Results 8,376 to 8,400 of 41810
-
03-25-2020, 02:49 PM #8376
-
03-25-2020, 02:50 PM #8377
There it is. Blame the media for needing to keep the country on lockdown (if Trump is so powerful can't he just go against what the evil media is suggesting?). There will be blame directed at the Dems. Regardless of the damage this does to society (illness/deaths/bankruptcies etc) Trump will be blameless in the eyes of his devoted cultists. It was all a hoax, flu kills more, this was just done to damage re-election, China is to blame etc.
-
03-25-2020, 02:54 PM #8378
-
03-25-2020, 02:55 PM #8379
If your kids are in school, then you might as well learn something too. From 10 days ago.
-
03-25-2020, 02:55 PM #8380
-
03-25-2020, 02:59 PM #8381
-
03-25-2020, 03:00 PM #8382
-
03-25-2020, 03:02 PM #8383
-
03-25-2020, 03:07 PM #8384Registered User
- Join Date
- Oct 2010
- Posts
- 1,747
But people aren't going to magically stop dying after Easter so the flu numbers are completely irrelevant. (Again)
-
03-25-2020, 03:10 PM #8385
Absent an unforeseen miracle drug, sure seems U.S. is heading to hundreds of thousands of Covid-19 deaths. Or maybe it tapers to a trickle in late spring/early summer, comes roaring back in fall and kills >1,000,000. Cf., 1918.
-
03-25-2020, 03:15 PM #8386
-
03-25-2020, 03:17 PM #8387
-
03-25-2020, 03:21 PM #8388Registered User
- Join Date
- Mar 2008
- Location
- northern BC
- Posts
- 31,040
-
03-25-2020, 03:25 PM #8389
-
03-25-2020, 03:29 PM #8390
Where do you get the "deathrate looks like it's in the 0.1% to 0.15% range?" Today, WHO says 9,137 total cases in SK with 126 deaths (so 1.3% death rate there). Germany has 31,554 total with 149 deaths (0.5% death rate there). And unlike the flu, anywhere between 30% to 90% of the US population will get this thing when it is all said and done (this is up for debate). So lets use 0.5% death rate. If only 30% of US gets it that is still 490,500 Americans dying from this. That is best case scenario.
-
03-25-2020, 03:32 PM #8391"We had nice 3 days in your autonomous mountain realm last weekend." - Tom from Austria (the Rax ski guy)
-
03-25-2020, 03:34 PM #8392
If I got this right US will go into light mitigation for approx 2 weeks meaning some regions will be in suppression/essential services only and some regions will be in light mitigation ie non-mandatory social distancing. So for the next 2 weeks or so the rate per day increase will stay at about 32% all things being equal
Then after Easter the social distancing leg of mitigation is dropped. Economy goes back to working as per normal.
What is the strategy to increase the other legs of mitigation? Ie (i) to keep good health care habits; and (ii) increase testing + contact-tracing post Easter?
Is there also a strategy to insulate the more subsceptible parts of society from COVID post-Easter?
This potentially that the world gets data from a large country with a large population which has decided to abandon the social distancing leg of mitigation. Hopefully it works.
-
03-25-2020, 03:39 PM #8393Registered User
- Join Date
- Apr 2006
- Location
- SF & the Ho
- Posts
- 9,380
Chinese Rat Flu
Thx for this. Covid is clearly much much worse than the flu, but the flu is not a happy day in the park for at least 50k. Many years many more dead than. That number getting brushed off annoys me.
If we didn’t have vaccines and some herd immunity Like you said, the flu would kill many more. I’ve seen more than enough otherwise healthy people end up w pneumonia and sepsis because of the flu than I would like. It’s not a pleasant way to go. I can’t imagine a ward filled w covid patients on vents.
I guess my point is next time someone tells you any vaccine is bullshit, just kick them in the nuts or their girly nuts.
-
03-25-2020, 03:40 PM #8394
-
03-25-2020, 03:45 PM #8395Registered User
- Join Date
- Nov 2006
- Location
- idaho panhandle!
- Posts
- 9,981
-
03-25-2020, 03:47 PM #8396Funky But Chic
- Join Date
- Sep 2001
- Location
- The Cone of Uncertainty
- Posts
- 49,306
-
03-25-2020, 03:48 PM #8397"We don't beat the reaper by living longer, we beat the reaper by living well and living fully." - Randy Pausch
-
03-25-2020, 03:48 PM #8398
-
03-25-2020, 03:56 PM #8399
I am basing the statement that 30% to 90% of the US (and world) will get this virus on the Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand, a study conducted by the Imperial College of London, which is the main study that is dictating policy in the US and UK at the moment. No one know how many in the US (or World) will get this, but you do understand that if a country does nothing, it is extremely likely that at least more than half of the population will contract the virus. You only reduce that number by engaging in extensive mitigation and suppression techniques as outlined in that study. Germany's Chancellor says up to 70% of Germany will contract the virus.
-
03-25-2020, 03:59 PM #8400"fuck off you asshat gaper shit for brains fucktard wanker." - Jesus Christ
"She was tossing her bean salad with the vigor of a Drunken Pop princess so I walked out of the corner and said.... "need a hand?"" - Odin
"everybody's got their hooks into you, fuck em....forge on motherfuckers, drag all those bitches across the goal line with you." - (not so) ill-advised strategy
Bookmarks