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Thread: Wildfire 2022
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05-12-2022, 07:05 PM #76
Jeezus. Friend in NE Colo Spgs was evac'd earlier today, then there was a shelter-in-place order for the Colo Spgs airport in a 2nd incident, and now I hear there may be evac's in Teller County/Cripple Creek?
Fuck me.
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05-13-2022, 01:24 PM #77
1% humidity in multiple places in New Mexico? Damn.
The NWS comment about needing to reach -22 before fog/clouds form puts that in perspective.
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05-13-2022, 03:30 PM #78
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05-13-2022, 03:33 PM #79
I got an alert that we may see/smell smoke from a prescribed fire in the Aspen area.
That doesn't seem like a good idea to me right now.Is it radix panax notoginseng? - splat
This is like hanging yourself but the rope breaks. - DTM
Dude Listen to mtm. He's a marriage counselor at burning man. - subtle plague
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05-13-2022, 04:06 PM #80
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05-17-2022, 04:59 PM #81
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05-17-2022, 07:37 PM #82Registered User
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05-17-2022, 08:18 PM #83
Wildfire 2022
I’m currently not too excited about how first street foundation portrays wildfire. Probability recurrence of wildfire in a wildfire adapted/dependent environment…. Really? Also, their model (like most fire modeling) is primarily based on canopy. Treatments that do not substantially disrupt the canopy will not change their model results.
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05-18-2022, 08:14 AM #84Registered User
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05-18-2022, 09:56 AM #85
That’s an interesting way to consider it. I want to take another close look at their data with that point of view in mind. I’ve been trying to make heads or tails of their output. I’ve heard one presentation from one of their fire ecologist that did a lot of work under the hood, and I’ve heard another fire ecologist not involved in the project give a presentation that intentionally clarified the meaning of model outputs (and what to expect from those outputs) and slightly contradicted the conclusion/output from first street foundation.
I believe their flood model outputs are highly in question about their viability and accuracy.
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05-24-2022, 04:05 PM #86
Good catch by passerby.
https://patch.com/california/altaden...ign=newsletter
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05-24-2022, 07:13 PM #87Registered User
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Holy F'in Nihilism ; the seeds of our own destruction reside within us each and every one.
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05-24-2022, 08:01 PM #88
Lock that fucker up and throw away the key.
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05-24-2022, 09:04 PM #89
Taken from the ridge behind my house. Durango.
That’s Perins Peak.
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05-24-2022, 09:05 PM #90
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05-24-2022, 09:09 PM #91
Wildfire 2022
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05-24-2022, 09:10 PM #92
^^^Yikes!
Stay safe mang
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05-24-2022, 09:10 PM #93
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06-03-2022, 02:32 PM #94
How’re y’all doing out there?
I have not read the report yet, but I thought the video in this link was pretty interesting: https://karuktribeclimatechangeprojects.com/good-fire/
The story/report that I’ve seen about the start of one of the NM fires from a remnant USFS pile burn lit in January is interesting. There was a similar issue in Plumas NF this winter, but that pile was ID’ed and only 40-ish acres was burned, all within the larger containment lines. I’m curious about the size of these piles.
I’ve seen some giant piles on private timber land. I’ve heard from a USFS fuels person about their preference for large piles, but am not clear about what they mean by “large.” I’ve also witnessed USFS-created piles in older and unmaintained fuelbreaks where they need to do some heavy equipment work or a lot of work with hand crews to make the piles safely burnable (the piles were surrounded by 10’ tall brush).
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06-11-2022, 10:28 AM #95one of those sickos
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BIL who is USFS fire just got deployed to Lassen. CA is getting started.
ride bikes, climb, ski, travel, cook, work to fund former, repeat.
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06-12-2022, 08:30 PM #96
The Calf Canyon and Hermit Peak fires in NM burned together, now over 320,000 acres. Calf Canyon started from a USFS pile burn conducted in late January, holdover. Hermit Peak was an escaped Rx broadcast burn. The fire people on that district are fucked. The only thing that might save the Hermit Peak burn boss’ ass is if the NWS completely blew the forecast and didn’t predict really strong dry winds.
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06-12-2022, 10:02 PM #97
Looks like it’s Flagstaff’s turn.
https://www.azcentral.com/picture-ga...ff/7605075001/
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06-12-2022, 11:42 PM #98
Interesting weather wise: there is a massive blob of cold air wobbling down the West coast with associated precip possiblities. I have no idea on wild firea, but I've been looking at weather maps for a while and haven't seen that in the US in the summer for a few years.
It's a war of the mind and we're armed to the teeth.
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06-13-2022, 10:53 AM #99
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06-13-2022, 12:32 PM #100
It's our turn again. It's a sad day here in Flagstaff
dirtbag, not a dentist
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