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  1. #9026
    Join Date
    Oct 2004
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    50 miles E of Paradise
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    9,253
    Quote Originally Posted by powdork View Post
    we shall see. we do seem to be going headlong into tragedy. I would not be surprised if our death total tops 400 today. Should be another large addition from New York as well as smaller from Cali, Nv, and Oregon. That (even much less than that) puts us well ahead of the trajectory that gets us to 10k/day by easter which will truly represent a tragedy of unprecedented proportions. Keep in mind the worst flu season was around 60k deaths over a roughly 13 week period. We could be approaching that by Easter, with a peak still weeks off.
    Oregon just increased # confirmed cases by about 33% in one day. We now have 18 known infections in that little dot in the middle of OR on the NYT map.

    Problem still is in OR we've only tested 0.2% of the population. S Korea tested 0.5%, or 2.5x more. So I remain skeptical of trends, not knowing how much is due to increased availability of testing and how much is real.
    Check Out Ullr's Mobile Avalanche Safety Tools for iOS and Android
    www.ullrlabs.com

  2. #9027
    Join Date
    Jan 2006
    Location
    Alpental
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    5,733
    Quote Originally Posted by bennymac View Post
    what about my theory - swallow a capsule containing a small amount of covid virus - capsule dissolves in your stomach - virus causes gi illness (vomitting, stomach pains, diarrhea) for a week or two - immune system kicks and and deals with it - you get "immunity" - lungs never see the virus so stay "safe and healthy"

    Something to digest.

    https://www.mcknights.com/news/clini...w-study-finds/

    Gastrointestinal symptoms are much more common in COVID-19 patients than originally thought, with nearly half presenting with digestive problems, according to a study published Wednesday in The American Journal of Gastroenterology.


    While most patients do exhibit respiratory symptoms, others may have GI symptoms as their chief complaint, the authors found. Among 204 hospital patients studied, the most common issues were a marked loss of appetite (83% of study subjects), diarrhea (29%), vomiting, and abdominal pain. A few patients had no initial respiratory symptoms at all.


    Digestive symptoms were also tied to worse outcomes including higher mortality risk. Patients with GI issues had a longer time between symptom onset and hospital admission, compared to their peers without these symptoms. Meanwhile, those without digestive symptoms were more likely to be cured and discharged than the cohort with gastrointestinal issues (60% versus 34%)
    Move upside and let the man go through...

  3. #9028
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Location
    your vacation
    Posts
    2,102
    Quote Originally Posted by Name Redacted View Post

    Also, Cocaine seems to be a great way to spread around a virus that attacks the respiratory system. Just sayin...
    Shitty coke summit county hmmmm interesting to see how that plays out so I shouldn't be surprised if certain people get sick

  4. #9029
    Join Date
    Apr 2004
    Location
    Southeast New York
    Posts
    7,292
    Quote Originally Posted by Mofro261 View Post
    Hmm, I've been squirting pretty bad for a few days. I figured it was because I was drinking too much stout and eating too much fresh food (before we get to the frozen). Guess I better pay attention.

  5. #9030
    Join Date
    Sep 2009
    Location
    in the trench
    Posts
    10,491
    Quote Originally Posted by bennymac View Post
    what about my theory - swallow a capsule containing a small amount of covid virus - capsule dissolves in your stomach - virus causes gi illness (vomitting, stomach pains, diarrhea) for a week or two - immune system kicks and and deals with it - you get "immunity" - lungs never see the virus so stay "safe and healthy"
    Hoop it, just to be safe

    Sent from my SM-G950W using TGR Forums mobile app

  6. #9031
    Join Date
    Dec 2004
    Posts
    13,644
    Neighbor was exposed to another worker who has tested positive.

    He says his lymph glands are swollen, seems too son given the exposure date was Tuesday.

    See how it plays.
    Ooof!

  7. #9032
    Join Date
    Feb 2012
    Posts
    5,820
    Quote Originally Posted by bennymac View Post
    what about my theory - swallow a capsule containing a small amount of covid virus - capsule dissolves in your stomach - virus causes gi illness (vomitting, stomach pains, diarrhea) for a week or two - immune system kicks and and deals with it - you get "immunity" - lungs never see the virus so stay "safe and healthy"
    I say try it.

    Could also shove a Covid suppository up your ass and get the first Anal Covid case. I


    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums

  8. #9033
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Big in Japan
    Posts
    40,951
    Quote Originally Posted by iceman View Post
    I think the Gates thing was because parts of the country will get this in a big way quite a bit later than others so, best to have the Feds just keep it locked down until it's all clear (as much as possible) everywhere. Places that got it early would be over the rush and chomping at the bit before the whole thing was over. I think it's a pretty poor idea overall.

    NYC rumor is they're building a morgue on East 23rd St. in a parking lot.
    They're always building something in parking lots in Manhattan. That's why it costs so much to park.

    Let's do some livin'
    After, we die

  9. #9034
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
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    4,729
    Quote Originally Posted by Mofro261 View Post
    Something to digest.
    Nice pun

  10. #9035
    Join Date
    Jan 2007
    Posts
    5,868
    Quote Originally Posted by bennymac View Post
    what about my theory - swallow a capsule containing a small amount of covid virus - capsule dissolves in your stomach - virus causes gi illness (vomitting, stomach pains, diarrhea) for a week or two - immune system kicks and and deals with it - you get "immunity" - lungs never see the virus so stay "safe and healthy"
    Read ...
    https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2...side-a-patient

  11. #9036
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
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    4,729
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  12. #9037
    Join Date
    Jan 2007
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    5,868
    No rest for the wicked.

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  13. #9038
    Join Date
    Jan 2007
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    5,868
    We are all this woman ...


  14. #9039
    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Seattle
    Posts
    1,614
    Quote Originally Posted by CascadeLuke View Post
    Word on the street for a few Seattle school districts is that they’ll open early May. District’s believing the children’s education and parental job situation as a driver. Gates foundation is providing info to one district my wife teaches for - forecasting 5/4 school start provides enough curve clearance. We’re down
    Where did you get that word from? Once schools go back then with that logic all other businesses and restaurants would have to be allowed as well which means this just blows up again.

    My money is on next fall with the expectation that online schooling would be prepped and ready to go given the inevitable surges and tamp downs.

  15. #9040
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    Sep 2009
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    in the trench
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    Im betting it tapers in a couple months. We let our guard down, get complacent and get wrecked in the fall. Im staying w the cleaning and distancing until theres a vacine

    Sent from my SM-G950W using TGR Forums mobile app

  16. #9041
    Join Date
    Jan 2007
    Posts
    5,868
    Quote Originally Posted by grinch View Post
    Im betting it tapers in a couple months. We let our guard down, get complacent and get wrecked in the fall. Im staying w the cleaning and distancing until theres a vacine

    Sent from my SM-G950W using TGR Forums mobile app
    You're referring to "the dance"

    https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coron...e-be9337092b56

  17. #9042
    Join Date
    Apr 2006
    Location
    SF & the Ho
    Posts
    6,229

    Chinese Rat Flu

    Quote Originally Posted by grinch View Post
    Im betting it tapers in a couple months. We let our guard down, get complacent and get wrecked in the fall. Im staying w the cleaning and distancing until theres a vacine

    Sent from my SM-G950W using TGR Forums mobile app
    I have a bad gut feeling this will be the outcome as well. Plus a dose of conspiracy nut and other claiming it was no big deal in between just to make it really sting when it comes roaring back

  18. #9043
    Join Date
    Sep 2010
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    Shuswap Highlands
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    2,644
    Quote Originally Posted by grinch View Post
    Im betting it tapers in a couple months. We let our guard down, get complacent and get wrecked in the fall. Im staying w the cleaning and distancing until theres a vacine

    Sent from my SM-G950W using TGR Forums mobile app
    I think this is already happening. People have been at home, working and otherwise, for the past week, and they and their friends have not gotten sick. Compound this with daily updates by media, with indications in regional areas that 'today' numbers are down, so there must already be a trend, and folks are chomping at the bit to return to normal. We are not a patient society at the best of times. I think we will see a lot of regional outbreaks over the next few weeks where previously the outbreak was fairly limited. I think we have several more weeks of lockdown before we can draw any such conclusions.

    I hope I am wrong.

  19. #9044
    Join Date
    Oct 2002
    Location
    my own little world
    Posts
    2,659
    Quote Originally Posted by Bunion 2020 View Post
    Yeah, I think a lot of people still think this is a $ 1200.00 cash payment. Its a no interest loan.
    Fuck.

    No. Goddammit. It’s an advance on a refundable credit you would not have had otherwise.

    Unless you mean we as a society need to pay for it some way some how. But that shit has interest.
    focus.

  20. #9045
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Big in Japan
    Posts
    40,951
    Quote Originally Posted by BCMtnHound View Post
    I think this is already happening. People have been at home, working and otherwise, for the past week, and they and their friends have not gotten sick. Compound this with daily updates by media, with indications in regional areas that 'today' numbers are down, so there must already be a trend, and folks are chomping at the bit to return to normal. We are not a patient society at the best of times. I think we will see a lot of regional outbreaks over the next few weeks where previously the outbreak was fairly limited. I think we have several more weeks of lockdown before we can draw any such conclusions.

    I hope I am wrong.
    Nope. Look at Italy. They aren't even thinking of relaxing. And we are far from as locked down as them. Hell, we now have a substantial portion of our population still convinced this is nothing.

    Let's do some livin'
    After, we die

  21. #9046
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Location
    Tahoe
    Posts
    12,913
    Quote Originally Posted by BCMtnHound View Post
    I think this is already happening. People have been at home, working and otherwise, for the past week, and they and their friends have not gotten sick. Compound this with daily updates by media, with indications in regional areas that 'today' numbers are down, so there must already be a trend, and folks are chomping at the bit to return to normal. We are not a patient society at the best of times. I think we will see a lot of regional outbreaks over the next few weeks where previously the outbreak was fairly limited. I think we have several more weeks of lockdown before we can draw any such conclusions.

    I hope I am wrong.
    where do you see 'today' numbers down???
    Nowhere. And all the John Burch Murdoch graphs are going to look worse tomorrow. and the lake is starting to fill with lily pads
    powdork.com - new and improved, with 20% more dork.

  22. #9047
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Location
    Wa wa..tatic
    Posts
    3,401
    Quote Originally Posted by seano732 View Post
    Diamond Joe, where you at?
    Sorry man, focused on my 2nd career

    Fire/EMS update, EC version:
    We are at 3,250 confirmed cases in the state (MA) with 35 deaths. Seano, kind of surprised you guys are talking about overwhelming the morgues when you have only ~100 cases and ONE death in the state. We have 30 times the cases and 30+ times the deaths and that has not come up at all here (yet). Not to minimize the issue - or the danger you guys are facing - in NM, but in comparison you have very very low amounts of infections/deaths.

    Fingers crossed for our FF's cause we have NOT implemented any sort of testing strategy for our members, even with 3,000+ cases in the state, except for the "if you're sick, stay home" directive. PPE supplies are holding out, except my house only has ONE jar of disinfecting wipes left - those things are worth their weight in gold right now. Masks/Gowns/Gloves are holding steady. I'd like to say call volume is down overall, because it is, but we had a bit of snow/slush/rain the other night and it was a shitshow - 10 calls up to the highway for people off the road or crashing in one way or another in a 2 hour timeframe. Veritable traffic jam on the highway made me wonder WHERE ARE ALL YOU PEOPLE GOING??? Social distancing non-existent at the supermarkets, both of which are pretty well stocked. Covid 19 drive-through testing site has been set up for first responders, but only one in the state at the moment.

    As a whole, firefighters are doing ok, with about 10,000 IAFF (union) members in the USA, there have only been 165 quarantined and 14 positive for the virus. Not too bad for front line workers (yet). Fingers crossed. All three of our local hospitals are busy, but have beds available still. Steady low-level anxiety for me as well, the stress of being out and about interacting with the public is palpable. (Still responding to idiots who can't figure out what a "low battery alarm" is in a smoke/CO detector, still responding to people settting off smoke detectors cooking, etc.) We DO have a list ("highly confidential" lol) of houses in our response area with people quarantined and/or positive cases of covid19, so if we do get a call to a house where we know there is a high danger, we can take "appropriate measures". Still, walking into a strange house feels like playing russian roulette a little bit.

    +++vibes for a MAYDAY situation and RIT - just goes to show the job is dangerous enough WITHOUT a global pandemic adding to it.

  23. #9048
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Posts
    4,729
    Quote Originally Posted by powdork View Post
    where do you see 'today' numbers down???
    Nowhere. And all the John Burch Murdoch graphs are going to look worse tomorrow. and the lake is starting to fill with lily pads

    Snowing hard in Denver right now. Homeless are going to have a rough night.

  24. #9049
    Join Date
    Sep 2010
    Location
    Shuswap Highlands
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    2,644
    Quote Originally Posted by powdork View Post
    where do you see 'today' numbers down???
    Nowhere. And all the John Burch Murdoch graphs are going to look worse tomorrow. and the lake is starting to fill with lily pads
    Bloody CBC news report for BC
    https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/briti...irus-1.5512269
    Most people on social media don't get to the bit that we are not out of the woods yet. Even discussing a trend that is only a day or two old strikes me as problematic when attempting to inform the public. The radio soundbite is even worse.

  25. #9050
    Join Date
    Feb 2005
    Posts
    13,050


    Some good shit streaming for more then 24 hrs. Bounce off your walls. Earlier sets from today available on their channel too.

    9 and 10 pm are going to be fun.

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