Is the stock market going to tank?

[4matic]

“if tens of millions of $ can move/maintain these betting odds on the unregulated offshore sites, but are impacting trillion $ global markets (US Treasuries, etc), what prevents the legal “gaming” of these election odds?”

[m2711c]

big drop on IRM today…

[summit]

Why TSLA up but RIVN down?

[J. Barron DeJong]

Why TSLA up but RIVN down?

Tariffs will hurt Rivian but Musk will get an exception for Tesla?

Trump is going to curry so many favors (bribes) with his tariffs.

[jono]

Why TSLA up but RIVN down?

Heh. Good one

[JimmyCarter]

Per Wellington

“Trump’s victory is likely to accelerate macroeconomic trends already in motion: labor supply (weaker), the supply of tradable goods (contracting), and a deteriorating fiscal backdrop. These are likely to lead to higher near-term inflation and higher inflation volatility."

[skaredshtles]

Per Wellington

“Trump’s victory is likely to accelerate macroeconomic trends already in motion: labor supply (weaker), the supply of tradable goods (contracting), and a deteriorating fiscal backdrop. These are likely to lead to higher near-term inflation and higher inflation volatility."

Prediction:

iNfLaTiOn iS A TrAiLiNg iNdIcAtOr! iT'S AlL BiDeN'S FaUlT!!

[liv2ski]

Thanks for the laugh

[Mazderati]

Buffett / Berkshire. Fearful when others are greedy or eyes on an acquisition?

[byates1]

Fearful. Dude is sitting on huge cash. Canary in a coal mine. Or not who knows. But hey

[m2711c]

he needs a little nest egg so as he can start thinkin' bout retirements...


fact.

[fastfred]

use your brain
I got a buddy who does high level gov't top secret work he told me a month ago that the stock market is overvalued by at least 3x what it's listing at
he's got lots of money in the bank and his grand dad died poor after developing alot of miami beach
I hang out with alot of people whose parents or them went to MIT
my old man told me he wrote in niikki halliey I asked him why he jus tdidn't vote for jill stien he told me I was the third person to tell him that

shits gonna get fucked time the market and get out
my trust fund is getting scared
just signed ten pages of bullshit today and was like why don't you just pay me now

[The AD]

I got a buddy who does high level gov't top secret work he told me a month ago that the stock market is overvalued by at least 3x what it's listing at

Well, that proves it. I'm getting out of the market now.

[m2711c]

Where is this market going?

[skaredshtles]

Well, that proves it. I'm getting out of the market now.

NakedShorts would be proud... perhaps he just called it a couple years too early.

[406]

Got some VDE when it looked like Iran might get invaded, but decided not worth the hassle.
Got burned on VXX election day, but did a big VOO buy.

Where is this market going?

My guess still good amount of up before a huge crash within the next 4 years. I'm not selling, but planning to do less buying in the brokerage account. Not sure what to do with the small amount of BND I have...been annoyed to have it since buying. No change in 401k. Still transitioning t-bills to t-notes or cd's above 4%.

[byates1]

Don't worry Iran will get invaded. A lucrative dust up waiting to happen

[Kevo]

I expect inflation over the next several years.

More tax cuts and deficit spending, trade wars, and no political will to allow rates to be high enough to curb inflation.

I expect that money will go looking for yield in risk assets.

[summit]

I expect inflation over the next several years.

More tax cuts and deficit spending, trade wars, and no political will to allow rates to be high enough to curb inflation.

I expect that money will go looking for yield in risk assets.

I agree, but how to deploy?

[Toadman]

I agree, but how to deploy?

People still need to eat. Although RFK jr. is going to make food more expensive and the shelf life is going to be a few days at best once it hits the grocery store shelves. Just buy whatever billionaires on Trump's good list and you should be fine. Those Trump supporting billionaires are going to line up at the federal gov't trough and load up on no bid contracts.

[Kevo]

I agree, but how to deploy?

I’m staying invested in equities and continuing to buy index funds. I hold some BTC as well.

I suspect that very specific supply constrained RE could also be worthwhile. We’ll see.

[dschane]

Where are prediction markets on whether the bond vigilantes will be the hedge against significant tariffs and deficit spending? Shorting treasuries over the next 2 years would be my aggressive play if I didn't have mouths to feed.

[Yukonrider]

Investor mags, I need a bit of hand holding through how this all works. I opened a Fidelity account, transferred in $1000 to start. I am looking to invest in SGOV, short term Tbill ETF fund, looks like it should return about 4.6% after fees. My questions are this:

Do I just do a transfer from my account into this fund, then what, how do they pay me my "profits", monthly, daily? I read the prospectus and didn't see any time limits, long or short, or odd fees from Fidelity's side.

It all seems so easy, what am I missing in the mechanics of this (not looking for investing advice here, though would be glad to share goals as a secondary to my original question).

Just want to make sure I'm not sending my money out into the internet to never return.

[Mani_UT]

Do I just do a transfer from my account into this fund, then what, how do they pay me my "profits", monthly, daily? I read the prospectus and didn't see any time limits, long or short, or odd fees from Fidelity's side..

Look under "distributions". It's monthly. On the case of SGOV, currently 41c / share. ( just paid Nov 1st)

[bfree]

And you can choose if you want your monthly distributions to be reinvested (stay in SGOV) or paid as cash to your sweep account.