Results 39,151 to 39,175 of 41810
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01-25-2022, 09:45 PM #39151
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01-25-2022, 09:56 PM #39152
At least your consistent. Consistently myopic and pessimistic. FWIW, I've been a paid scientist for 23 years, almost all of that time in industry and I've worked with plenty of people who say stupid shit and don't "walk the line." In fact, many of the brightest people I've known didn't "walk the line." How long have you worked in science (academic, industry, etc)?
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01-26-2022, 12:27 AM #39153
I pay attention to mainstream media--like the NYT--for news, and then I try to find the primary source. I don't pay any attention to the opinion pieces unless they're by a scientist I trust, but that doesn't happen much. It amuses me that people who spend their opining on politics think they're qualified to opine about covid. Mostly they're not qualified to discuss politics--see 2016--but that's another story for another forum.
Benny fantasizes about meadowskipper, Hutash fantasizes about Benny. All this going on around me and I was totally oblivious. Wow.
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01-26-2022, 12:44 AM #39154
Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey
Hope you feel better soon. Not feeling good would be my reason for not reporting to work unless I’m in a dire situation with a fucked up job.
Supposedly, the research data for omicron indicates that a negative antigen test after many days of known infection indicates that you’re past the contagious stage.Last edited by bodywhomper; 01-26-2022 at 01:27 AM.
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01-26-2022, 08:09 AM #39155j'ai des grands instants de lucididididididididi
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01-26-2022, 09:26 AM #39156Registered User
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01-26-2022, 09:35 AM #39157
Trevor Bedford estimates that between 36-46% of the US will have been infected by Omicron by mid-February. That's over a span of only eight weeks. To put this in perspective, the flu can infect 10% of the US population over the course of 16 weeks. Bedford says he can't think of any modern precedent for a disease to spread so fast across humanity and he doesn't know if this will be a yearly thing, or every decade thing.
If you are wondering how Bedford gets to the above, there has been 15 million confirmed Omicron cases in the US by Jan 17, the peak of the Omicron wave across the US. Just as many cases occur after the peak as before, so double that 15 million. And then he believes only 1 out of 4 or 1 out of 5 cases are actually tested and confirmed (he has a thread where he explains why he uses these ratios).
https://twitter.com/trvrb?ref_src=tw...Ctwgr%5Eauthor
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01-26-2022, 09:39 AM #39158
Flogging a dead horse. Keep bloviating, nothing you post is enlightening or original in content.
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01-26-2022, 09:40 AM #39159
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01-26-2022, 09:41 AM #39160
Netherlands announces they will be easing COVID related restrictions despite the fact that cases are increasing. Netherlands was quite restricted relative to other places on earth previous to this, so it is not too surprising they are choosing to ease those restrictions. But it is telling that they are choosing to do so at the same time cases are going up, not down.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60129830
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01-26-2022, 09:41 AM #39161
Neither is Benny. He’s just spouting nonsense. Old man yelling at clouds.
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01-26-2022, 09:43 AM #39162Registered User
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01-26-2022, 09:44 AM #39163
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01-26-2022, 09:45 AM #39164
Someone needs to change this to Bernny Wants to Ski Italy..
Go that way really REALLY fast. If something gets in your way, TURN!
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01-26-2022, 09:48 AM #39165
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01-26-2022, 09:49 AM #39166
The WHO is still sounding the alarm of the unvaccinated poor countries. From NYTimes today:
Although vaccine shortages are easing, only about 62 percent of the world’s population has received at least one shot, and a striking divide between the rich and poor regions of the world remains. In low-income countries, only 10 percent of the population has received at least one dose. In high- and upper-middle-income countries, 78 percent have received at least one dose.
The potential consequences of the vaccine gap have been underscored by Omicron, which was first identified in southern Africa. Low vaccination coverage creates conditions for widespread virus circulation and with that the possibility of new variants emerging.
Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, the head of the W.H.O., said “It’s dangerous to assume that Omicron will be the last variant or that we are in the endgame. On the contrary, globally, the conditions are ideal for more variants to emerge.”
In my opinion, this is where 100% of our efforts, and every wealthy country on earth's efforts, should be at this point.
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01-26-2022, 10:04 AM #39167
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01-26-2022, 10:12 AM #39168
I wouldn't call it a promise. It's a prediction that very likely will be true. Here's what Neil Ferguson, arguably the top epidemiologist on planet earth, has to say about this:
“I am optimistic that the bulk of the pandemic, in terms of deaths and hospitalisations, is behind us. Though we should still be prepared for some possible bumps on the road,” he said, adding that any new variants – which were highly likely to arise – may have a less dramatic impact than Omicron.
“The very high level of immunity in the UK population – acquired via both vaccination and infection – means that the risk of a new variant causing unmanageable levels of healthcare demand is much reduced,” he said. “An additional positive is that if any new variant arises from Omicron – not a certainty – there is a fair chance it will retain the reduced severity of that strain.”
“Restrictions are always a trade-off between infection control and economic cost,” he said. “However, given that case numbers are in decline in all regions and that hospitalisations are starting to drop, I don’t think lifting restrictions poses a large risk of causing a major resurgence. Though obviously trends will need to continue to be monitored closely.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...-neil-ferguson
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01-26-2022, 10:12 AM #39169
You said it was over “March 1”
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01-26-2022, 10:17 AM #39170
I said it was over for six months starting March 1. And now that Trevor Bedford explained to me that the US Omicron wave peaked on January 17, that date it is "over" moves forward to mid-February, when new cases will be nearly non-existent. And again, it is for six months. It might be forever, but six months looks very, very, likely.
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01-26-2022, 10:23 AM #39171
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01-26-2022, 10:32 AM #39172
...and this is why your cock sure predictions may very well be wrong. I do think it is a reasonable possibility, but am far from convinced. As long as the third world is incubating new variants we could be in for more waves of pandemic, some possibly extremely serious. We just have to wait and see, but in the mean time hope for the best but prepare for the worst.
You sound like Trump, "This will be gone by Easter." This may be the last wave, but many thought that of Delta as well. Time will tell.
I agree it is a constitutional right for Americans to be assholes...its just too bad that so many take the opportunity...iscariot
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01-26-2022, 10:37 AM #39173
I agree it is a constitutional right for Americans to be assholes...its just too bad that so many take the opportunity...iscariot
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01-26-2022, 10:48 AM #39174
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01-26-2022, 10:51 AM #39175
Read Ferguson's comments above. Very unlikely that a variant that comes from Omicron will cause us problems (I haven't read anyone too concerned with the BA.2 variant above). AD mentioned awhile back that each COVID wave has been associated with a new variant that becomes dominant. I think he is right about this. So in other words, Omicron is old news and not a concern anymore. Also very unlikely that we will see any variant that has such a dramatic effect that Omicron had. Again, Trevor Bedford notes Omicron's spread was unprecedented in recorded history. With Omicron the dominant variant on earth and the world gaining immunity to this, we have time. We should bask and enjoy our Omicron immunity while it lasts. And finally, the vaccines, even just the two dose vaccine without booster, has proven to be effective against severe disease to all variants thrown at it, to date.
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