear David Rosenberg gives a convincing pitch for owning bonds now though. Skip the first 5 minutes or so if you want to get to the meat.
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05-05-2022, 05:56 PM #15721
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05-05-2022, 05:58 PM #15722
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05-05-2022, 05:59 PM #15723
I've always appreciated 4matics dry anti rant fact based postings. Thank you.
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05-05-2022, 06:07 PM #15724
I was being serious. This was legit funny, "18,000 would be take out a note on the island and buy on margin." And although buying the blood at 18k seems like it could be very lucrative in the long run, I suspect the rebound will not be anything like March 2020, or even 2009 for that matter. Those were largely fueled by QE and the QE cannon seems like it's out of ammo for a while.
I have about half of my net worth in my 401k. Watching it get absolutely clobbered is not fun. These are scary times for me.
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05-05-2022, 06:51 PM #15725
Some bond funds are down 10-15%.
I bet the salesman didn’t explain how jacked these thing were.
BOND has been smoked.
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