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Thread: Ski Chile 2019

  1. #151
    Join Date
    May 2014
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    Santiago Chile
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    702
    Appears the good times have been rolling in Antillanca, have a look, you are invitadísimo!

    https://www.instagram.com/p/B0W4eOlg...on_share_sheet

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  2. #152
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    Apr 2005
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    Between a rock and a soft place. Aberdare and The Brecon Beacons, Wales
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    Fabulous.

    Very fond memories of Antillanca.

  3. #153
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    May 2014
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    Santiago Chile
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    Lets see how fast someone can guess what ski area this is. Pine trees, rocky peaks, Chile? (Facebook foto from this week)

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  4. #154
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    May 2014
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    Santiago Chile
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    Rock and roll in the central zone

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  5. #155
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    May 2014
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    Santiago Chile
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    The calm after the storm.

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    I wonder how long will it take to dig out the Cumbre t-bar..., the best lift south of Don Otto in Chillan. The next best lift is El Haique t-bar in Antillanca.

  6. #156
    Join Date
    May 2014
    Location
    Santiago Chile
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    Ski Chile 2019

    28C today in Santiago, tragic for the bit of snow left. With no snow in the fcst north of Chillan, the central zone with be hard pressed to get past the Aug 15 long weekend, at least with any significant number of runs available.

  7. #157
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    Apr 2014
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    49
    wow. sad times for the central zone! 28C is just downright tropical weather.

    Maybe September will bring something???

  8. #158
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    May 2014
    Location
    Santiago Chile
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    Chillan blew again yesterday

    A tourist got this on video
    https://www.cooperativa.cl/noticias/...04/191221.html

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    and Sernageomin published this risk map

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    One lift gets into the "lesser" probability of impacts zone, and ash could fall down into the ski area base. That lift has a bail out zone half way up, for your tranquility.

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  9. #159
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    Apr 2006
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    1,662


    legit.
    Last edited by byates1; 08-06-2019 at 01:43 AM. Reason: soundtrack

  10. #160
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    Apr 2005
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    Between a rock and a soft place. Aberdare and The Brecon Beacons, Wales
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    Quote Originally Posted by Casey E View Post
    Lets see how fast someone can guess what ski area this is. Pine trees, rocky peaks, Chile? (Facebook foto from this week)

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    OOOOOOH

    Where please?

  11. #161
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    Jan 2004
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    3,857

  12. #162
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    May 2014
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    Santiago Chile
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mike Pow View Post
    OOOOOOH

    Where please?
    Volcán Antuco
    http://www.skiantuco.cl/site/

    Basically a one lift ski area (platter), but with about 400m vertical.

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  13. #163
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    May 2014
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    Santiago Chile
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    Geez this just popped up on my screen saver

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    Road to Portillo, Juncal lift, August 1984

    Same day, yours truly takes the back door out from Tio Bobs, sporting a jean jacket and two different poles. I had style....

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  14. #164
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
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    558
    Oof....

  15. #165
    Join Date
    Dec 2006
    Location
    37N 122W
    Posts
    387
    So...anyone going to be around Santiago Labor Day weekend?


    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums
    "Kids today, all they talk about is big air. I say, stay on the mountain, that's where the action is. If you want big air, pull my finger." ~Smooth Johnson~

  16. #166
    Join Date
    May 2014
    Location
    Santiago Chile
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    702
    So, officially, the “ENSO Alert System Status” is now “Final El Niño Advisory”

    https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/produc...ensodisc.shtml

    They go on to recognize

    “The latest IRI/CPC plume of forecasts of the Niño-3.4 index [Fig. 6] favors ENSO-neutral (Niño-3.4 index between -0.5°C and +0.5°C), with index values greater than zero from late Northern Hemisphere summer into fall, warming closer to the El Niño threshold (+0.5°C) by winter. Atypically, dynamical models forecast weaker positive SST anomalies than statistical models throughout most of the forecast period. As a result, while forecasters favor ENSO-neutral conditions, the odds of El Niño (~30%) are roughly twice that of La Niña for next winter. In summary, El Niño has transitioned to ENSO-neutral, which is most likely to continue through Northern Hemisphere winter 2019-20 (50-55% chance”.

    All these plumes mean little when on the ground, it is drought or drought. For perspective, Chile is now 18th in the world for water stress, up there with the Middle East.

  17. #167
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Location
    Glendale, CA
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    29
    Quote Originally Posted by Beder View Post
    ^^^ I would say 12 years since they had a very good year from start to finish.
    I was at Las Lenas last year and an old timer there told me it had been 10 years since they had a really good season. I've never been to Bariloche, which is further south, but I think they have had some good seasons lately.
    The last above average season for Portillo/Valle Nevado/Las Lenas was 2009. The last big season was 2005. I have June-Sept snowfall for Las Lenas through 2015, my last visit there. 2010-2015 averaged 116 inches vs. 208 from 1984-2009. I doubt 2016-19 are any better than 2010-15.

    Chillan and Corralco have had some good recent seasons, but that's mostly anecdotal; I've never seen detail stats.

    The Las Lenas stats since 1984 show June and July as peak snowfall months. August averages 3/4 of July and September averages less than half of July. Santiago rainfall has a similar pattern. Portillo's website shows 48 inches snowfall season to date. Thus the probability is high that you can stick a fork in the Central Mountains/Las Lenas ski season.

    In western North American mountains average snowfall December-March is fairly even. Thus we occasionally get a slow starting "March Miracle" season like 1990-91 and 2017-18 in the California Sierra. Do not expect this to happen in Chile. I believe the "Santa Rosa" legend exists because the late August/start of September is literally the last time you might see a major dump. That might happen at least a month later in western North America (Alpine Meadows avalanche 1982).
    http://bestsnow.net
    "The most complete, comprehensive and objective guide to snowfall--and both prevailing and expected snow conditions--at North America's ski resorts ever published"- Powder Magazine.

  18. #168
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Idaho
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    935
    Some folks I know are abandoning Valle Nevado today and heading for Corralco, where it's supposed to be pretty good.

  19. #169
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    Santiago Chile
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beder View Post
    Some folks I know are abandoning Valle Nevado today and heading for Corralco, where it's supposed to be pretty good.
    That would certainly be my advice. Seems the Cumbre lift is open now, with room to tour high, and a low snow line.

    Could try Las Araucarias sort of nearby too. I might be there Tuesday, with fresh, if the astros align. Which they are doing, tonight, as in the gibbous moon, Jupiter, and Antares. Look north after nightfall, at least from my latitude.

  20. #170
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    May 2014
    Location
    Santiago Chile
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    Ski Chile 2019

    Antillanca has the best snow info in Chile after Portillo. Corralco has slipped down the ladder.

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    “Condicional al clima” means conditional in general, so it is a gamble if you want to ride a lift.

    And they post inspiring shots like this, looking east to the top of the chair and the Raihuen crater.

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    This is probably the easiest place in Chile to ski into a crater (extinct, I think...), with several to choose from. The Haique cinder cone is a short 100m schuss and 100m hike up from the lift of that name. It is part of the Antillanca group, which includes V Casablanca.
    Last edited by Casey E; 08-09-2019 at 07:14 PM.

  21. #171
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    May 2014
    Location
    Santiago Chile
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    702
    This graph shows the estimated snowfall distribution for July 2014-19, roughly Portillo south to Villarrica, which varies widely

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    Zooming way out, this is a snowfall graph at a mining weather station between Santiago and Portillo, 2,700m.

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    This year is headed to 1998 levels, except in 98 the ski areas never did open.

    And to round things out, the country wide drought graph for the past 4 years

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  22. #172
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    May 2014
    Location
    Santiago Chile
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    Snowing at the base of V Osorno, a good sign the freezing level is low for this dump.
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    Nukin’ in Corralco too

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  23. #173
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    May 2014
    Location
    Santiago Chile
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    702
    Using google maps in Chile is, like most places, a real gamble when getting onto the back roads. My search for the best route from ]
    my rancho to “Refugio Llaima” or “ Nevados de Vilcun”, gave me this:

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    Now that “fastest” route takes in around 70km of graveled roads in dubious condition in the winter. Anytime you try to go north south away from the Panam Ruta 5 highway, look twice to what you are getting into. East-west is normally fine and paved, mostly. I called the Cunco cops and they said the “Ruta Interlagos”,
    that winds around the front side of V Llaima to Cherquenco, is “transitable”.

    I am inclined to try it, make things interesting at least on this cold rainy day.

  24. #174
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    558
    Portillo picked up 4cm... story of the season.

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    It’s easy to get sucked into the negative. A super low tide season. But even with just 4cm more than yesterday, this place is spectacular. A little perspective is needed.

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  25. #175
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    Apr 2006
    Posts
    1,662
    casey e always legit,


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