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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jan 2004
    Location
    the Low Sierra
    Posts
    14,765

    UAC - Danger in the Danger Ratings

    I didn't believe in reincarnation when I was your age either.

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Oct 2009
    Location
    Revelstoke
    Posts
    654
    Here's the post from the Utah Avalanche Centre so you can avoid visiting Snowbrains: https://utahavalanchecenter.org/blog/15914

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Jan 2004
    Location
    the Low Sierra
    Posts
    14,765

    UAC - Danger in the Danger Ratings



    Iím less interested in promoting SnowBrains and my stories there than simply sharing good stuff
    I didn't believe in reincarnation when I was your age either.

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Location
    Behind the Potato Curtain
    Posts
    3,786
    That's real good stuff, thanks for sharing.

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Jan 2004
    Location
    the Low Sierra
    Posts
    14,765
    I didn't believe in reincarnation when I was your age either.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Jan 2004
    Location
    the Low Sierra
    Posts
    14,765
    does it read ok?
    I didn't believe in reincarnation when I was your age either.

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Aug 2018
    Location
    20 years too late
    Posts
    3,835
    Quote Originally Posted by ~mikey b View Post
    does it read ok?
    it does.
    "With Hitler, the more I learn about the guy, the more I don't care for him." -Norm Macdonald

  8. #8
    Join Date
    Dec 2004
    Posts
    434
    Complexity adds confusion whether it's the first day or with a lifetime of experience.
    ModX, I think not.

  9. #9
    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Posts
    348
    ^^this is true and I think forecasters struggle enough trying to capture a complex problem in a single rating

  10. #10
    Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    6,246
    Depends on the objective. A more basic question would be whether or not capturing a multi-dimensional situation in a one-dimensional rating is the right goal?

    The goal should be communication, and as Robin Quivers (no relation) once said, "You haven't communicated until the person you're talking to understands what you're saying." Audience feedback is important, and if Tier 1 users are the audience it's difficult to get that, but simulation by asking more experienced people to imagine what works is not a good substitute.

    As an example, I know a guy who's been riding snowmobiles in backcountry for 20-odd years but believes he avoids avi terrain (looks like he's mostly right--mostly). He avoids looking too deeply into any of this stuff. Thinks if there's no current advisory (local forecasters issue them less than daily and they expire after 24 hours) that means there's no concern. Like if there's no winter weather advisory--after all, they do call these "forecasts." So he doesn't read, just checks the color and if one area has no current advisory and the other is anything but green I think he goes where there's no current advisory. If that's the audience, I don't even know how you ask them anything.

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