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  1. #15001
    Join Date
    Nov 2002
    Location
    Behind the Zion Curtain
    Posts
    4,314
    Yeah, I was down over 1k early today, ended down $.81.

    Sold a Jan 21 $17.50 put on ACCD for .75, I knew they reported after the bell today and took a chance on the earnings. The stock has been down lately, but I was still going to be happy with that buy in. They crushed the report and it mooned after hours, pretty sure Iím keeping that $75.

    Also sold a put on SOFI way out of the money, either way Iíll be happy with it. Iím beginning to warm to this strategy of easing into stuff youíre interested in while keeping your capital.

    Iíve got a put out on CMPS and a call on XOM that are both underwater, both moved better for me today. Weíll see if I continue my streak of no assigns or losses.

    Disclaimer: TBH, I did lose $75 on a day last year where I mistakenly set two options to ďbuy to openĒ, panicked and immediately sold. Watch your terms kiddies.

  2. #15002
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,454
    Quote Originally Posted by BobMc View Post

    Disclaimer: TBH, I did lose $75 on a day last year where I mistakenly set two options to ďbuy to openĒ, panicked and immediately sold. Watch your terms kiddies.
    Thatís not a panic. Thatís the right thing to do on an order error.

  3. #15003
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,454

    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Major bank earnings on a Friday ahead of a three day weekend is very unusual.

    JPMorgan Chase, Citi and Wells Fargo will tell investors how they did during the fourth quarter and what to expect in 2022 when they report earnings on Friday.

    BlackRock (BLK), the world's largest asset manager and owner of the popular family of iShares exchange-traded funds, also reports earnings Friday.

  4. #15004
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Posts
    1,229
    Quote Originally Posted by 4matic View Post
    Major bank earnings on a Friday ahead of a three day weekend is very unusual.

    JPMorgan Chase, Citi and Wells Fargo will tell investors how they did during the fourth quarter and what to expect in 2022 when they report earnings on Friday....
    Hoping for good news from WFC, I've been riding that train for a long time. Up something like 65% in the past year. When they get their concent orders removed, look for 75-80$

    Sent from my SM-T580 using Tapatalk

  5. #15005
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,454
    JPM gap up $4 on the first trading day of 2022 and is close to its all time high. Important day for the stock tomorrow. The gap is $10 lower than itís closing prince today.

  6. #15006
    Join Date
    Jul 2016
    Location
    NY
    Posts
    1,964
    IĒm interested in some opinions from some hopefully- better- educated- than- me sources. In laymanísí terms, how overvalued do we think the stock market is right now at the macro level. I just heard somebody say 30 trillion which is terrifying to me.

  7. #15007
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,454

    Is the stock market going to tank?

    I saw an analyst say itís 10% for every 1% Fed raise. So a 30x stock would be worth 27x.

    Thatís for stocks with earnings though. The high flying tech names with no earnings is anyones guess.

  8. #15008
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,454
    If TSLA turns lower today look out below.

  9. #15009
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,454
    Highest close on the 10y since 1/19/20

  10. #15010
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,454
    Itís clear why MSFT been selling off. Blue horseshoe loves Annacott Steel

  11. #15011
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,454
    SP500 is still 80 points (2%) higher than the December low.

  12. #15012
    Join Date
    Nov 2002
    Location
    Behind the Zion Curtain
    Posts
    4,314
    Slowly backing out of the bitcoin thread…

    Been getting crushed by CMPS and ACCD, not to mention BBBY. Looks like Friday I’ll be doubling if not tripling down on two of them. Still keeping the faith.

    Luckily my energy plays are still keeping me comfortably ahead. The midstream stuff I bought around this time last year have served me well.

    XOM has been on a tear, my covered call isn’t looking well right now. I’m hoping for a small swoon tomorrow on the build of gas inventories, if so I’ll probably buy back at a loss to keep all of my position. If it doesn’t swoon tomorrow I’ve still got two weeks to hope for something to go wrong, heh. I’m half tempted to buy a put to hedge.

  13. #15013
    Join Date
    Jan 2017
    Location
    on the banks of Fish Creek
    Posts
    5,182
    hut, hut...... hike

  14. #15014
    Join Date
    Feb 2005
    Location
    North Vancouver/Whistler
    Posts
    13,139
    PTON and BYND mwahaha. Love it!

  15. #15015
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Posts
    6,413
    Quote Originally Posted by BobMc View Post
    Slowly backing out of the bitcoin thread…


    XOM has been on a tear, my covered call isn’t looking well right now. I’m hoping for a small swoon tomorrow on the build of gas inventories, if so I’ll probably buy back at a loss to keep all of my position. If it doesn’t swoon tomorrow I’ve still got two weeks to hope for something to go wrong, heh. I’m half tempted to buy a put to hedge.
    Pleasantly surprised by my XOM stake. The dividend is enough to cover my gas bills...
    "We don't beat the reaper by living longer, we beat the reaper by living well and living fully." - Randy Pausch

  16. #15016
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,454
    Not four months ago the SP500 was 4288 and rates were a lot lower

  17. #15017
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,454
    Compound annual return on IWM since the 2018 high is around 2.5%. Takes it all back at $173

  18. #15018
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
    Location
    PDX
    Posts
    3,878
    Quote Originally Posted by LeeLau View Post
    PTON and BYND mwahaha. Love it!
    Don't forget about NFLX.

    Sent from my Pixel 6 Pro using Tapatalk

  19. #15019
    Join Date
    Nov 2002
    Location
    Behind the Zion Curtain
    Posts
    4,314
    Broke my streak of not losing on options and being assigned. Had a CMPS and ACCD put option assigned today, a day early. Both were at a $22.50 strike, both of which could be bought a lot cheaper today. I’m not really bummed, as I was fully willing to buy at that price when I set the options to sell. I still gained .70 on each below what I was willing to pay at the time. I still have confidence both will end up making me money.

    Bought my $17.50 put on ACCD back for .04, lowering my cost per another .70. It expires tomorrow but I figured $4 was cheap insurance in case anything happens. Wish I’d have priced my SOFI put more in the money, good timing on that one. With the bank charter news that one has been free money.

    The scrap man came by the shop, split up amongst the guys I ended up with $112. Dipped my toe into the SPAC world, bought 10 shares of GGPI. I had set the buy a few days ago at $11.00, came close a few times and finally filled after hours today. Polestar hit their sales targets and barring more chip shortage problems should be primed for tailwinds.

    I feel a bit free without the puts I had sold, I still have some cash to allocate and can now concentrate on the dividend/distribution front.

  20. #15020
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    STL
    Posts
    11,111
    Is it game on this time? Long over due for a reset. I expect one full standard deviation from high. Cash burning a hole in my pocket.


    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums

  21. #15021
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,454
    Lows are often made on an expiration Friday

  22. #15022
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,454
    GME either side of $100. Not surprising on an expiration day and could lead to closing volatility

  23. #15023
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Location
    Verdi NV
    Posts
    10,191
    I noticed the investment I made in ndaq at 200$. Per. Has lost 22 dollars a share
    So. I did the only sensible thing
    Bought 10 more shares!
    I would have bought more but like having some extra cash in the checking account

    And that lost 2 dollars a share by the end of the day

    I’m still pretty sure it will claw back to its historical high of 216$ per share
    Last edited by MTT; 01-22-2022 at 09:31 AM.
    Own your fail. ~Jer~

  24. #15024
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    STL
    Posts
    11,111
    178 million option contracts or $3 trillion in notional expire today! Largest ever. Expiration fireworks or are there $2 trillion in worthless calls coming off and there will be nada?


    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums

  25. #15025
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,454

    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Quote Originally Posted by Cono Este View Post
    178 million option contracts or $3 trillion in notional expire today! Largest ever. Expiration fireworks or are there $2 trillion in worthless calls coming off and there will be nada?
    Canít wait for March quarterly. So exciting!

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