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  1. #16426
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Posts
    6,776
    Still lots of fiat currency sloshing around that needs to be sopped up. Housing market is in the toilet, that's about it. Fed most likely has at least one more rate increase. Total joke to be talking about walking back rate hikes yet. Need the economy to take a minor dump. -,2% is not even a start. It's a statistical error.
    "We don't beat the reaper by living longer, we beat the reaper by living well and living fully." - Randy Pausch

  2. #16427
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,948

    Is the stock market going to tank?

    In March the 10y was @2.50 and the SP500 was 4600. 10y @2.68 now with SP500 4050. The biggest difference now is High Yield rates.
    Iím way long High Yield at a very small loss now

  3. #16428
    Join Date
    Jan 2012
    Location
    Juneau
    Posts
    1,026
    QT started in June at $45B. In September, it steps up to $95B per month.

    Two interesting reads regarding the mkt's response to the Fed:

    https://fedguy.com/the-money-still-flows/

    https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/ar...?sref=5frvVJaF

  4. #16429
    Join Date
    Nov 2002
    Location
    Behind the Zion Curtain
    Posts
    4,449
    Lotta doom and gloom a month or so ago. I was buying when the doom and gloom were proclaimed, turned out fairly well so far. Wish Iíd have bought more AMZN, shit was on a tear after hours today after earnings. Iím up 22.4% on my 8 shares bought June 10th. AAPL up lately, and GOOGL ticking upwards as well. Tech and growth seem to be surging, ACCD and CMPS are both up off their lows, Iím glad I added to my positions on the lows.

    Picked up 10 shares of ARCC today at $19.50, donít expect much growth but they yield over 8%. Seems a good play in a rising rate environment.

    XOM reporting tomorrow, Iím guessing they knock it out of the park. If so, I may sell a call on Monday and try to work some money or take profits if assigned.

  5. #16430
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Location
    Last Best City in the Last Best Place
    Posts
    5,622
    It's inconceivable to me that Google won't be $200 a share at some point. You're going to double your money on that bet, within 5 years or probably sooner.

    And to quote Sargeant Schultz, "I know nothing!"

  6. #16431
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,948

    Is the stock market going to tank?

    DupÖ.

  7. #16432
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,948
    Fresh four month low in the 10y rate. Especially positive on a Friday and eom if it closes near the low.

  8. #16433
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Posts
    6,776
    Quote Originally Posted by BobMc View Post
    XOM reporting tomorrow, I’m guessing they knock it out of the park. If so, I may sell a call on Monday and try to work some money or take profits if assigned.
    XOM hitting a grand slam.
    "We don't beat the reaper by living longer, we beat the reaper by living well and living fully." - Randy Pausch

  9. #16434
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,948
    Front month gasoline $2.97. Almost a 5 month low.

  10. #16435
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,948

    Is the stock market going to tank?

    10y note 2.59%. Mortgage rates back under 5% soon.

  11. #16436
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Posts
    6,776
    Let the good times roll!
    "We don't beat the reaper by living longer, we beat the reaper by living well and living fully." - Randy Pausch

  12. #16437
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,948
    The huge drop in ISM prices paid -- from 78.5 in June to 60.0 in July -- is 18.5 points, the largest since May/June of 2010 where the difference was 22.1 points.

  13. #16438
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    STL
    Posts
    11,709
    Short TSM


    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums

  14. #16439
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Beaverton, OR
    Posts
    1,224
    HKD seems to have become the "new Gamestop" amongst the YOLO crowd. Came out at a couple bucks on July and has soared to a $300B market cap on $25M in revenues. LOL

  15. #16440
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Location
    Last Best City in the Last Best Place
    Posts
    5,622
    Lending Club is paying 2.07% on my high yield savings account now. Considering I've moved all my kids' college money into that account, it's a pretty good chunk of change.

  16. #16441
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,948
    Quote Originally Posted by yeahman View Post
    Lending Club is paying 2.07% on my high yield savings account now. Considering I've moved all my kids' college money into that account, it's a pretty good chunk of change.
    3 mo treasury pays 2.50
    1 yr pays 3.14

  17. #16442
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Location
    Verdi NV
    Posts
    10,339
    I’m back in the green on my investment not really the NASDAQ
    Click image for larger version. 

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    It got kinda ugly for awhile
    Own your fail. ~Jer~

  18. #16443
    Join Date
    Jan 2017
    Location
    on the banks of Fish Creek
    Posts
    5,732
    money.

  19. #16444
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Location
    your vacation
    Posts
    3,695
    layoffs are starting to get more widespread
    will the stock market "like" layoffs or not?
    hope no one bought a nice new house in Bentonville lately
    might be a good place to score a new pad for cheap pretty soon sweet mountain biking from what I've heard

  20. #16445
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,948
    Gasoline futures are only .25c higher than oct 21

  21. #16446
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Posts
    2,058
    Quote Originally Posted by sirbumpsalot View Post
    HKD seems to have become the "new Gamestop" amongst the YOLO crowd. Came out at a couple bucks on July and has soared to a $300B market cap on $25M in revenues. LOL
    That's just the idiotic media trying to explain Chinese scam money. Retail investors don't have enough money to skyrocket a company to $300B like that.

    Also funny how when it was GME going up like a rocket, they stopped the ability to buy to "maintain market stability," but with this bullshit they just didn't care. Whole system is rigged.

  22. #16447
    Join Date
    Mar 2008
    Location
    the ham
    Posts
    11,861
    Where's BBBY going? (the company, not the stock price)

    Bankruptcy & restructure? Liquidation? Anyone think they'll pull through?

  23. #16448
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,948
    "The four-week average of US gasoline consumption .. dropped lower last week than during the summer of 2020 .. even as retail fuel prices have fallen for more than 50 days straight."

  24. #16449
    Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    7,577
    Quote Originally Posted by 4matic View Post
    "The four-week average of US gasoline consumption .. dropped lower last week than during the summer of 2020 .. even as retail fuel prices have fallen for more than 50 days straight."
    FKNA. Slava Ukraini

  25. #16450
    Join Date
    Aug 2018
    Posts
    864
    So we are done running the economy hot now that the baby boomers have bought all the shit they dreamed of, but are now worried about inflation? Cool couldnít see this next recession coming from a decade ago.
    "Let's be careful out there."

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