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Thread: Jones Pass Fatality
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03-08-2019, 07:21 PM #51Originally Posted by adrenalated
Here is my point. There are a bunch of people talking out of their ass and victim blaming. I expect that from Facebook but usually Slide Zone is better than that.
Unless you were there, or spoke directly to someone that was, you don't know exactly what went down. There are very few details that are available publicly at this point. What we do know is that a very large avalanche ran to historic extents and a guide was killed. According to the operating company, this slide was triggered by a different party.
I do know someone that was there and I don't know exactly what went down, because it ain't the time to ask. Because he is busy mourning one of his best friends.
IF YOU KNOW FACTS about this or any other accident... they are useful to help everyone learn from. Stating unsubstantiated bullshit serves only to stoke ones own ego and discount the decision making of others to the point where you have closed yourself off from learning anything useful.
Originally Posted by mcski
I think this is a fair point, although I would ask if you know what level of avalanche mitigation PA does relative to nearby ski areas? I do not and so don't feel comfortable making judgments on what they do and don't do.
Originally Posted by old goat
With that, I'll be signing off TGR and other social media for a bit. Stay safe, make good decisions.
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03-08-2019, 07:25 PM #52The news stated he was a photog attached to a client group. That's the issueIrrelevant.The issue is the guiding clients part if that wasn't clear
To give my answer on Adrenelated's question, I think ski areas feel comfortable that they can open large amounts of terrain without exposing themselves to the avalanche hazard. In addition to that, they may or may not have opened terrain yesterday in avalanche terrain based on their analysis of the risk.
I think that use computer jockeys with no life on a Friday night would respond a bit differently. The terrain that the incident occurred in is, most likely, true backcountry absent any type of control work or meaningful skier compaction. Most people would agree that avalanche terrain in the backcountry was unsafe yesterday. You would be unlikely to be able to make this blanket statement about avalanche terrain in proximate ski areas as that terrain would have be subject to, most likely, control work and previous skier compaction.
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03-08-2019, 07:33 PM #53
Ok it has been a long day of processing this tragedy. I hope everyone can heal from this. Save the QB analysis for Monday. A good man died doing his job. R.I.P Hans - wildisreal
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03-08-2019, 08:15 PM #54
Jones Pass Fatality
Sorry, I don’t see the parallel either. If that was a ski resort the entire methodology of operations would have been completely different (continuous active control of a major slide path vs skiing well below an uncontrolled major slide path).
Not saying I would have made a different decision (though I can’t remember ever skiing below major slide paths on extreme danger days), but I don’t see the parallel.Last edited by Lindahl; 03-08-2019 at 09:20 PM.
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03-08-2019, 08:29 PM #55
Having been both a helicopter skiing guide and a professional ski patroller, I would say they are not at all similar.
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03-08-2019, 08:49 PM #56
This indicates the victim was dropped off further down to set up for photos before the cat continued up where skiers would drop in.
https://www.denverpost.com/2019/03/0...GLDdPQ2zBaK_yII french kissed Kelly Kapowski.
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03-08-2019, 08:51 PM #57
His point isn't that hard to decipher.
Guides and Trollers both:
Are paid to be there
Are looking out for their guests
Are under pressure to get guests on snow asap
Make mistakes
With that, how about drop that tangent since this is a rip thread? Debate nuances of the two elsewhere?
__
Vibes to friends and fam of the fallen.
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03-08-2019, 09:27 PM #58
Jones Pass Fatality
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03-08-2019, 09:58 PM #59
Are you familiar with PA's methodology of operations? I am not, at least not to the extent that I can compare or contrast it with that of anywhere else. Again, my point here is we (as a community) need to stop talking out of our asses and stick to what we know as true, which brings me to your second post:
This is not a point of view. It is a fact that the published avalanche danger rating by the CAIC was High for the Front Range zone, not Extreme. If you would like to debate whether or not that was the correct rating, or whether or not it is even relevant to this avalanche accident, I think that is fair. I have my own opinions on that, which I have not expressed in this thread or anywhere else so I'm not sure how you would know what they are. However, let's get our facts correct. The rated avalanche danger where this accident occurred was High, not Extreme.
I would be interested to hear you elaborate on this. A separate thread or a PM would be fine and probably more appropriate,
Thanks, I had not seen this article and these details.Last edited by adrenalated; 03-08-2019 at 10:30 PM.
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03-08-2019, 11:03 PM #60
This is such a bad situation. I thought the rating was extreme throughout the region. It was on the 7th which I thought was the date.
you know there ain't no devil,
there's just God when he's drunk---- Tom Waits
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03-08-2019, 11:18 PM #61
Once again, let's be sure that we are stating facts that are accurate and true. CAIC went to a ten zone forecast system in 2006. Thursday was the first time that four zones (not five) were rated at Extreme since the ten zone format began.
I'm not debating that conditions were exceptionally dangerous on Thursday. However I am going to hold this community to a standard of not posting things that are verifiably false.
EDIT: I see your post has been edited thusly:
Here is the forecast for the Front Range zone on Thursday, March 7, 2019:
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03-08-2019, 11:23 PM #62
What happens with the unguided skiers who triggered this?
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03-08-2019, 11:43 PM #63
that is uncertain too
adrenalated I see you are correct on that point and it does matter. I don't know the people but love the area, sympathy to everyone involved or close to them. Very sorryyou know there ain't no devil,
there's just God when he's drunk---- Tom Waits
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03-08-2019, 11:49 PM #64
Why is there hang up in this discussion of whether the forecast was high or extreme for the zone that this occurred? It was only a forecast. Reading the forecast discussion, the comment about the steamboat area indicates less “extreme” conditions and forecast. This makes me wonder if the High rating was because caic needed to consider that area in its overall single word rating for the zone:
https://avalanche.state.co.us/foreca...e/front-range/
RIP to family and friends.
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03-08-2019, 11:59 PM #65
Jones Pass Fatality
Talk about pendantic. I get that you’re close to this, and I’m sorry for your (and others’) loss, but come on now. The methodologies of ski patrolling and ski guiding at Jones Pass are nowhere near similar.
True. ‘accepting this as a point of view’ -> ‘accepting this as part of any argument’.Last edited by Lindahl; 03-09-2019 at 07:19 AM.
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03-09-2019, 01:27 AM #66
C'mon man, I know you, skied with you and Lindhal, and the OP, and most deeply feel for your loss. We have been there with more dead people then we should have, but ...
This was a major fuck up. Unfortunately 2 commercial operations in Colorado this year so far.
If you can't see this as a major fucking fuck up, then you definitely need to hit that guitar a bit harder.
No one, don't doubt our forecast, or if your were remotely out there, would know, it's a clean your fucking bathroom day. Simple as that.
This disgusts me.
Edit:
My 25 year old self wanted deeply to deposit myself on top of the most avalanche prone terrain yesterday and use my well overfunded brain to illustrate in rebellion the fact that I could navigate it selfishly. Fully knowing that I could.
But, my 43 year old self said that was owed a douche slap for being so stupid. And I replied, I'm not being stupid, I proving smarts. To which my other self said...
Exactly, stupid. I was so close so close, but those 20 years, and deaths, made me clean the kitchen to take out my itch.
Food for thought.
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03-09-2019, 02:23 AM #67
While danger was 4/4/3 for the zone, it was under an avalanche warning noting "exceptional avalanche conditions" and the avalanche problem indicated "likely" slab avalanches of "very large to historic" size. There were many recent historic slides in that zone.
What is more, that drainage is a particularly deep area of a very large forecast zone and sits on the continental divide; it is extremely close to the zone border over which the forecast was 5/5/5. We always tell our intro students to read the neighboring zone forecast when *close* to the zone border.
Originally Posted by CAIC Front Range Zone Forecast Discussion 3/7/19
True safe zones during historic conditions are areas where you are not on, connected to, or underneath (within the max alpha angle) of any potential slide zone based on conservative start zone slope angles of 27/28deg.
Bad luck is when you make good decisions but have a bad outcome. Bad luck is the rarest type of avalanche accident. This accident was not bad luck. Where the guide was hit, where was snowcat moments before according to the news, were objectively not safe places to be that day. The evidence is in the pile of pulverized timber and the tragic loss of life.Originally Posted by blurred
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03-09-2019, 02:46 AM #68
I've dug pits in the low fun zone (35 before the fun) where the entire slope has collapsed and was shivering getting out of the pit;
I've set off complete hudge acres of terrain at 22 degrees remotely and had the same feeling. Litteraly entire fields of gone.
A stomp and a hand pit is not going to get you your normal tomorrow.
Just wait a week. And then tempt. It's not easy, this science, but that buffer, can save your life.
Edit: I know we are being nanny's but we're in our age and this shit can save your life, as much as you want those over the head 'grams.
Here's a try: find some underservered liftserved inbounds and post that faceshot as a stach that you nailed and get some $$$ from the hill.
Quite honestestly: I've gone through the spectrum of being scared of not knowing and running it, through the final end of knowing too much and thinking I know too much. It's a very weird feeling that I don't know too many people to talk to about. But it is a very relevant discussion perhaps for another thread.
There is a reason avi professionals die. I have overcome the starter one's but I'm solidly in the cohort of thinking too much and being the next one. I'm aware of this. It scares me in a way that I'm uncomfortable about it.
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03-09-2019, 03:12 AM #69
I've dug pits in the low fun zone (35 before the fun) where the entire slope has collapsed and was shivering getting out of the pit;
I've set off complete hudge acres of terrain at 22 degrees remotely and had the same feeling. Litteraly entire fields of gone.
A stomp and a hand pit is not going to get you your normal tomorrow.
Just wait a week. And then tempt. It's not easy, this science, but that buffer, can save your life.
The whole assessment game is totally crazy, and when you bring other people into the equation, it's down right mad.
That is my conclusion.
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03-09-2019, 03:52 AM #70
There is lots of good discussion points in this thread. Often good talking points don't blend well with current tragedy.
Even the best of us make bad decisions, despite knowing what we should know. For better or for worse....Most of the time we get away with it.
I often lament about how something that can bring such happiness, joy, stoke and friendship can also be so devastating.
Vibes to family and friends."Its not the arrow, its the Indian" - M.Pinto
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03-09-2019, 06:01 AM #71I often lament about how something that can bring such happiness, joy, stoke and friendship can also be so devastating.
I know many of you and you tend to be smart, caring people. Let's collectively try and be a bit more compassionate. The arguing bullshit is tiring. That said, there is a lot I can personally learn from even those that I disagree with. It is a hard balance to find between discussing and E fighting.
I'm going skiing.
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03-09-2019, 08:37 AM #72
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03-09-2019, 09:14 AM #73
Wonder if this is still going on...
https://www.facebook.com/events/224447898471167/
Colorado Backcountry Workshop 2019
Hosted by Powder Addiction and Colorado Backcountry Workshop
Mar 7 at 6 PM – Mar 10 at 4 PM
The Colorado Backcountry Workshop is an event designed to focus on the human factors associated with backcountry skiing and riding. Cost = $500
The main organizers are:
Eric Tollund, Ski Guide, Snow Safety Co-director, Powder Addiction Cat Skiing
Bjørn Michaelsen, Norwegian Avalanche Educator, Forecaster
Fred Buttard, IFMGA, French Mountain Guide, Owner Up Ski & Mountain GuidesOriginally Posted by blurred
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03-09-2019, 02:50 PM #74
Not intended as any kind of a joke. But the company posted on FB what I was replying to, that another group started the whole thing above their guided group. So my (very serious) question is, should the other group that started the slide be identified, would charges be filed of involuntary manslaughter. If the deceased was my friend or family, I would be pretty angry at what I perceive to be very irresponsible behavior.
So, even if the company is being questioned for having clients out on a day like that, another party acted poorly above their "safe zone" and their actions led directly to a loss of life.
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03-09-2019, 04:00 PM #75
Your not in a safe zone if you're under a steep slope.
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