Results 11,151 to 11,175 of 18222
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05-05-2020, 10:57 PM #11151
Of course. But the entire developed world economy just putting the brakes on as suddenly as this? C'mon. This is ridiculous. Like I said, in order to cover your ass for this, you'd never make any money. Why bother?
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05-05-2020, 11:12 PM #11152
it worked for the folks at wimbledon....
https://www.usatoday.com/story/sport...on/5123987002/
profit.
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05-05-2020, 11:43 PM #11153
Because you'd make more money by not losing as much. The math works out. Probability times cost if (when) it happens gives you a value. Build a strategy to mitigate the risk based on that and over time you will profit from it if you're right about probability and cost. Poker players do it constantly. People made money in '08. Treasuries and chill made money in '20. Spending $50k each to put up every traveler from China since January for 3 weeks would have cost less than half of a percent of present costs. Low probability events happen all the time, see: Slide zone.
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05-06-2020, 06:41 AM #11154
Oh, so, bullshit. You have no solution.
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05-06-2020, 06:51 AM #11155
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05-06-2020, 07:19 AM #11156
Does "treasuries and chill" go over your head? Honestly, the "we're all too stupid to take any action and anyone who isn't as stupid as me is even stupider than me" handwaving routine is played. But you've hit the zeitgeist dead center with it, so kudos for that, I guess.
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05-06-2020, 07:26 AM #11157
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05-06-2020, 07:31 AM #11158
Yep. And there's a similar size chasm between asking how to manage the risk to one portfolio and asking for an effective risk management model for a global pandemic. The failures are similar, too: individuals who don't seek the former make up a society that doesn't ask for the latter.
I don’t think either are good ways to make money.
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05-06-2020, 07:34 AM #11159
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05-06-2020, 07:43 AM #11160
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05-06-2020, 07:52 AM #11161
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05-06-2020, 07:54 AM #11162
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05-06-2020, 07:55 AM #11163
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05-06-2020, 07:58 AM #11164
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05-06-2020, 08:17 AM #11165
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05-06-2020, 08:22 AM #11166Registered User
- Join Date
- Oct 2007
- Posts
- 12,664
Arguing with Bunny is pointless, he just gets to a point where he has nothing else to offer and just keeps saying "Nuh uh" to everything you say. You might as well just return with "Uh huh" and save yourself the brain damage.
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05-06-2020, 08:53 AM #11167
Oh, ok, well, how would you safely invest for an event like this while still, at least, beating inflation, smart guy?
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05-06-2020, 08:57 AM #11168
https://investor.vanguard.com/mutual.../profile/VSMGX
If you expect that your long term portfolio will never ever see any drops, then you should not invest in the stock market. Perhaps brostoywhatever will recommend that you put it all in bitcoin.
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05-06-2020, 09:07 AM #11169
Sell drugs.
Live Free or Die
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05-06-2020, 09:10 AM #11170
Yeah, at my age, asset preservation is high priority. Glad and lucky I did some profit taking via rebalancing a couple times a year starting in 2017, thus starting 2020 with a good chunk of cash, CDs and treasuries.
I've never before been a market timer, but bought some equity positions during the dip in mid- to late March, took some profits in the past week by selling most of those positions, currently down < 2% since Jan. 1, i.e., doing better than most. Sitting on lots of cash. I figure there will be plenty of buy-in opportunity dips in the next 12 months.
My heart aches for most of my small biz clients and friends, who face very uncertain futures.
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05-06-2020, 09:13 AM #11171
We're lucky inflation has been so low, and it looks like it will stay low for years.
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05-06-2020, 09:13 AM #11172
Check out this asset allocation.
It has historically way outperformed inflation and has lower volatility. There is interest rate risk though.
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05-06-2020, 09:18 AM #11173
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05-06-2020, 09:25 AM #11174
Yeah, notwithstanding Fed printing money go brrrrrr, there will be post-Covid 19 augmentation of deflationary pressures that have been there for awhile (e.g., race-to-the-bottom global cheap labor). Flip side of low inflation is safe fixed income interest rates totally suck.
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05-06-2020, 09:25 AM #11175
Yeah sure, or old school and just sell dope. Either works.
Live Free or Die
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