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Thread: Real Estate Crash thread
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07-21-2022, 11:31 AM #22476
Real Estate Crash thread
Inventory is at 3mo supply. New home sales have completely collapsed. While long term there might be an inventory problem affordability is more important. I see a lot of new apt complexes opening around the region too.
Toll Brothers is offering finance incentives on spec inventory and cutting prices. If sales of existing dont pick up soon prices have to fall or that supply gets carried over to next spring.
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07-21-2022, 11:45 AM #22477
^ i totally agree with that assessment fwiw. I was just commenting that some of the factors are already self correcting themselves.
tons of new apartment complexes going up in Boise, I'm scared to even see what rent they are going to ask.
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07-21-2022, 12:01 PM #22478
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07-21-2022, 12:18 PM #22479
Months supply at 1.3 in the county and 1.2 in Bozeman city limits as of latest data (June 2022). 0.9 this time last year.
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07-21-2022, 12:57 PM #22480
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07-21-2022, 01:18 PM #22481
^ It would be really nice if the existing supply data went back before last year.
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07-21-2022, 01:19 PM #22482
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07-21-2022, 01:21 PM #22483
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07-21-2022, 01:37 PM #22484
Wildly different when you look at aggregate listings (way down still)
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ACTLISCOUUS
as opposed to the ratio of sales/listings
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07-21-2022, 01:45 PM #22485
Sounds like the Town Of Jackson is now limiting short term rentals to once in a 90 day period as opposed to once in a 30 day period. Ill be curious if this actually changes anything.
Forum Cross Pollinator, gratuitously strident
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07-21-2022, 01:52 PM #22486
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07-21-2022, 02:08 PM #22487Registered User
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https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/briti...riod-1.6527837
" British Columbia has announced a mandatory three-day period to allow homebuyers time to arrange an inspection and take other important steps like securing financing in the province's high-pressure real estate market.
Finance Minister Selina Robinson says the consumer protection policy, effective Jan. 1, is aimed at providing people with peace of mind as unconditional offers are common and could later end up costing buyers thousands of dollars in repairs.
Robinson says the policy, the first of its kind in Canada, includes a cancellation fee of 0.25 per cent of the purchase price, or $250 for every $100,000, for those who back out of a deal, balancing the needs of both buyers and sellers."Lee Lau - xxx-er is the laziest Asian canuck I know
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07-21-2022, 02:20 PM #22488
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07-21-2022, 05:17 PM #22489
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07-22-2022, 08:42 AM #22490Registered User
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07-22-2022, 08:51 AM #22491
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07-22-2022, 09:01 AM #22492Registered User
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07-22-2022, 11:05 AM #22493Registered User
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Lee Lau - xxx-er is the laziest Asian canuck I know
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07-22-2022, 11:18 AM #22494
I know in the USA foreign nationals can get a loan with 30% to 50% down, so I would assume Canada has the same thing. There is a place I would love to buy in Vangroovy, but its price is way beyond me. I better buy a Lotto ticket today.
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07-22-2022, 12:08 PM #22495Registered User
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Yeah due to the money laundering/ the 2 waves of crazy rich azns and becuz its pretty nice place Van groovy has been going mach stupid since the downturn of the 80's with absolutely zero intervention until now, in any case it will be interesting to see what effect a cooling off period has on RE sales and i would think people re watching
we get crazy the rich americans up here some buy the RE the thing is its more plane rides out of the USALee Lau - xxx-er is the laziest Asian canuck I know
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07-22-2022, 12:50 PM #22496Registered User
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07-26-2022, 11:27 AM #22497
It's finally happening. The older Gen Z and youngest Millenials can hopefully afford to buy a house.
https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/u...110416053.html
Pantheon Macro estimated that single-family existing home prices dropped by a "hefty" 1.8% in June compared to a month earlier, following a 0.4% fall in May.
"The market is adjusting to a new reality, with much lower sales volumes and far more inventory. Prices, therefore, have to adjust to the downside, likely quite substantially," Shepherdson said."We don't beat the reaper by living longer, we beat the reaper by living well and living fully." - Randy Pausch
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07-26-2022, 11:39 AM #22498
Every flavor of stupid in the comments.
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07-26-2022, 11:51 AM #22499
This is interesting- https://encorebubble.com/visualization-of-price-drops/
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07-26-2022, 12:53 PM #22500
Properties that are prices correctly are still going under contract very fast. Had a client just miss on a 10ac, desirable location outside town, 980k. Savvy sellers/listing agent. If they went 1.2M it may have sat for a bit. Instead it was under contract in like 48 hours which last year would have been a "long time" haha. I'll be curious to see the sales prices when it closes, but I'm guessing this one will be comfortably over asking.
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