Flawed math is flawed.
Remove the 80k cases in China that have basically flatlined and look at the the growth in the rest of the world.
Add to that the large number of unconfirmed and untested and you'll find we are doubling worldwide at a rate much faster than every 2 weeks.
Particularly in Florida.
"fuck off you asshat gaper shit for brains fucktard wanker." - Jesus Christ
"She was tossing her bean salad with the vigor of a Drunken Pop princess so I walked out of the corner and said.... "need a hand?"" - Odin
"everybody's got their hooks into you, fuck em....forge on motherfuckers, drag all those bitches across the goal line with you." - (not so) ill-advised strategy
As far as non reported deaths, you wonder how many old people living alone are going to be found after all this.
Around 10% of them?
That wasn't nice of me to say, anyway. that was all the pent up rage from hearing my fox loving family downplay this for the past month. Sorry, (not sorry), Austin
Additionally, to conclude the US general pop would not exceed 1% mortality he's leaning on the idea that the 700 infected were elderly but ignoring the fact that many were crew and all were at least healthy enough to decide to take a cruise. It's a weird sample in addition to being small (and evidently wrong).
To the point about selection bias among those tested, some stats guy sitting home should look at the mortality rate among all those tested and see how that population's mortality compares to the general population. Could be interesting and requires gathering only data, not physical samples.
curious what stage some of you are?
"fuck off you asshat gaper shit for brains fucktard wanker." - Jesus Christ
"She was tossing her bean salad with the vigor of a Drunken Pop princess so I walked out of the corner and said.... "need a hand?"" - Odin
"everybody's got their hooks into you, fuck em....forge on motherfuckers, drag all those bitches across the goal line with you." - (not so) ill-advised strategy
It's always great to have accurate and complete information before making a decision, but when it's time to make a decision you make it regardless. If new information changes your mind, you change it. We won't know the true transmissibility and mortality of CoV2 as well as how it behaves in different seasons, climates, etc, for a long time. I don't have a problem with the facts as presented in the article; there is obviously a lot of uncertain about the data and how to interpret it. But I have a problem calling it a fiasco because people are making decisions based on uncertain facts. They have no choice; not taking any action until all the facts are in is a decision too, and one that could have lethal consequences.
My nonprofessional, gut feeling is that we are doing too much--that the social and economic consequences of the lockdown are too great for the threat, that the lockdown can't be sustained for as long as it needs to be to work. Only time will tell. In the meantime I have to accept that our health leaders are making honest decisions based on the facts they have.
Last edited by old goat; 03-18-2020 at 10:07 AM.
Georgia hospital says Mexico wants $7 per n95 mask.
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https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/can...deal-1.5501289
the border is closed now we are safe from America !
https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/maga-memo-virus-1.5501024
it was a democratic hoax but now its not ?
Lee Lau - xxx-er is the laziest Asian canuck I know
Lets talk about the US
First, the number at which the cases double is thought to be between 3 and 4 days. Take a look at deaths in the US. On March 6 we were at 15. March 10 at 30. March 14 at 57. Halfway thru March 18 we are 116 deaths. So doubling every 4 days seems reasonable, and so far we see no effects of the lockdown but that should be several more days to a weak.
2nd-You are adding the timelines of three separate outbreaks (China, Europe, and the US) for your data. if you look at when the Europe outbreak started and then do your math, or when it started in America and then do your math, you will get VERY different results
powdork.com - new and improved, with 20% more dork.
I probably should have asked more directly if there's any chance the SK tests are somehow dramatically less likely to produce false positives? Or are they re-testing to weed those out (which one presumes would be true here as well)? My point being their numbers don't support massive false positives being reported as confirmed. (But of course I'll leave it to the polifuckstick brigade to interpret whether that's on Obama or Trump, so really I got nothing.)
Friend I'm going skiing today with has a brother in law in his final throws of brain cancer today in a hospital in Boston. his wife is not allowed to visit him, at all. So fucking sad.
powdork.com - new and improved, with 20% more dork.
Can anyone explain why all the yellow mustard at the grocery store was gone, but there was plenty of stoneground and Dijon?
All of the money for the $1,000 checks will be borrowed from China.
Because Dijon comes from France, and might be infected.
Duh.
Forum Cross Pollinator, gratuitously strident
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