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  1. #8201
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Were going back to pre election break out levels Benny.

    Benny. Your not one of those silver sneaker dudes at my GYM, who change the channel to CNBC without asking me?

    When Armageddon comes, I will tell them they were all stupid amateurs and they can now greet people at target.


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  2. #8202
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cono Este View Post

    Good bye cruel world.

    Hell yeah housing/building prices are going to return to some semblance of sane and just in time to do a major remodel.

  3. #8203
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    Quote Originally Posted by MultiVerse View Post
    If youre asking me for my opinion then Id say we should have engaged in more countercyclical policy rather than the current administrations procyclical policy because of situations like the one were experiencing now.

    But, to answer your questions:

    1) As long as investors want to exchange financial assets for Fed account credits (which theyre already signally they do) then the Fed has plenty of ammunition to go along with a rate drop in March. Fed policy cannot fix a supply shock for parts of the economy directly affected by an epidemic but they can make the problem worse by not responding quickly and allowing unaffected parts of the economy to slow as well.

    2) In addition to the tax breaks, there has been massive Keynesian levels of federal fiscal spending which has contributed to the USs first decade plus expansion.


    For weeks markets were complacent about Covid-19 and now maybe they're too afraid. Who knows? Markets are in some sense always wrong because even the best guess about the future is never exactly how things turn out.
    Well, I don't know where you live, but, it's coming on two years since that stupid tax break , and I really don't see squat besides a raging stock market.
    And, really, massive Keynesian levels of federal spending? Where? Bridges? Airports? Highways? Housing? Education? What the fuck. Are you some sort of bot? I don't see shit except the rich getting a fuck richer and the poor dying off in bigger numbers. Life expectancy is DOWN! Something like 25-45 million with zero medical insurance, and pretty much everyone else not on Medicare underinsured. 1.6 trillion in student debt like an albatross on an entire generation. An entire generation with no choice but to save every meager disposable penny for retirement, further suppressing the economy. And a maniac in the white house starting trade wars, returning us to 30's style economic isolation.

    You must be doing well to type that bullshit

    Let's do some livin'
    After, we die

  4. #8204
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    Benny = Berner?

  5. #8205
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    Pretty much at this point.

    Let's do some livin'
    After, we die

  6. #8206
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    Apr 2006
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    Movin' On
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    I've had a lot of cash sitting on the sidelines. Still not sure when to jump in, or maybe I'll just dollar cost average.

    My dad (<1 year from retirement) was 100% equities as of early January. I convinced him to move to VTWNX, which he did mid January. Took about 3 hours of talking to convince him it wasn't a wise idea to be all in VTSAX when he's that close to drawing on his nest egg.

  7. #8207
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    Nov 2008
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    Quote Originally Posted by RootSkier View Post
    Benny = Berner?
    Right? I even prefaced my response by saying I disagree with current policy.


    But, yeah, Benny, a lot of people accumulated massive amounts of wealth over the past decade.. and I'm shocked, shocked!, to find out it was not evenly distributed. Has this ever happened before in America, comrade?

  8. #8208
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    What the fuck does that mean?

    Let's do some livin'
    After, we die

  9. #8209
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    can any of you higher ups comment on how a run on banks by depositors would play out? like a wells or boa and smaller

  10. #8210
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    Jan 2005
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    As an idiot who has been averaging into SDS, TLT, and UVXY since late September I could use a few more days like today.

    Sent from my SM-G930V using TGR Forums mobile app

  11. #8211
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    Quote Originally Posted by MiCol View Post
    can any of you higher ups comment on how a run on banks by depositors would play out? like a wells or boa and smaller




    2008.

    People don't have their money in banks anymore.

    Let's do some livin'
    After, we die

  12. #8212
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    Quote Originally Posted by MiCol View Post
    can any of you higher ups comment on how a run on banks by depositors would play out? like a wells or boa and smaller
    Just watch "Its a Wonderful Life." Fast forward to the part where Uncle Billy looses the envelope.
    "timberridge is terminally vapid" -- a fortune cookie in Yueyang

  13. #8213
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cono Este View Post
    Were going back to pre election break out levels Benny.
    3000 was a well tested breakout. 11% down.

  14. #8214
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    Quote Originally Posted by RootSkier View Post
    Hell yeah housing/building prices are going to return to some semblance of sane and just in time to do a major remodel.
    Housing could hold up well. The people who dont own much stock want homes and rates are low.

  15. #8215
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    Quote Originally Posted by 4matic View Post
    Housing could hold up well. The people who dont own much stock want homes and rates are low.
    It amazes me weve held up so well this month. I remember following the long shore mans strike and selling lots of puts to people. We both won.


    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums

  16. #8216
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    Quote Originally Posted by 4matic View Post
    3000 was a well tested breakout. 11% down.
    So far the sell off is just a flesh wound
    what's so funny about peace, love, and understanding?

  17. #8217
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    Nov 2007
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    Quote Originally Posted by Timberridge View Post
    Just watch "Its a Wonderful Life." Fast forward to the part where Uncle Billy looses the envelope.
    Winner: Best Answer of the Month

    I'm glad I sold a chunk of securities in January, although now I wish I would have sold more.

  18. #8218
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    Quote Originally Posted by RootSkier View Post
    Hell yeah housing/building prices are going to return to some semblance of sane and just in time to do a major remodel.
    good luck so many people are on the sidelines waiting for the shit to hit the fan to remodel build and buy
    with all those people waiting for the timing, how is it really going to go to shit when they are ready to go, I mean places like utica will take it in the ass but other places won't blink

    the number of people who bailed on the trades in 08 and never came back is massive
    shit hits the fan again and your going to wipe out another huge amount of trades people
    goto any job site and ask how many people are under 40, maybe 1 out of 10 workers
    there is zero hispanics becoming part of the work work force right now
    it's grim
    I'm not trying to get rich just keeping up with the cost of doing business insurance is stupid, trade wars, paying beginers 18 an hr, a cedar 2x12x16 is well over $100.00 WTF??????

  19. #8219
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    Breck won't even blink, and Utica can't get worse.

    Let's do some livin'
    After, we die

  20. #8220
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    Stock prices will affect 2nd home market.

  21. #8221
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    The second home market will affect the second home market.

    Let's do some livin'
    After, we die

  22. #8222
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    Quote Originally Posted by fastfred View Post
    good luck so many people are on the sidelines waiting for the shit to hit the fan to remodel build and buy
    with all those people waiting for the timing, how is it really going to go to shit when they are ready to go, I mean places like utica will take it in the ass but other places won't blink

    the number of people who bailed on the trades in 08 and never came back is massive
    shit hits the fan again and your going to wipe out another huge amount of trades people
    goto any job site and ask how many people are under 40, maybe 1 out of 10 workers
    there is zero hispanics becoming part of the work work force right now
    it's grim
    I'm not trying to get rich just keeping up with the cost of doing business insurance is stupid, trade wars, paying beginers 18 an hr, a cedar 2x12x16 is well over $100.00 WTF??????
    can you comment on trades like plumbing? reason, i was going to do a spec project in breck in 2016 and i was quoted $750 a hole. i got into a battle with engineering and had to take it to county commission...by the time i prevailed it was like a year later, and i had one quote for plumbing as high as $2,250 a hole...where is this number currently?...just curious... i ended up scrapping the project and selling the lot...peak 7

  23. #8223
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    Quote Originally Posted by Benny Profane View Post
    The second home market will affect the second home market.
    Yup

    Sent from my SM-G960U1 using TGR Forums mobile app
    `..><((((>`..`..`...><((((>

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    "once i let go of my material desires many opportunities for playing with the planet emerge. emerge - to come into being through evolution. ok back to work - i gotta pack." - Slaag Master

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  24. #8224
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    Quote Originally Posted by Benny Profane View Post
    The second home market will affect the third home market.
    FIFY

  25. #8225
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    Ha.

    Let's do some livin'
    After, we die

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