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  1. #23276
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    Flavor Country
    Posts
    2,863
    Quote Originally Posted by Danno View Post
    the remodel was 6 years ago.

    the separation and sale of the house was 18 months ago.

    the move out of Boulder was 6 months ago.

    the final divorce decree is (hopefully) next week.
    Damn I must have missed something about the divorce, or maybe you just didn't mention it on here. Either way I'm sorry to hear about it, if the RFV ever corrects 10% we'll start sending you listings.
    "They don't think it be like it is, but it do."

  2. #23277
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Not in the PRB
    Posts
    30,321
    Quote Originally Posted by Joey Joe Joe Junior Shabadoo View Post
    Damn I must have missed something about the divorce, or maybe you just didn't mention it on here. Either way I'm sorry to hear about it, if the RFV ever corrects 10% we'll start sending you listings.
    I never mentioned it directly on here, this may actually be the first time that I have done so explicitly, though I have made some references. It's a good thing overall, though there were periods (mostly 18 months ago) that sucked a lot.
    "fuck off you asshat gaper shit for brains fucktard wanker." - Jesus Christ
    "She was tossing her bean salad with the vigor of a Drunken Pop princess so I walked out of the corner and said.... "need a hand?"" - Odin
    "I'd eat a bag of Dicks and wash it down with a Coke any day." - iceman

  3. #23278
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Posts
    7,269
    Quote Originally Posted by Danno View Post
    I never mentioned it directly on here, this may actually be the first time that I have done so explicitly, though I have made some references. It's a good thing overall, though there were periods (mostly 18 months ago) that sucked a lot.
    Nothing hopefully that some powder skiing can't heal.
    "We don't beat the reaper by living longer, we beat the reaper by living well and living fully." - Randy Pausch

  4. #23279
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    Not in the PRB
    Posts
    30,321
    Quote Originally Posted by Toadman View Post
    Nothing hopefully that some powder skiing can't heal.
    I skied more last winter than I had in any year since before I met my ex. So yes.
    "fuck off you asshat gaper shit for brains fucktard wanker." - Jesus Christ
    "She was tossing her bean salad with the vigor of a Drunken Pop princess so I walked out of the corner and said.... "need a hand?"" - Odin
    "I'd eat a bag of Dicks and wash it down with a Coke any day." - iceman

  5. #23280
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
    Location
    Bend
    Posts
    751
    Some of the price correction data is misleading, Iíve calculated some myself and there are a couple contributing factors. I worked in both southern and central Oregon during the last year, and the data is different in each and depending on price point.

    A lot of inventory in Bend nearly doubled in a 24 month period from April 2020 to April 2022. Certainly there were a very small number of people that timed that perfectly and got in and out around that time frame. An average of recently closed properties are off 20% from peak market, which was a relatively small window. So, is perceived value down 20% from peak, or is it up 63% since April 2020? Both. Runaway appreciation made unsustainable gains that have evaporated. But, itís hard to say that the sky is falling quite yet.

  6. #23281
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    9,300ft
    Posts
    20,734


    This seems to fit here nicely
    Quote Originally Posted by blurred
    skiing is hiking all day so that you can ski on shitty gear for 5 minutes.

  7. #23282
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    Central OR
    Posts
    5,904
    Iím listing my current place near Bend in a week or two; just had my offer accepted on a place in Redmond. Last time I took this risk, I had two houses for 2.75 years. I hate gambling, but here I am again. Wish me luck!

  8. #23283
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
    Location
    Bend
    Posts
    751
    Quote Originally Posted by Flyoverland Captive View Post
    Iím listing my current place near Bend in a week or two; just had my offer accepted on a place in Redmond. Last time I took this risk, I had two houses for 2.75 years. I hate gambling, but here I am again. Wish me luck!
    Itís always scary. Best of luck! Is your purchase offer contingent on the sale of your other property?

    Shoot me a PM with the address and Iíll keep an eye on it. I have a few buyers Iím representing in central Oregon at the moment.

  9. #23284
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    Central OR
    Posts
    5,904
    PM sent.

  10. #23285
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
    Location
    Bend
    Posts
    751
    Quote Originally Posted by Flyoverland Captive View Post
    PM sent.
    Got it and replied. Although for some reason it didnít record a sent copy, so let me know if it doesnít come through and Iíll resend.

    Danno, I saw a couple things about you having shared custody of your daughter so I assumed you were separated. Good for you getting out and skiing. Healthy outlets are key for my mental health. I hope the decree provides closure.

  11. #23286
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    Central OR
    Posts
    5,904
    Got it; thanks.

  12. #23287
    Join Date
    Sep 2015
    Posts
    144
    I think the most desirable locations will take the longest to drop (and won't drop as far) but I've yet to experience where the pendulum swings so fast, and so far to one side, without it swinging way back the other way at some point. America is filled with sheeple and so many don't have the discipline to not follow the heard when they see their neighbor get a new boat, RV, deck, car, 2nd home, etc (especially when the government was the one buying all the toys with their free handouts). Lumber shot up and has since crashed. Car prices shot up and are in the process of crashing (my wife and I had six cars in 2020 and sold 2 of them for more than we paid and are waiting for the right deals before repurchasing). 2023-2024 are going to be interesting to see how far the housing pendulum swings back. Pricing may be sticky in prime areas but as frothy as it got, I just don't see how the pendulum doesn't swing back, and if history is any indication, it usually overshoots people's expectations.

  13. #23288
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    At the beach
    Posts
    17,918
    Disagree, as others have said, many areas are way up from April 2020 (not mine) and those areas will likely not come back to January 2020 levels unless there is mass unemployment.
    Quote Originally Posted by leroy jenkins View Post
    I think you'd have an easier time understanding people if you remembered that 80% of them are fucking morons.
    That is why I like dogs, more than most people.

  14. #23289
    Join Date
    Sep 2009
    Posts
    1,869
    Quote Originally Posted by summit View Post


    This seems to fit here nicely
    Lots of new COVID transplants in the RFV would take exception to this. 3+ years here and we still don't see them at community events.

  15. #23290
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Posts
    7,269
    Quote Originally Posted by liv2ski View Post
    Disagree, as others have said, many areas are way up from April 2020 (not mine) and those areas will likely not come back to January 2020 levels unless there is mass unemployment.
    I tend to agree. It would take a deep and lengthy recession for housing prices to collapse. And then who is buying? Maybe there will be some pain in the Silicon Valley area with all those tech layoffs.
    "We don't beat the reaper by living longer, we beat the reaper by living well and living fully." - Randy Pausch

  16. #23291
    Join Date
    Feb 2011
    Posts
    2,188
    Sample size of one, but we bought our current home in 7/20 (Denver area).

    We're currently up 26% from our purchase price, and down 12% from the peak (6/22).

  17. #23292
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    The Mayonnaisium
    Posts
    10,004
    NEW 19 HRS AGO

    2,190 VIEWS

  18. #23293
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Location
    your vacation
    Posts
    4,193
    What's considered desirable what isn't desirable? Osb is less than 12 bucks a sheet right now it'll go to 15 in May. Was selling for 80 a sheet over a year ago. Housing prices will adjust just like sheets of glue and chipped up wood parts that is highly toxic

  19. #23294
    Join Date
    Aug 2006
    Posts
    7,613
    My town has had one new listing come on the mls since Thanksgiving. One.

    Small town NH with about 2000 units total but still, that is crazy low inventory. Naturally bidding war ensued and was under contract by noon same day. This is despite interest rates rising.

    This is the future I think, at least for decent locales. Between everyone locking in mortgage rates we may never see again over the past two years, the lack of new builds due to nimbys, and overall population growth the supply side is going to keep prices super high in any decent market.
    Live Free or Die

  20. #23295
    Join Date
    Oct 2007
    Location
    Denial
    Posts
    2,388
    I keep hearing this story repeated over and over but here are some numbers for those interested.

    https://wolfstreet.com/2023/02/02/wh...census-bureau/
    The whole human race is de evolving; it is due to birth control, smart people use birth control, and stupid people keep pooping out more stupid babies.

  21. #23296
    Join Date
    Oct 2018
    Posts
    486
    I bet there are a lot of vacant beachfront places available cheap in February on airbnb.

  22. #23297
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Location
    Nhampshire
    Posts
    7,339
    Quote Originally Posted by AdironRider View Post
    My town has had one new listing come on the mls since Thanksgiving. One.

    Small town NH with about 2000 units total but still, that is crazy low inventory. Naturally bidding war ensued and was under contract by noon same day. This is despite interest rates rising.

    This is the future I think, at least for decent locales. Between everyone locking in mortgage rates we may never see again over the past two years, the lack of new builds due to nimbys, and overall population growth the supply side is going to keep prices super high in any decent market.
    We just need more houses built. We're in the hole pretty hard and with WFH there's job capacity for areas that didn't have much going on previously.
    However, without meaningful pushes from states (like you're seeing Mass doing and now this is coming out of CA - https://darrellowens.substack.com/p/...-zoning-powers ) the inventory is not going to get built.
    That said, I'm also in a town of 2000 in NH and this is one of the major topics we're talking through in planning board as 2 acre zoned SFRs with the possibility of one small ADU ain't gonna cut it.

  23. #23298
    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Dystopia
    Posts
    18,815
    We don’t need more houses. We need more deed restricted apartment buildings and townhouses that can never go condo.
    Worker housing. Please.

  24. #23299
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Location
    Nhampshire
    Posts
    7,339
    Quote Originally Posted by Core Shot View Post
    We don’t need more houses. We need more deed restricted apartment buildings and townhouses that can never go condo.
    Worker housing. Please.
    Actually agree on this. I should have said "more units"

  25. #23300
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
    Location
    livin the dream
    Posts
    5,335
    Ö..just not in your neighborhood rightÖÖ


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