Originally Posted by
yeahman
I thought the most accurate (and non-lagging) indicator of disease trend was the percentage of tests that are positive. That and testing of fecal matter at the sewage plant. That'll tell you exactly what's coming in a few weeks.
As we have recently discovered in Montana, there are only two kinds of places in the free world: Those with high Covid numbers, and those that will have them soon enough. You can't stop this shit unless you're waaaay out in front of it, and that just seems to run contrary to human nature.
Positivity is useful if your test group remains consistent. If the testing moves around from old people to young people to factory workers to movie/tv workers to health workers the number doesn't mean much until you dive into the data. We, the public, aren't privy to the data and get a a single dramatic number. Maybe if the testing becomes expansive then it becomes effectively random and useful. If only some from the PHO would provide some details.
Early on there should have been more random testing to determine how widespread the virus was.
If you have a problem & think that someone else is going to solve it for you then you have two problems.
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