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  1. #7851
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    Dec 2008
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    It's a great time to gtfo of equities imo.

  2. #7852
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    14,843
    Quote Originally Posted by Stu Gotz View Post
    Triple top?
    No such thing? Never sell a triple top (or bottom)? Shorter term still working the exact double top on the e-mini futures. Also closed right on a double bottom SP500 daily chart.

    EEM was up slightly so no immediate problem.

  3. #7853
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    At the beach
    Posts
    11,871
    Take cover...

    Attachment 284021
    Quote Originally Posted by leroy jenkins View Post
    I think you'd have an easier time understanding people if you remembered that 80% of them are fucking morons.
    That is why I like dogs, more than most people.

  4. #7854
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Location
    2 hours from anything
    Posts
    7,977
    Quote Originally Posted by Bromontane View Post
    It's a great time to gtfo of equities imo.
    I had to sell to buy into my company last month. Looks like I lucked into a sale at the peak. 401k is still in a mix of whole stock market, s&p, etc and I’m not going to try to time that.

  5. #7855
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
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    What would Benjamin Graham do?

    Attachment 284061

  6. #7856
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Turin, Hugging The Horse
    Posts
    3,374
    "These copybook maxims have always been easy to enunciate..."

    FFS.

    Buy or Sell?

    Crypto or Bonds?

    #piningforlambo

    The floggings will continue until morale improves.

  7. #7857
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
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    Posts
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    Quote Originally Posted by Meathelmet View Post
    Crypto or Bonds?
    It's perceived as a cheeky remark but for how long? Every major currency (JPY, CNH, USD, EUR) has been subjected to highly experimental monetary policy. What happens when debt is monetized, asset prices are targeted by policy BUT there is a safe alternative to the schemes? We're there now but very few have acknowledged it. It's pretty complex systems theory in motion.

  8. #7858
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    Dec 2008
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    Semiconductors monthly candle giving a bit of a hint to the market. Markets top with high volatility and complacent sentiment.

    Attachment 284335

  9. #7859
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    14,843
    10y at 2.13%. New all time lows won’t surprise me.


    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums

  10. #7860
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Big in Japan
    Posts
    36,426
    Great takedown of Uber. Bullshit wins.

    https://americanaffairsjournal.org/2...of-destruction

    Let's do some livin'
    After, we die

  11. #7861
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    STL
    Posts
    8,633
    Quote Originally Posted by 4matic View Post
    10y at 2.13%. New all time lows won’t surprise me.


    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums
    There is no way we make out of the Trump era without a serious correction.

    - 40% from highs.


    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums

  12. #7862
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Big in Japan
    Posts
    36,426
    Not while rates stay low.

    Let's do some livin'
    After, we die

  13. #7863
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    STL
    Posts
    8,633

    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Quote Originally Posted by Benny Profane View Post
    Not while rates stay low.
    Never stopped us before. Plus the trade wars, when it’s no longer a punchline, is going to wreak havoc on supply lines.

    Bonds should rally in a sell off anyway.


    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums

  14. #7864
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    At the beach
    Posts
    11,871
    Quote Originally Posted by Cono Este View Post
    There is no way we make out of the Trump era without a serious correction.

    - 40% from highs.


    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums
    From your lips to DOG's ears
    Quote Originally Posted by leroy jenkins View Post
    I think you'd have an easier time understanding people if you remembered that 80% of them are fucking morons.
    That is why I like dogs, more than most people.

  15. #7865
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
    Location
    Posts
    5,131
    I think Boeing is going to rapidly move through the 200s & retest the 2016 breakout from ~160. TBD how bad things get for them.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/01/b...max-crash.html

  16. #7866
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Big in Japan
    Posts
    36,426
    Quote Originally Posted by Cono Este View Post
    Never stopped us before. Plus the trade wars, when it’s no longer a punchline, is going to wreak havoc on supply lines.

    Bonds should rally in a sell off anyway.


    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums
    Money will flow to higher returns. Nobody is buying bonds at 2, unless they're really scared, which could happen, but, if you were holding your breath for the next crisis, you'd be dead.

    Let's do some livin'
    After, we die

  17. #7867
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
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    STL
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    8,633
    Quote Originally Posted by Benny Profane View Post
    Money will flow to higher returns. Nobody is buying bonds at 2, unless they're really scared, which could happen, but, if you were holding your breath for the next crisis, you'd be dead.
    What is a “higher” return and where do I find it?

    Flight to safety.




    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums

  18. #7868
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Big in Japan
    Posts
    36,426
    Quote Originally Posted by Cono Este View Post
    What is a “higher” return and where do I find it?

    Flight to safety.




    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums
    Dude, the equity markets, dummy. Why so scared?

    Let's do some livin'
    After, we die

  19. #7869
    Join Date
    Sep 2010
    Location
    Zurich, Switzerland
    Posts
    5,521
    Markets go up. Markets go down. That is what they do. They do this a lot more when you have a volatile idiot for a president. He’ll say something next week that will set them boomeranging back up again. People need to chill.

  20. #7870
    Join Date
    Oct 2007
    Posts
    8,203
    Quote Originally Posted by Lindahl View Post
    Markets go up. Markets go down. That is what they do. They do this a lot more when you have a volatile idiot for a president. He’ll say something next week that will set them boomeranging back up again. People need to chill.
    I have a theory that he's telling a select group of his buddies to short sell just before he does something like introduce tariffs.

  21. #7871
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Big in Japan
    Posts
    36,426
    So do I.

    Let's do some livin'
    After, we die

  22. #7872
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    NY
    Posts
    369
    Quote Originally Posted by shredgnar View Post
    I have a theory that he's telling a select group of his buddies to short sell just before he does something like introduce tariffs.
    It's certainly an easy way to make money, when no one gives a shit about what you do.

  23. #7873
    Join Date
    Sep 2001
    Location
    The Cone of Uncertainty
    Posts
    46,998
    lots of people care my man.

  24. #7874
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
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    Posts
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lindahl View Post
    Markets go up. Markets go down. That is what they do. They do this a lot more when you have a volatile idiot for a president. He’ll say something next week that will set them boomeranging back up again. People need to chill.
    If <50 this^^

    If >50-60, at least skim the Intelligent Investor and act accordingly. Wayyyy too many boomers are 80+% allocated to high beta investments. Don't think prior cycles had this imbalance given better FI yields then.

  25. #7875
    Join Date
    Sep 2001
    Location
    The Cone of Uncertainty
    Posts
    46,998
    vwinx and vwelx are my rocks.

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