Results 15,926 to 15,950 of 18222
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05-19-2022, 01:44 PM #15926
Lot of people wanting bad news.
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05-19-2022, 01:50 PM #15927
I don’t make calls in here. Except for the covid sell off, that was too good not to brag.
It’s about prudence and risk management
I’ve never been paid to give advice nor do I want to.
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05-19-2022, 01:51 PM #15928
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05-19-2022, 02:03 PM #15929
Not my point.
Warren Buffett, Jimmy Buffet, Breakfast Buffet it doesn't matter.
Yeah you have your opinions but the best minds in investing and fiscal policy are all guessing.
Yeah it looks like a recession may be coming, anyone with a smidgen of gray matter can see that. Given past market performance, it would take brass balls the size of Church Bells to sell and go to cash right now with the current losses baked in.I have been in this State for 30 years and I am willing to admit that I am part of the problem.
"Happiest years of my life were earning < $8.00 and hour, collecting unemployment every spring and fall, no car, no debt and no responsibilities. 1984-1990 Park City UT"
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05-19-2022, 02:14 PM #15930
Dude, when it comes to money, you’ve got to be A political.
I’ve said it many times before, anything that comes is the result of the last 6-7 presidents. Printing money, giving away money.
I’m no economist, but sooner or later a broken clock is right once in a day.
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05-19-2022, 02:19 PM #15931
No way man. 10 yrs ago, a 60 yr was ready to jump of a bridge. Many did. If you’re retired, and you rode that out, you’re still a hero. With dividends tripled your money from the bottom. Maybe more.
When all the dentists at my gym start slamming their lockers and cursing im going to have to Laugh my ass off. There is no such thing as free money.
Let greed get them I don’t care. They could take advice from real traders, risk managers, phd’s, but instead some ass clown with no experience gives them derby tickets and golf balls and they hand them their 5 mil.
I’ll probably die driving a snow cat off a trail, or freeze to death, but I’ll take that before ever joining that circle jerk.
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05-19-2022, 02:24 PM #15932
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05-19-2022, 02:29 PM #15933
OK now I AM being a little bit of a dick but RE: 10 years ago....
And overall, 2012 was a good year for stocks: The Dow was up 7.3 percent for 2012, its fourth straight year of gains; the S&P 500 climbed 13 percent, its best year since 2009; and the tech-heavy Nasdaq index surged 16 percent.I have been in this State for 30 years and I am willing to admit that I am part of the problem.
"Happiest years of my life were earning < $8.00 and hour, collecting unemployment every spring and fall, no car, no debt and no responsibilities. 1984-1990 Park City UT"
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05-19-2022, 02:33 PM #15934
much, aren’t you being political? Check out inflation globally. Its up most everywhere. Is that the fed printing money? Or China and it’s now certifiably insane zero Covid policy fucking up supply in the worlds factory? Or a huge global shift from services to consumption that’s now being reversed, slowly? Or all of it?
Not disagreeing that lots of money went into trash and propped up trash (crypto, the spac boom, Tesla) just that it’s not even or systemic. And tired of hearing people with $70k bought in pandemic pickups bitching about $4 gas
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05-19-2022, 02:33 PM #15935
Is the stock market going to tank?
There are two parts of QT. Roll off and selling. Most of the Fed balance sheet is in one to five year maturities so most of that can roll off. The bonds they choose to sell can be sold at auction just like a treasury auction. With rates where they are there will be demand. Trillions in money markets, insurance companies that are required to buy.
Supply chain inflation will resolve. I wouldn’t be surprised if the ex food and energy number goes negative in the next twelve months.
In fact, it behooves the Fed to talk rates up so they can sell what they need too.
Imo, rates move back lower, especially if stocks continue to struggle.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/relea...urrent/h41.pdf
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05-19-2022, 02:57 PM #15936
I think you are missing the bigger picture 4matic. Governments have no ability to pay their piles back. The game of borrowing and never planning to pay back is OVER.
Welcome to the grind!
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05-19-2022, 03:10 PM #15937
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05-19-2022, 03:12 PM #15938
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05-19-2022, 03:18 PM #15939
Double ordering microchips. Always a boom bust cycle.
Look at all the retailers. Starting to be a theme.
“Ross Stores fell more than 18% after the retailer posted first-quarter revenue that was below analyst expectations. The company’s earnings per share and same-store sales guidance for the second quarter also came in below estimates. “Following a stronger-than-planned start early in the period, sales underperformed over the balance of the quarter,” CEO Barbara Rentler said.”
On top of this now you have asset prices cratering with higher rates and fuel costs. Demand hit a wall.
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05-19-2022, 03:22 PM #15940
Is the stock market going to tank?
When China started locking down massive port cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen to prevent the spread of COVID-19, fears mounted that maritime supply chain disruptions would get even worse. That hasn’t happened, says Gene Seroka, the executive director of the Port of Los Angeles, America’s biggest port by container volume.
“The ships leaving Asia, and particularly in the Shanghai region, have shown to be at about 40 departures every week, which is about where we thought it would be,” said Seroka. “And now, eight weeks into the COVID lockdown, we’re not seeing any slowdown.”
Plus, port bottlenecks easing. Gone soon
https://www.audacy.com/kywnewsradio/...t-to-disappear
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05-19-2022, 03:32 PM #15941
Container rates dropping
https://www.freightwaves.com/news/sk...k-to-earth/amp
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05-19-2022, 03:40 PM #15942
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05-19-2022, 03:43 PM #15943
Gold may not work like it once did. It is to expensive today to serve as a medium for barter. Silver may work better for that. Assets will eventually protect us. They do in crazy times if they are good. If it gets real real bad then the only thing that matters is food so let's no go there.
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05-19-2022, 03:45 PM #15944
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05-19-2022, 03:54 PM #15945
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05-19-2022, 03:58 PM #15946
What if inflation really is transitory? All this hand wringing could be completely misplaced.
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05-19-2022, 04:06 PM #15947
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05-19-2022, 04:10 PM #15948
Been dabbling into buying a bit more dividend yields via cash secured puts.
T ENB TTE are the targets
For the Yolo portfolio, sold some SHOP and ARKK puts too. Not too much as I have lots of tech. Sold at 350 and 40.
Turned some TIPS into BTC
Edit. Covered MULN RIVN PTON BYND to take profits. Still stuck short RSX as Russians are slow to allow that ETF to liquidate
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05-19-2022, 04:19 PM #15949
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05-19-2022, 04:22 PM #15950Registered User
- Join Date
- Nov 2011
- Location
- Missoula
- Posts
- 414
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