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  1. #3901
    Join Date
    May 2011
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    Truckee & Sonoma
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    12,139
    It was never predictable to begin with. Always find it amusing that people even bother reading long term weather forecasts.

  2. #3902
    Join Date
    Nov 2009
    Location
    CA
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    2,180
    Thanks G2A and others for the color and background. Sounds like a mess of a situation. I've revised my earlier post - sorry for going over the the top.
    sproing!

    FS: Scarpa Maestrale RS 2, size 29. Cheep! https://www.tetongravity.com/forums/...RS-2-0-size-29

  3. #3903
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Location
    Tahoe
    Posts
    13,313
    Quote Originally Posted by lepistoir View Post
    I thought the main takeaway was that we can only expect more erratic and extreme weather events. Predictability is breaking down.
    I was referring to his winter outlook section under the heading "Winter outlook: unfortunately, it’s looking dry with strong La Niña conditions"
    powdork.com - new and improved, with 20% more dork.

  4. #3904
    Join Date
    Mar 2017
    Location
    squaw
    Posts
    130
    Quote Originally Posted by powdork View Post
    I was referring to his winter outlook section under the heading "Winter outlook: unfortunately, it’s looking dry with strong La Niña conditions"
    Based on his previous track record that’s great news actually.

    He’s a smart guy and has a pretty impressive resume especially for being so young, but reality has turned out basically opposite of what he’s predicted over the last 5 years.

    Like J said, it’s best to not even tempt yourself there’s nothing in todays technology that can predict anything more than 7-10 days in the future.


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  5. #3905
    Join Date
    Oct 2020
    Posts
    3
    So far I haven't seen the squirrels go bonkers for acorns - so that indicates a mild winter. Probably as good a predictor as anything - which means it's not. ;-)

  6. #3906
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
    Location
    truckee
    Posts
    14,965
    Not a lot of acorns here in the mountains but the squirrels are definitely going bonkers for pine nuts--like they do every winter, wet or dry, cold or warm

  7. #3907
    Join Date
    Jan 2004
    Location
    the Low Sierra
    Posts
    13,648
    how furry is the wife’s woolly bear?
    I didn't believe in reincarnation when I was your age either.

  8. #3908
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Tahoe
    Posts
    2,393
    Quote Originally Posted by ~mikey b View Post
    how furry is the wife’s woolly bear?
    Late Summer/Early Fall of 2016 I saw thickest, fuzziest caterpillar I've ever seen. Was almost the size of my pinky. That winter was huge, not as big as 10/11 on the crest but bigger up at Rose.

    Last year the caterpillars were skinny.
    Last month I saw a normal sized caterpillar. Not especially fuzzy or close to being as bald as me.
    We'll see how that plays out as a predictor.
    "The mind, once expanded to the dimensions of larger ideas, never returns to its original size."

  9. #3909
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Location
    Truckee, CA
    Posts
    6,680
    Quote Originally Posted by powpig View Post
    Late Summer/Early Fall of 2016 I saw thickest, fuzziest caterpillar I've ever seen. Was almost the size of my pinky. That winter was huge, not as big as 10/11 on the crest but bigger up at Rose.

    Last year the caterpillars were skinny.
    Last month I saw a normal sized caterpillar. Not especially fuzzy or close to being as bald as me.
    We'll see how that plays out as a predictor.
    If caterpillars are your weather forecasting tool, then Virginai is gonna have one insane winter this year: https://www.businessinsider.com/pois...ZdkB7Kqdy1ENZM
    "Man, we killin' elephants in the back yard..."

    http://www.blizzardsportusa.com/

  10. #3910
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Location
    Tahoe
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    13,313
    Quote Originally Posted by ~mikey b View Post
    how furry is the wife’s woolly bear?
    Quote Originally Posted by powpig View Post
    Late Summer/Early Fall of 2016 I saw thickest, fuzziest caterpillar I've ever seen.....Last month I saw a normal sized caterpillar. Not especially fuzzy or close to being as bald as me.
    Did you hit it?
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  11. #3911
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    San Jose Cuervo
    Posts
    571
    I think we need a new thread.

  12. #3912
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Norcal
    Posts
    1,747


    Fall colors, clear air and and great temps have made the last few days spectacular


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  13. #3913
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
    Location
    truckee
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    14,965
    great pics. What elevation? Haven't seen trees turning at 6K yet. I guess I need to get out more.

    Edit--I need to open my eyes more. The aspen at the side of the house is turning nicely.
    Last edited by old goat; 10-14-2020 at 07:06 PM.

  14. #3914
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Norcal
    Posts
    1,747
    Plenty of trees at lake level in south lake turning or have turned already, these shots from two different locations I think both are at about 8000 feet

  15. #3915
    Join Date
    Nov 2009
    Location
    CA
    Posts
    2,180
    Since this flew under the radar...Tahoe National Forest just approved a big deal plan for trails in the Truckee Ranger District called the East Zone Connectivity and Restoration Project. The big highlight is 71 miles of new singletrack open to motorized and biking, mostly up near Verdi Ridge (north of Truckee). The Project also authorizes 35 miles of existing trail for eMTB use. Here's the environmental assessment: https://www.fs.usda.gov/nfs/11558/ww...T3_5347056.pdf

    Some of the motorized trails up off Verdi will be appropriate for biking and some will be appropriate for swimming in bottomless decomposed granite that's been moto'd into oblivion.

    Here's the project page with some nice maps: https://www.fs.usda.gov/project/?project=57704

    This comes after TNF tried to approve six trails for eMTB usage a couple years ago, the horsie orgs sued them, and USFS settled the litigation.

    Me gusta.
    sproing!

    FS: Scarpa Maestrale RS 2, size 29. Cheep! https://www.tetongravity.com/forums/...RS-2-0-size-29

  16. #3916
    Join Date
    Jun 2007
    Location
    Cruzing
    Posts
    10,315
    Those trees look great. Usually means there will be winter.

  17. #3917
    Join Date
    Aug 2006
    Posts
    5,698

    The Official 19/20 Tahoe Ski Snowboard Thread. Plus bonus Bootfitting Recs!

    Quote Originally Posted by meter-man View Post
    Since this flew under the radar...Tahoe National Forest just approved a big deal plan for trails in the Truckee Ranger District called the East Zone Connectivity and Restoration Project. The big highlight is 71 miles of new singletrack open to motorized and biking, mostly up near Verdi Ridge (north of Truckee). The Project also authorizes 35 miles of existing trail for eMTB use. Here's the environmental assessment: https://www.fs.usda.gov/nfs/11558/ww...T3_5347056.pdf

    Some of the motorized trails up off Verdi will be appropriate for biking and some will be appropriate for swimming in bottomless decomposed granite that's been moto'd into oblivion.

    Here's the project page with some nice maps: https://www.fs.usda.gov/project/?project=57704

    This comes after TNF tried to approve six trails for eMTB usage a couple years ago, the horsie orgs sued them, and USFS settled the litigation.

    Me gusta.
    I do not think this is approved yet. No decision notice (or draft decision notice) is posted:

    https://www.fs.usda.gov/project/?project=57704
    Last edited by bodywhomper; 10-14-2020 at 07:19 PM.

  18. #3918
    Join Date
    Nov 2015
    Location
    Reno, NV
    Posts
    370
    Quote Originally Posted by meter-man View Post
    Since this flew under the radar...Tahoe National Forest just approved a big deal plan for trails in the Truckee Ranger District called the East Zone Connectivity and Restoration Project. The big highlight is 71 miles of new singletrack open to motorized and biking, mostly up near Verdi Ridge (north of Truckee). The Project also authorizes 35 miles of existing trail for eMTB use. Here's the environmental assessment: https://www.fs.usda.gov/nfs/11558/ww...T3_5347056.pdf

    Some of the motorized trails up off Verdi will be appropriate for biking and some will be appropriate for swimming in bottomless decomposed granite that's been moto'd into oblivion.

    Here's the project page with some nice maps: https://www.fs.usda.gov/project/?project=57704

    This comes after TNF tried to approve six trails for eMTB usage a couple years ago, the horsie orgs sued them, and USFS settled the litigation.

    Me gusta.
    That area definitely needs some TLC. Would've been nice if they incorporated some hike/bike only trails into the plan. Will be interested to see what the final decision is, seems like mostly letters of support in the public comments.

  19. #3919
    Join Date
    Nov 2019
    Location
    Carson Shitty
    Posts
    123
    https://www.npr.org/2020/10/14/92342...ft0XCfBstuoBjQ Telework boom is already showing to be a farce. Maybe Bay Area employers will be calling their workers back sooner than we think?


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  20. #3920
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Location
    Tahoe
    Posts
    13,313
    ^^I have noticed a bunch of For Sale by Owner signs popping up recently. Seems like the 'move to Tahoe' trend is slowing at least.
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  21. #3921
    Join Date
    May 2011
    Location
    Truckee & Sonoma
    Posts
    12,139
    Yeah, not so sure about that. That is a ton of sales after an already record-breaking summer. But of course this doesn't include the SLT area.

    Click image for larger version. 

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  22. #3922
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    Apr 2007
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    Tahoe
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    13,313
    Yes but how much of that is increased demand and how much of it was postponed demand?

    Also I'm specifically talking about the last two weeks. It seems the supply of homes is increasing while the demand may be leveling.
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  23. #3923
    Join Date
    Jan 2004
    Location
    the Low Sierra
    Posts
    13,648

    The Official 19/20 Tahoe Ski Snowboard Thread. Plus bonus Bootfitting Recs!

    earlier this summer Bear Valley Real Estate (the only game in town) ran out of inventory

    now there are a few places on the market - some old timers are saying “fuck it” and cashing in



    this place has been over run with Bay Area turds
    I didn't believe in reincarnation when I was your age either.

  24. #3924
    Gman's Avatar
    Gman is online now Mack Master William Large
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Beserkley
    Posts
    2,024
    Quote Originally Posted by HJ5 View Post
    https://www.npr.org/2020/10/14/92342...ft0XCfBstuoBjQ Telework boom is already showing to be a farce. Maybe Bay Area employers will be calling their workers back sooner than we think?


    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums
    Dropbox announced this week that they are going remote first or something of the sort. Basically, they aren't going back to the offices in a traditional sense and won't be doing a hybrid model.

  25. #3925
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
    Location
    truckee
    Posts
    14,965
    My wife is on Next Door (yeah, I know). Some guy in Tahoe Donner posts "How do we get ready for winter?"
    Wonder how many of the Bay Area WFH transplants will still be here come next winter.

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