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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Oct 2008
    Location
    off on yet another Tangent
    Posts
    2,549

    Weather is like a Mag after a Safety Meeting

    This is the best description yet on weather models and forecasting/predicting what's gonna happen next from Joel Gratz on Open Snow:

    The upcoming storms are hard to forecast
    People often ask me what makes some storms easy to forecast and what makes storms harder to forecast.
    The easier and more confident forecasts are when a well-defined system moves quickly. Think about a strong cold front that moves through with 3-4 hours of intense snow and then it’s gone. Models do a good job with these storms and the forecast is often consistent for days before the system arrives.
    The harder and less confident forecasts are when a less well-defined system moves through more slowly and changes strength as it moves. This is what we have coming up with the next three storms, so expect the forecast to continue to change even right up to the storm’s arrival.


    Putting all of this another way, if a train is moving down the tracks at 60 mph, it’s easy to forecast where that train will be in the next minute. Compare that to a person that leaves a bar late at night and slowly trudges down the street, wobbling a little bit as they walk. Where will this person be in the next minute? That’s a less confident forecast!
    Best regards, Terry
    (Direct Contact is best vs PMs)

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  2. #2
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Location
    PRB
    Posts
    19,324
    hilarious.
    "fuck off you asshat gaper shit for brains fucktard wanker." - Jesus Christ
    "She was tossing her bean salad with the vigor of a Drunken Pop princess so I walked out of the corner and said.... "need a hand?"" - Odin

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Feb 2010
    Location
    north aspect
    Posts
    39,803
    true on both accounts so it must be fact
    bF
    Alpental Indigenous

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Location
    Leadville, CO
    Posts
    3,533
    or a craigslist buyer
    My Company: Made in Colorado SKi Clothing- check it out

    www.freeridesystems.com
    25% Maggot Discount Code = 'MAGGOT18'

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Location
    your vacation
    Posts
    1,234
    weather is a crock
    I predict anything after getting stoned
    just need to know the basics

    1) its gonna snow or its not going to snow
    2) it's going to snow alot or just alittle
    3) if it's too cold it's not going to snow, if its to hot its gonna rain
    4) winter comes early on time or late
    5) if the clouds are touching the mountains its going to snow if they're not it's not going to snow
    6) average is just someones over all interpretation

    anyone who spews anything more detailed that that doesn't know what they are saying

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    The Bull City
    Posts
    2,046
    Stumbling down the street drunk and post safety meeting behavior are pretty different from what I recall. Post safety meeting everyone's sitting around doing nothing waiting for someone else, anyone else, to initiate the next phase of the plan or activity... sometimes for like an hour or so..
    Go that way really REALLY fast. If something gets in your way, TURN!

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Oct 2008
    Location
    Vernon BC
    Posts
    1,541
    Quote Originally Posted by fastfred View Post
    weather is a crock
    Thatís because itís controlled by the government. Only flat earthers know the real truth.
    "Its not the arrow, its the Indian" - M.Pinto

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