Results 16,326 to 16,350 of 18218
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06-23-2022, 10:30 AM #16326
It’s already flat…at this point aggressive fed will invert it.
Buy bonds!!Decisions Decisions
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06-23-2022, 10:50 AM #16327
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06-23-2022, 10:59 AM #16328
RIO on sale. Exchanged some FLNG for it.
Originally Posted by blurred
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06-23-2022, 11:34 AM #16329
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06-23-2022, 11:38 AM #16330
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06-27-2022, 10:09 PM #16331
Bought back my MRO put for $53 today, made $40. I possibly could’ve kept the entire $93, but I took the for sure money and ran.
My yearly customer that fucked me bonus came today. Dude frauded me out of several K a few years ago, convicted and I get his tax return as “restitution” every year. He still hasn’t figured out how to increase dependents to owe every year, this year his return was $412.
Thinking of throwing it into something riskier, may grab 36 more shares of CMPS. It’s been creeping up lately and I wish I’d bought more shares when it was in the $6’s.
I still have enough cash to sell puts on sub $36 stocks. Puts have become my favorite method, I liked selling calls for a while but don’t ever dig losing shares (even when it worked out with my latest XOM call.). I like the idea of accruing stuff I already want, don’t threaten me with a good time!
I like the RIO tip, whew, that’s a fat yield. I may pick up a few shares, especially as a “local” company.
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06-29-2022, 08:11 AM #16332
Bloomberg saying VIX is low because large hedgers are using futures for pure directional beta rather than options. Record short interest in stock futures.
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06-29-2022, 01:01 PM #16333
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06-29-2022, 01:13 PM #16334
Is the stock market going to tank?
Demand for options from largest hedgers is down therefore price of options is down which means lower price of volatility.
Options are complicated math but that’s the simple explanation.
Options are a wasting asset and with higher rates they become more costly to hold (buy). Risk free interest rate is a major component of option valuation. Therefore, futures are cheaper to use.
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06-30-2022, 08:58 AM #16335
Nat gas is almost back to Oct 21 levels.
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06-30-2022, 09:23 AM #16336Rod9301
- Join Date
- Jan 2009
- Location
- Squaw valley
- Posts
- 4,638
Wait till the lng vacuity is back on stream in September, and we start shipping to eu again
Sent from my moto g 5G using Tapatalk
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06-30-2022, 09:45 AM #16337
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06-30-2022, 10:20 AM #16338Rod9301
- Join Date
- Jan 2009
- Location
- Squaw valley
- Posts
- 4,638
You could be right.
I think though that with eu determined to not buy Russian gas, the us will ship a lot of lng, which might keep the price up.
And the pipeline companies will do ok, because the gas has to be transported to the lng terminals
Sent from my moto g 5G using Tapatalk
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06-30-2022, 11:43 AM #16339
I didn’t claim a right or wrong.
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07-01-2022, 07:10 AM #16340
3rd quarter is looking like an acceleration of the trends of the past 6 months .. Earnings reports and earnings expectations should catch up with already reduced valuations....if sentiment and prices shit the bed.. The 4th quarter might be a great time for a rally..
what's so funny about peace, love, and understanding?
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07-01-2022, 07:54 AM #16341
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07-01-2022, 08:21 AM #16342
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07-01-2022, 01:21 PM #16343
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07-01-2022, 02:16 PM #16344
Is the stock market going to tank?
The current 10y note yield rate hit 3.50% on 6/13 and got as low as 2.87% today.
350-287=63 so that’s .63% interest rate change lower from the peak to trough in two weeks. Same formula for the 2yr. That’s a big percentage move but not unusual these days.
Afa trend I’d call it neutral now. As the ten year is on support. The two year can easily go back to 2.50%.
Happy to answer any questions. I saved a one month chart but forum won’t let me post the png from phone.
I’ll add it from computer later Just change the time frame to one month
https://data.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y?view=franchise
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07-01-2022, 05:58 PM #16345
Looks like I could’ve kept all of my MRO put money, but oh well. The part of me that likes to grab the for sure cash usually out-talks the “we could keep it all” guy.
After getting beaten up the last few weeks this week was a pleasant reversal. Picked up 10 shares of MO earlier in the week, the whole JUUL thing had them beaten down. I still like the company and finally dipped my toe in. A few days ago I set some buy orders I didn’t think would fill, my AMZN and AAPL orders didn’t fill but the RIO order did. It dived a couple bucks yesterday and my order for 10@ $60 filled, then grabbed 4 more at $58.80 today. If it heads down on Tuesday I’m buying more.
My transition to an income portfolio is going fairly well. I’m up to $373/month in dividends/distributions. In 10 years that should be a much more significant number.
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07-01-2022, 09:17 PM #16346
That’s good direction Bob. Growth speculation will return at some point.
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07-05-2022, 09:21 AM #16347
Interesting that ARKK is up a lot today.
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07-05-2022, 11:14 AM #16348
The Energy sector $XLE is now down since February 1st. Was up 35% over this period as of June 8th.
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07-07-2022, 10:37 AM #16349Registered User
- Join Date
- Apr 2004
- Location
- Southeast New York
- Posts
- 11,766
Small bounce going on for most of my stocks. Does it have any staying power, IOW buy a little more now as it's going up or wait for it to, inevitably, bottom again?
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07-07-2022, 10:43 AM #16350
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