Results 6,151 to 6,175 of 41810
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03-18-2020, 10:35 PM #6151
A woman in Columbia, Mo died in her home. She was diagnosed and sent into home quarantine. Six first responders are now in quarantine for exposure.
It’s taking out the very people we need to treat people! 6 for 1!
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03-18-2020, 10:36 PM #6152
I’m not leaving my house. All the health insurers sent out emails banning agents from home visits with seniors.
Sucks the resorts are closed.
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03-18-2020, 10:43 PM #6153
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"fuck off you asshat gaper shit for brains fucktard wanker." - Jesus Christ
"She was tossing her bean salad with the vigor of a Drunken Pop princess so I walked out of the corner and said.... "need a hand?"" - Odin
"everybody's got their hooks into you, fuck em....forge on motherfuckers, drag all those bitches across the goal line with you." - (not so) ill-advised strategy
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03-18-2020, 10:59 PM #6154
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03-18-2020, 11:06 PM #6155
I posted this a couple of days ago but it is interesting and explains a little about the make up of a virus and how it is destroyed by washing with soap and water.
https://futurism.com/neoscope/soap-w...er-coronavirus
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03-19-2020, 12:06 AM #6156powdork.com - new and improved, with 20% more dork.
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03-19-2020, 12:08 AM #6157
Before You Panic! Testing vs. absolute # of cases vs. mortality
Today's figure is 7,038. (3/18/20)
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019...ses-in-us.html
(There's a several day lag, since it takes a few days to test and report results.)
Most importantly, and BEFORE ANYONE PANICS and BEFORE ANYONE STARTS FLIPPING OUT ABOUT GEOMETRIC PROGRESSIONS, look at the graph of "Number of specimens tested":
On March 13, the most recent day on which we have complete results, we tested 4661 people.
A week earlier, on March 6, we tested less than half of that: 1759 people.
A week earlier, on February 28, we tested 164 people.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019...ing-in-us.html
If you test over 28 times as many people (4661/164), you are going to get 28 times more positive tests even if no one new has been infected!
Furthermore, as I've shown before, Covid-19 testing is remarkably inaccurate. In Chinese testing, the false-positive rate of positive results was 80.33%.
This means that the more tests we run, the more positive tests for Covid-19 will magically appear - especially as more tests become available and we start testing people who are asymptomatic or only marginally sick. What will happen then is that the infection rate will keep going up rapidly, but the mortality rate will plummet.
Today we're currently at 97 deaths and 7,038 cases, for a mortality rate of 1.3% - which is already far lower than the "3.4% we're all gonna die!!11!1" scenarios. This ratio will continue to decrease as the number of tests continues to increase geometrically.
Once again, and as I've said since my very first post, "Be smart." We can fuck it all up by acting like everything's over. Be cautious with your social interactions. Have and use a thermometer regularly, to check yourself for developing fever. Communicate with family and friends who are stuck at home: we're all short some human contact.
But please, ease up on the hysteria. First responders and our medical system are being overwhelmed by people who are panicking at the first sign of a cough or sniffle. Let them care for the people who are genuinely in trouble.
Thank you.
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03-19-2020, 12:14 AM #6158
^^yes but how to explain the geometric progression of the deaths, and their accuracy
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03-19-2020, 12:14 AM #6159
Double post
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03-19-2020, 12:36 AM #6160
first two members of congress
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/0...navirus-136300powdork.com - new and improved, with 20% more dork.
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03-19-2020, 12:45 AM #6161
More cruise ship madness
https://www.miamiherald.com/news/bus...241306276.html
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03-19-2020, 12:49 AM #6162
^^crazy
also, glad to be type o negative
https://www.miamiherald.com/news/cor...241297121.htmlpowdork.com - new and improved, with 20% more dork.
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03-19-2020, 01:00 AM #6163
and to bring back some of the good from this thread. we just need a little summer breeze (type o negative)
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03-19-2020, 01:15 AM #6164
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03-19-2020, 01:16 AM #6165
It was covfefe, which is even more apropros
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03-19-2020, 01:19 AM #6166
also, regarding all the trials, China has to be doing tons. They have (according to the stat aggregators) over 2600 in serious/critical condition.
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03-19-2020, 01:24 AM #6167
Covid data nerd-fu courtesy of Tableau
https://www.tableau.com/covid-19-cor...pany-Statement"Great barbecue makes you want to slap your granny up the side of her head." - Southern Saying
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03-19-2020, 02:29 AM #6168
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03-19-2020, 02:29 AM #6169click here
- Join Date
- Oct 2008
- Location
- valley of the heart's delight
- Posts
- 2,479
Sniffles taking up all the negative pressure rooms, eh? TMYK
False positives can be an issue. This is my guess why South Korea has an abnormally low CFR. I'm guessing a good chunk of their cases don't actually have it. Also they responded early and have not exceeded their healthcare capacity.
You got the association between more testing and more positives wrong (or fatfingered it). More testing produces proportionately more false positives. More infections produces proportionately more true positives. Changing the criteria for testing also messes with the numbers. Sadly, my guess is testing continues to lag, and in another week or so we'll switch to presumed positives, as the Chinese were forced to do.
And geometric progression/exponential growth is plague 101. Caused by the plague, completely independent of the testing.
Stay away and stay healthy.10/01/2012 Site was upgraded to 300 baud.
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03-19-2020, 02:34 AM #6170
Mayors got a bad case
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03-19-2020, 03:12 AM #6171"When the child was a child it waited patiently for the first snow and it still does"- Van "The Man" Morrison
"I find I have already had my reward, in the doing of the thing" - Buzz Holmstrom
"THIS IS WHAT WE DO"-AML -ski on in eternal peace
"I have posted in here but haven't read it carefully with my trusty PoliAsshat antenna on."-DipshitDanno
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03-19-2020, 03:28 AM #6172
Or if you took the hippocratic oath....
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03-19-2020, 03:41 AM #6173
3 more weeks of being an "essential service" . Almost time for some real social distancing
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03-19-2020, 03:54 AM #6174
Red Cross blood donations for other needs concern me. Last time I tried about eight years ago I was denied because of relations with a woman who lived in Africa. I will check and see if that is still the case. If you are looking to do some good and you can, donate blood.
Checked and past time frame on the malaria contact potential, but blood thinner due to recent surgery will keep me on the sideline for a month
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03-19-2020, 04:48 AM #6175
https://youtu.be/klmbakIW-GA
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