Results 11,026 to 11,050 of 41810
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04-05-2020, 09:55 PM #11026Registered User
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IHME projections now have Utah showing less than 200 deaths through the summer. I wonder what changed since a few day ago when it showed 600.
Still not sure what the end game is. Most of the projection models end before September, but it won’t be gone and a vaccine that quick is almost impossible. I’m more worried for this coming winter than I am for the next few months.
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04-05-2020, 09:58 PM #11027
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04-05-2020, 10:02 PM #11028glocal
- Join Date
- May 2002
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- 33,440
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04-05-2020, 10:06 PM #11029
But really, people, the difference clearly is that we didn’t have hydroxychloroquine.
Forum Cross Pollinator, gratuitously strident
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04-05-2020, 10:06 PM #11030
Just for perspective, in Guayaquil, Ecuador, they not only can’t handle anywhere near enough victims in the hospitals, but haven’t been able to pick up the bodies left on the streets. Lots of rude vídeos coming out of there, which I will spare you.
The cardboard association just donated 1,000 cardboard coffins to the cause.
https://www.latercera.com/mundo/noti...e5e8b0791e8619
Maybe the hoped-for seasonality in the northern hemisphere won’t happen.
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04-05-2020, 10:07 PM #11031
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04-05-2020, 10:12 PM #11032
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04-05-2020, 10:16 PM #11033
Ya, the data was updated yesterday. I noticed Washington is now past peak resource day (peak resource day was April 2). All of the West coast states appear to be doing very, very well with much lower death numbers than previously forecasted. Washington and Oregon are giving away ventilators to NY.
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04-05-2020, 10:32 PM #11034
the curve here has flattened my health care professional of some level expertise spanser has gone to sleep
but not many hospital admits this weekend and only 1 death of an elderly senior in a home.
my worries extend far into the future
but im Alfred e Newmanin on regardless"When the child was a child it waited patiently for the first snow and it still does"- Van "The Man" Morrison
"I find I have already had my reward, in the doing of the thing" - Buzz Holmstrom
"THIS IS WHAT WE DO"-AML -ski on in eternal peace
"I have posted in here but haven't read it carefully with my trusty PoliAsshat antenna on."-DipshitDanno
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04-05-2020, 10:37 PM #11035
The longer we can drag this out the better the chance doctors and researchers can figure out what treatment protocols work and which ones don’t.
It also helps that if your small towns don’t get overwhelmed until your big cities are on the backside of their tidal wave of patients that will then allow more open ICU beds in the city for the rural folks who will need to be sent there to have a chance.
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04-05-2020, 10:38 PM #11036
The Spanish flu had past many years prior with not many deaths among the young bulls and the matadors had seen great loss. The field was somewhat more equalled that year they said in hushed tones at night. Only running was left to choose from the brave and the loss of the populous remaining interested in pastimes that seemed mild compared to the war torn memories, that's how she told this to me late at night, and I believed her as much as I could at the time.
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04-05-2020, 10:50 PM #11037
https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
From what I see, they now assume we all stay at home thru May.
In which case a large number of states come out in good shape. East coast from MD up to MA are fucked, IL and a few others don't look so great. Places like AL and LA don't look like they overrun their available resources.
The huge ranges in value are still kinda troubling though...can't imagine how wide they would be in six months
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04-05-2020, 10:57 PM #11038
The Chinese invented toilet paper. I hope we can all appreciate the irony.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toilet_paper
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04-05-2020, 11:08 PM #11039
Ohio is going to start random sampling of the population for the cv19.
Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
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04-05-2020, 11:11 PM #11040
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04-06-2020, 12:18 AM #11041Banned
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- Jan 2009
- Location
- Reno
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Professor Knut Wittkowski, for twenty years head of The Rockefeller University's Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Research Design.
This guy is vehemently against quarantining/lockdown protocols. Given his credentials, disagreeing with him will make you look like an asshat.
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04-06-2020, 12:28 AM #11042
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04-06-2020, 12:30 AM #11043Registered User
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- Aug 2013
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- shadow of HS butte
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- 6,439
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04-06-2020, 12:34 AM #11044
the list of people that disagree with Professor Knut is long and distinguished.
I got to the 3 minute mark before he said if we just do nothing except close the long term care facilities for 2-4 weeks we will be through all this. Oh shit it's just that simple!
Let's take Italy or Spain or New York City - if this is such a common scenario (the guy in the video says coronaviruses happen all the time like that means every coronavirus is the same - he knows they are not) then why don't we see stories of health care systems and funeral homes being overwhelmed like this all the time? Like every winter? If this is such a run of the mill situation? Trump has the full power and weight of every high level expert in the country at his fingertip - you think he wants the country to be shutdown and the economy to collapse? You think this is the deep state overblowing this to get him out of office with a well timed viral outbreak out of China?
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04-06-2020, 12:39 AM #11045Banned
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- Jan 2009
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- Reno
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And there's the asshat....
"we will see more deaths due to social distancing than without it"
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04-06-2020, 01:06 AM #11046
If you're calling me an asshat that's a honor coming from you
you can see my post from earlier today where I replayed your greatest (bulls)hits
more deaths than lives saved from social distancing is a bold claim
but I've taken enough of your bullshit bait - Imma stop hitting the "view post" button on your otherwise ignored posts
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04-06-2020, 01:09 AM #11047Banned
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- Jan 2009
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- Reno
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- 1,344
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04-06-2020, 01:11 AM #11048
How do you know I'm not an expert in epidemiology and biostastics?
It is because an expert wouldn't tell you to choke on a bag of dicks?
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04-06-2020, 01:50 AM #11049
Wow - guy is not only a world leading expert but also a true prophet.
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04-06-2020, 02:58 AM #11050
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