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Thread: El Nino ?

  1. #1
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    El Nino ?

    http://unofficialnetworks.com/2017/0...ion-from-noaa/

    Possibly an EL Nino year....? If I read that correct...

  2. #2
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    "ENSO-Neutral is favored (50 to ~55% chance) into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2017-18." -NOAA's prediction this month

    so, normal winter hedging to maybe weak el nino
    (it's still pretty early, tho)

  3. #3
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    That's what I was thinking...too early to make statements. I'm way too stoked for BBI18 to think of a shit snow year lol

  4. #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by acinpdx View Post
    "ENSO-Neutral is favored (50 to ~55% chance) into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2017-18." -NOAA's prediction this month

    so, normal winter hedging to maybe weak el nino
    (it's still pretty early, tho)
    I just wet my finger and put it in the air.

    Came up with the same answer you did.

  5. #5
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    My roofer said the Farmers Almanac has CA down for a wet winter. Ya, right.
    Quote Originally Posted by leroy jenkins View Post
    I think you'd have an easier time understanding people if you remembered that 80% of them are fucking morons.
    That is why I like dogs, more than most people.

  6. #6
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    so it's a 50% chance of being 100% wrong or right?
    I like those odds

  7. #7
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    El Nino ?

    I bet after 1000 years of advancement in science, meteorologists still wont be able to predict long term

    All I hope is that the "Blob" doesnt return this fall.

    Sent from my iPhone using TGR Forums
    Last edited by aevergreene; 08-13-2017 at 07:22 AM.

  8. #8
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    August update, as of today

    ENSO Alert System Status: Not Active
    ENSO-Neutral conditions are present. Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are near-average across most of the Pacific Ocean. ENSO-Neutral is favored (~85% chance during Jul-Sep, decreasing to ~55% during Dec-Feb) through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2017-18.

  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kenny Satch View Post
    so it's a 50% chance of being 100% wrong or right?
    I like those odds
    Partly cloudy chance of showers.

  10. #10
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    La Nina potentially on tap. I personally like Cliff:

    http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2017/0...s-weather.html

  11. #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by puma View Post
    La Nina potentially on tap. I personally like Cliff:

    http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2017/0...s-weather.html
    My quest for a big pow ski continues

  12. #12
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    Merde De Glace On the Freak When Ski
    >>>200 cm Black Bamboo Sidewalled DPS Lotus 120 : Best Skis Ever <<<

  13. #13
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    El Nino ?


  14. #14
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  15. #15
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    thx steve!

  16. #16
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    another El Nino yeasr, gonna be a good time to ride the surf!

  17. #17
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    No
    Quote Originally Posted by The SnowShow View Post
    Keystone is the new Snowbird

  18. #18
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    NOAA issued its fall ENSO forecast. Good news for wildfire stricken california and colorado. For everyone else....not so much.

    El Nino watch in effect.

    50-55% chance of El Nino onset for fall period, sept-nov.

    Chance increases to 70% for winter period, dec-feb.

  19. #19
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    After what T’ride and Taos had to endure last year it only seems fair

  20. #20
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    One of the local car dealerships is running an add claiming a “strong El Niño with record snow fall for Colorado”. Of course they are also having a “sale” on awd vehicles. I don’t know where they get their weather data from but I hope they are right. Of course no one really has any clue what will happen in any given area.

  21. #21
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    El Nino ?

    Quote Originally Posted by GPP33 View Post
    One of the local car dealerships is running an add claiming a “strong El Niño with record snow fall for Colorado”. Of course they are also having a “sale” on awd vehicles. I don’t know where they get their weather data from but I hope they are right. Of course no one really has any clue what will happen in any given area.
    Heard that yesterday and laughed. They don’t know shiiiit.

  22. #22
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    I’m calling for above average snowfall in the PNW, because I’m moving there in November. Strong or weak El Niño, La Niña, doesn’t matter. Gonna be a good winter.

  23. #23
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    Dry drought years still mean 400" for PNW and UT. So it is really everyone else who has to do the weather worrying every year.

  24. #24
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    So maybe good news for Mammoth and Tahoe this season?

    There is ~60% chance of El Niño in the Northern Hemisphere fall 2018
    (September-November), increasing to ~70% during winter 2018-19.
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    Quote Originally Posted by leroy jenkins View Post
    I think you'd have an easier time understanding people if you remembered that 80% of them are fucking morons.
    That is why I like dogs, more than most people.

  25. #25
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    LCC, UT is "above average" with the average being 500". I like the sound of that :-)

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