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Thread: El Nino ?
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07-24-2017, 11:40 AM #1
El Nino ?
http://unofficialnetworks.com/2017/0...ion-from-noaa/
Possibly an EL Nino year....? If I read that correct...
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07-24-2017, 12:05 PM #2
"ENSO-Neutral is favored (50 to ~55% chance) into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2017-18." -NOAA's prediction this month
so, normal winter hedging to maybe weak el nino
(it's still pretty early, tho)
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07-24-2017, 12:40 PM #3
That's what I was thinking...too early to make statements. I'm way too stoked for BBI18 to think of a shit snow year lol
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07-24-2017, 02:19 PM #4
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07-25-2017, 10:22 AM #5
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08-13-2017, 05:33 AM #6
so it's a 50% chance of being 100% wrong or right?
I like those odds
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08-13-2017, 06:05 AM #7Banned
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El Nino ?
I bet after 1000 years of advancement in science, meteorologists still wont be able to predict long term
All I hope is that the "Blob" doesnt return this fall.
Sent from my iPhone using TGR ForumsLast edited by aevergreene; 08-13-2017 at 07:22 AM.
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08-14-2017, 01:54 PM #8
August update, as of today
ENSO Alert System Status: Not Active
ENSO-Neutral conditions are present. Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are near-average across most of the Pacific Ocean. ENSO-Neutral is favored (~85% chance during Jul-Sep, decreasing to ~55% during Dec-Feb) through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2017-18.
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08-14-2017, 02:22 PM #9
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09-19-2017, 11:29 AM #10Registered User
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La Nina potentially on tap. I personally like Cliff:
http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2017/0...s-weather.html
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09-19-2017, 11:37 AM #11
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09-28-2017, 09:57 AM #12Merde De Glace On the Freak When Ski
>>>200 cm Black Bamboo Sidewalled DPS Lotus 120 : Best Skis Ever <<<
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10-19-2017, 02:41 PM #13Registered User
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El Nino ?
The latest prediction from NOAA. Mild La Niña on tap....maybe.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...=.beab7f75bc93
https://www.usatoday.com/story/weath...kes/779886001/
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10-19-2017, 05:13 PM #14
Straight from NOAA: Oct. 12, 2017: La Niña conditions are favored (~55-65%) during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter 2017-18
Future updates available via this link: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...enso_advisory/
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10-20-2017, 04:51 PM #15
thx steve!
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12-12-2017, 01:16 PM #16Registered User
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another El Nino yeasr, gonna be a good time to ride the surf!
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12-12-2017, 08:16 PM #17
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09-13-2018, 10:06 AM #18
NOAA issued its fall ENSO forecast. Good news for wildfire stricken california and colorado. For everyone else....not so much.
El Nino watch in effect.
50-55% chance of El Nino onset for fall period, sept-nov.
Chance increases to 70% for winter period, dec-feb.
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09-13-2018, 10:23 AM #19
After what T’ride and Taos had to endure last year it only seems fair
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09-14-2018, 06:50 AM #20Chowder Lover
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One of the local car dealerships is running an add claiming a “strong El Niño with record snow fall for Colorado”. Of course they are also having a “sale” on awd vehicles. I don’t know where they get their weather data from but I hope they are right. Of course no one really has any clue what will happen in any given area.
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09-14-2018, 07:03 AM #21
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09-14-2018, 07:12 AM #22
I’m calling for above average snowfall in the PNW, because I’m moving there in November. Strong or weak El Niño, La Niña, doesn’t matter. Gonna be a good winter.
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09-16-2018, 02:05 PM #23Banned
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Dry drought years still mean 400" for PNW and UT. So it is really everyone else who has to do the weather worrying every year.
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09-16-2018, 04:43 PM #24
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09-16-2018, 05:55 PM #25Banned
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LCC, UT is "above average" with the average being 500". I like the sound of that :-)
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