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  1. #18426
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    19,965
    3% daily move in big picture is nothing. I bought BXMT and have an open order for PAXS. PLTR in the low 20’s is interesting

  2. #18427
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    STL
    Posts
    13,757
    Vix at 40 is a historical sell/mkt buy. trying to unload a little but vanguard is down. I’m not selling it all because we gapped and I think there is enough risk on in the wrong places to be a catalyst to a liquidity/capitulation event.

    Wish me luck.

  3. #18428
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
    Location
    Paper St. Soap Co.
    Posts
    3,481
    funny:

    "Due to a technical issue, some clients may have difficulty logging in to Schwab platforms and may have difficulty reaching us by phone. Please accept our apologies as our teams work to resolve the issue as quickly as possible."

    Seems like a MAJOR fail. Guess I will not be doing any buying today.

  4. #18429
    Join Date
    Dec 2016
    Location
    In a van... down by the river
    Posts
    14,809
    Quote Originally Posted by Bunion 2020 View Post
    Went to 75% cash back on May 1 and been kicking myself since. Until Friday.
    We're still not down to the May 1st level. You know what they say about timing the market...

    See where it goes from here.
    That's really all we can do.

  5. #18430
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    STL
    Posts
    13,757
    I say oct 2023 low. Or, that’s my prediction. I’m not buying a fucking thing before.

  6. #18431
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Posts
    8,584
    Quote Originally Posted by Kevo View Post
    Nikkei is down more than 12% today and 23% in a month.

    It's now back down to 1989 levels. Japan spent 35 years clawing their way back from the 1990 crash only to crash again a few months later.

    Surely US markets will be a bloodbath on Monday, no?
    What's driving the Nikkei into the red? I've seen the Yen getting hammered this past year. But honestly haven't been paying much attention. Does that mean I should go hit up Hokkaido next January?
    "We don't beat the reaper by living longer, we beat the reaper by living well and living fully." - Randy Pausch

  7. #18432
    Join Date
    Jan 2017
    Location
    on the banks of Fish Creek
    Posts
    8,538
    yen depreciation is already driving a hudge tourism increase. If you do go, pick tohoku over hokkiado to avoid the crowds of aussies and chinese.

  8. #18433
    Join Date
    Oct 2007
    Posts
    13,181
    Quote Originally Posted by 406 View Post
    funny:

    "Due to a technical issue, some clients may have difficulty logging in to Schwab platforms and may have difficulty reaching us by phone. Please accept our apologies as our teams work to resolve the issue as quickly as possible."

    Seems like a MAJOR fail. Guess I will not be doing any buying today.
    Vanguard went down too. Conspiracy? or just high volume crashing sites?

  9. #18434
    Join Date
    Oct 2006
    Location
    MA
    Posts
    7,091
    Quote Originally Posted by LeeLau View Post
    VIX touched 29. I sold volatility
    You selling more of it? Midas whale right?
    Decisions Decisions

  10. #18435
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Not in the PRB
    Posts
    33,888
    Quote Originally Posted by skaredshtles View Post
    We're still not down to the May 1st level. You know what they say about timing the market...
    thought the same thing.

    Saw everyone posting about bloodbaths and recession and whatnot. From one bad jobs report? WTF? And then I went to look and the DOW/S&P/NASDAQ are all down between 2-3%, which is obviously not good but hardly a market crash. Goddam are people overreacting or am I missing something?
    "fuck off you asshat gaper shit for brains fucktard wanker." - Jesus Christ
    "She was tossing her bean salad with the vigor of a Drunken Pop princess so I walked out of the corner and said.... "need a hand?"" - Odin
    "everybody's got their hooks into you, fuck em....forge on motherfuckers, drag all those bitches across the goal line with you." - (not so) ill-advised strategy

  11. #18436
    Join Date
    Jan 2017
    Location
    on the banks of Fish Creek
    Posts
    8,538
    people are cattle and it don’t take much ta get teh herd ta stampede…

  12. #18437
    Join Date
    Jan 2017
    Location
    on the banks of Fish Creek
    Posts
    8,538
    Quote Originally Posted by 406 View Post
    funny:

    "Due to a technical issue, some clients may have difficulty logging in to Schwab platforms and may have difficulty reaching us by phone. Please accept our apologies as our teams work to resolve the issue as quickly as possible."

    Seems like a MAJOR fail. Guess I will not be doing any buying today.
    Quote Originally Posted by Name Redacted View Post
    Vanguard went down too. Conspiracy? or just high volume crashing sites?

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/busin...-trading-down/

  13. #18438
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Near Perimetr.
    Posts
    3,858
    Quote Originally Posted by Toadman View Post
    What's driving the Nikkei into the red? I've seen the Yen getting hammered this past year.
    Dont know how accurate.

    Click image for larger version. 

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    The floggings will continue until morale improves.

  14. #18439
    Join Date
    Oct 2007
    Posts
    13,181
    Quote Originally Posted by Danno View Post
    thought the same thing.

    Saw everyone posting about bloodbaths and recession and whatnot. From one bad jobs report? WTF? And then I went to look and the DOW/S&P/NASDAQ are all down between 2-3%, which is obviously not good but hardly a market crash. Goddam are people overreacting or am I missing something?
    If you ask a Republican they'll tell you we have been in a recession since the day Biden took office. Sorry. (PollyAsshat. My bad)

    But yeah, the fed is about ready to start dropping rates, that should help boost some stocks I would think. But really, do people think this shit will really last forever?

  15. #18440
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    STL
    Posts
    13,757
    Fed fears inflation more than recession. They are out of bullets.

  16. #18441
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Location
    your vacation
    Posts
    4,888
    Quote Originally Posted by Danno View Post
    thought the same thing.

    Saw everyone posting about bloodbaths and recession and whatnot. From one bad jobs report? WTF? And then I went to look and the DOW/S&P/NASDAQ are all down between 2-3%, which is obviously not good but hardly a market crash. Goddam are people overreacting or am I missing something?
    every boomer is clutching their purse right now hoping for a solid bail out by the gov't so they can keep living their best life after all that boot strap pulling they've done ya know riding the greatest wave of economic prosperity ever

    you are not missing anything
    people love fear
    some of us just keep on keeping on

  17. #18442
    Join Date
    Apr 2006
    Posts
    9,458
    Quote Originally Posted by 406 View Post
    funny:

    "Due to a technical issue, some clients may have difficulty logging in to Schwab platforms and may have difficulty reaching us by phone. Please accept our apologies as our teams work to resolve the issue as quickly as possible."

    Seems like a MAJOR fail. Guess I will not be doing any buying today.
    The great taking.

  18. #18443
    Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    8,740
    Quote Originally Posted by Cono Este View Post
    Fed fears inflation more than recession. They are out of bullets.
    So it's finally time to fight the fed? Wear GoPro, post footie.

  19. #18444
    Join Date
    Nov 2008
    Location
    Edge of the Great Basin
    Posts
    6,475
    It's a bull market for macro charlatans


    In stock news: Google lost the Federal Antitrust Case. Judge says company is a ‘Monopolist’

  20. #18445
    Join Date
    Dec 2004
    Location
    Where the sheets have no stains
    Posts
    23,129
    Quote Originally Posted by skaredshtles View Post
    We're still not down to the May 1st level. You know what they say about timing the market...


    That's really all we can do.
    I wasn't timing the market. I am at my number for retirement and with MMs paying 5% and all and my feeling that the markets were over priced I did the sell in May and go away.
    I have been in this State for 30 years and I am willing to admit that I am part of the problem.

    "Happiest years of my life were earning < $8.00 and hour, collecting unemployment every spring and fall, no car, no debt and no responsibilities. 1984-1990 Park City UT"

  21. #18446
    Join Date
    Dec 2016
    Location
    In a van... down by the river
    Posts
    14,809
    Quote Originally Posted by Bunion 2020 View Post
    I wasn't timing the market. I am at my number for retirement and with MMs paying 5% and all and my feeling that the markets were over priced I did the sell in May and go away.
    Ah - carry on. You just made it sound like you were trying to time the market with the "kicking myself" comment.

  22. #18447
    Join Date
    Apr 2021
    Posts
    89
    Quote Originally Posted by Bunion 2020 View Post
    Went to 75% cash back on May 1 and been kicking myself since. Until Friday.See where it goes from here.
    I'm cash/MM heavy now too and keeping an eye out for deals–lots of things haven't even hit their 6mo lows yet so still waiting a few more days. Eg. Apple is still up 20% from March and VTI is still up 20% from last October so a bit to fall before this is my dip. But maybe I will start a spread this week.

    Not financial advice lmao. Of course time-in >> timing
    Last edited by priapism; 08-05-2024 at 03:10 PM.

  23. #18448
    Join Date
    Dec 2004
    Location
    Where the sheets have no stains
    Posts
    23,129
    Quote Originally Posted by skaredshtles View Post
    Ah - carry on. You just made it sound like you were trying to time the market with the "kicking myself" comment.
    I try not to even look or follow closely but with the rise since 5/1 it was difficult not to, except that I was pretty sure I was right.

    Again, time will tell if its a blip a correction or a true sell off.
    I have been in this State for 30 years and I am willing to admit that I am part of the problem.

    "Happiest years of my life were earning < $8.00 and hour, collecting unemployment every spring and fall, no car, no debt and no responsibilities. 1984-1990 Park City UT"

  24. #18449
    Join Date
    Dec 2016
    Location
    In a van... down by the river
    Posts
    14,809
    Quote Originally Posted by Bunion 2020 View Post
    I try not to even look or follow closely but with the rise since 5/1 it was difficult not to, except that I was pretty sure I was right.
    I got out almost completely early in the pandemic, and despite being wrong about the direction of the market, I slept really well for a *long* time.

  25. #18450
    Join Date
    Dec 2004
    Location
    Where the sheets have no stains
    Posts
    23,129
    Peace of mind is very under rated.
    I have been in this State for 30 years and I am willing to admit that I am part of the problem.

    "Happiest years of my life were earning < $8.00 and hour, collecting unemployment every spring and fall, no car, no debt and no responsibilities. 1984-1990 Park City UT"

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