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  1. #15826
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    9,300ft
    Posts
    20,191
    Quote Originally Posted by Cono Este View Post
    I’m a horrible analyst. I have a small list of blue chips I’ve been buying for over 20 yrs. I think I first bought dis at 30 something. I also throw money into MO, JNJ, PEP, and a few others.
    Cool. I'm novice at this so I am just trying to understand people's rationale. I'll probably still be a novice in another 20 years
    Quote Originally Posted by blurred
    skiing is hiking all day so that you can ski on shitty gear for 5 minutes.

  2. #15827
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,792
    Quote Originally Posted by Summit View Post
    Cool. I'm novice at this so I am just trying to understand people's rationale. I'll probably still be a novice in another 20 years
    T is up on the year. Up today. Pays a 5% fully covered dividend and spin-off the controversial and debt burdened Warner Media. Plus, they are thinking about raising prices for cell plans.

  3. #15828
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,792
    I hate and don’t get the correlation to crypto. I suppose it weakens a key demographic spending power.

  4. #15829
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    STL
    Posts
    11,592

    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Quote Originally Posted by Summit View Post
    Cool. I'm novice at this so I am just trying to understand people's rationale. I'll probably still be a novice in another 20 years
    I know risk, options, and can call shit in the near term better than most. I also can still put up. 23 sec 50 yrs freestyle, but that’s for another time and place.

    I learnt from all my trust fund friends, buy good shit and never sell. My criteria is that no matter what happens, the company will be around. I have a friend who just inherited around 1 billion in UPS stock his grandfather bought in 1945. No one has ever sold a single share. Not one.

    Unless of course the world ends 30 min from now, which is a small probability, but increasing with mission creep.


    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums

  5. #15830
    Join Date
    Nov 2002
    Location
    Behind the Zion Curtain
    Posts
    4,410
    Quote Originally Posted by VTeton View Post
    Ugly... Cost per share is now under $10, not keeping me up at night yet...
    Heh, I was all ready to assure you with member numbers, bank charter, products…

    Then saw a random comment on a Seeking Alpha article. Went out and found their most recent filing, confirmed.

    “Proposal 5:
    To approve an Amendment to the Company’s Certificate of Incorporation to give the Board of Directors discretionary authority to effect a reverse stock split”

    My puts are for Oct, so I’m not terribly worried, but that doesn’t make me feel tingly. I have a feeling tomorrow may be time to sell another put? Heh, in for a penny in for a pound.

  6. #15831
    Join Date
    Apr 2010
    Posts
    789
    Quote Originally Posted by BobMc View Post
    Heh, I was all ready to assure you with member numbers, bank charter, products…

    Then saw a random comment on a Seeking Alpha article. Went out and found their most recent filing, confirmed.

    “Proposal 5:
    To approve an Amendment to the Company’s Certificate of Incorporation to give the Board of Directors discretionary authority to effect a reverse stock split”

    My puts are for Oct, so I’m not terribly worried, but that doesn’t make me feel tingly. I have a feeling tomorrow may be time to sell another put? Heh, in for a penny in for a pound.
    They probably need to keep it above $5/share to prevent fund selling.

    Sofi up 15% today. Probably down 20% monday.....

    Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

  7. #15832
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Location
    Last Best City in the Last Best Place
    Posts
    5,467
    Quote Originally Posted by Cono Este View Post
    Unless of course the world ends 30 min from now, which is a small probability,
    World probably won't end, but you might.

  8. #15833
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
    Location
    PDX
    Posts
    3,993
    Nasdaq 100 into oversold weekly RSI for first time since Great Recession. Wowza.

  9. #15834
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,792
    Charts look much lower. Inflation worry will turn to deflation soon enough especially if the dollar stays strong.

  10. #15835
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
    Location
    PDX
    Posts
    3,993
    Quote Originally Posted by 4matic View Post
    Charts look much lower. Inflation worry will turn to deflation soon enough especially if the dollar stays strong.
    What about stagflation? Feels like we're gonna go from, "the economy and job market are strong" to "everything is fucked" as quickly as we went from transitory to persistent inflation.

  11. #15836
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,792
    Not long term like the 70’s. There’s going to be huge layoffs coming for the highly paid meme librarians and marginal tech workers. Service economy will then have a better supply of workers.

  12. #15837
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
    Location
    PDX
    Posts
    3,993
    Quote Originally Posted by 4matic View Post
    Charts look much lower. Inflation worry will turn to deflation soon enough especially if the dollar stays strong.
    Do you mean charts aren't as bad as they look? Or that you think we're going lower?

    Quote Originally Posted by 4matic View Post
    Not long term like the 70’s. There’s going to be huge layoffs coming for the highly paid meme librarians and marginal tech workers. Service economy will then have a better supply of workers.
    I hope you're right. I'm tired of living through financial crises.

  13. #15838
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,792

    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Long term chart looks like nasdaq 8k. S&P 3200. Take back all the pandemic gains is reasonable.

    10y rate was 1.8% then so lower is possible or rates have to come off.

  14. #15839
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    The Mayonnaisium
    Posts
    9,594
    Quote Originally Posted by 4matic View Post
    There’s going to be huge layoffs coming for the highly paid meme librarians...

  15. #15840
    Join Date
    Mar 2019
    Posts
    1,450
    Quote Originally Posted by stalefish3169 View Post
    Do you mean charts aren't as bad as they look? Or that you think we're going lower?



    I hope you're right. I'm tired of living through financial crises.
    As long as humans are irrational creatures, you’re always gonna have crises.

  16. #15841
    Join Date
    Nov 2011
    Location
    Missoula
    Posts
    337
    Quote Originally Posted by Cono Este View Post
    I learnt from all my trust fund friends, buy good shit and never sell. My criteria is that no matter what happens, the company will be around. I have a friend who just inherited around 1 billion in UPS stock his grandfather bought in 1945. No one has ever sold a single share. Not one.

    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums
    Your friend owns .6% of UPS?

  17. #15842
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
    Location
    PDX
    Posts
    3,993
    Quote Originally Posted by mcphee View Post
    As long as humans are irrational creatures, you’re always gonna have crises.
    I guess I don't disagree. But there was a time not too long ago when most regular people could afford houses...often from one breadwinner's salary.

  18. #15843
    Join Date
    Apr 2006
    Location
    Movin' On
    Posts
    3,243
    Quote Originally Posted by 4matic View Post
    Long term chart looks like nasdaq 8k. S&P 3200. Take back all the pandemic gains is reasonable.

    10y rate was 1.8% then so lower is possible or rates have to come off.
    By long term chart, are you looking at where things were the last time rates were at levels where the FFR is expected to go to? Just trying to understand your methodology since I don't know much about reading charts.

  19. #15844
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
    Location
    PDX
    Posts
    3,993

  20. #15845
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,792

    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Previous highs prior to pandemic when rates were lower. If rates are higher why not lower than that?

  21. #15846
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,792
    I been saying..my local Costco is way down on traffic and it’s basically drive up to the gas pumps.

  22. #15847
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
    Location
    PDX
    Posts
    3,993
    Quote Originally Posted by Kevo View Post
    By long term chart, are you looking at where things were the last time rates were at levels where the FFR is expected to go to? Just trying to understand your methodology since I don't know much about reading charts.
    A bottom of 8K is a logical guess based upon the existing monthly support and resistance noted by the blue horizontal line.

    I suspect the actions of the fed will probably play a larger role than technical analysis though.

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  23. #15848
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    18,792
    I only use straight lines

  24. #15849
    Join Date
    Dec 2016
    Location
    In a van... down by the river
    Posts
    10,075

  25. #15850
    Join Date
    Jan 2022
    Posts
    688
    Quote Originally Posted by 4matic View Post
    I been saying..my local Costco is way down on traffic and it’s basically drive up to the gas pumps.
    That would be nice.

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