Results 1,926 to 1,950 of 3644
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09-30-2019, 06:32 AM #1926I have been in this State for 30 years and I am willing to admit that I am part of the problem.
"Happiest years of my life were earning < $8.00 and hour, collecting unemployment every spring and fall, no car, no debt and no responsibilities. 1984-1990 Park City UT"
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09-30-2019, 08:56 AM #1927
I enjoy poking the bear and going over the top on fucking morons like RJ. It's releasing my negative energy in a healthy way, to a piece of shit human being
But you have to be a special kind of stupid to see data facts on hurricane numbers then go fucking berserk on why the were posted
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09-30-2019, 10:41 AM #1928Banned
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It would be more accurate to say I am citing scientists who were chosen by politicians, whose work was reviewed, edited, and released to the public by politicians. And despite all these biases, they can't find enough evidence to support the conclusion that hurricanes are getting worse.
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09-30-2019, 10:44 AM #1929Banned
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09-30-2019, 10:45 AM #1930
Another week goes by with zero extreme or otherwise remarkable weather events.. ron smart, everyone else stoopid!
Go that way really REALLY fast. If something gets in your way, TURN!
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09-30-2019, 10:53 AM #1931Banned
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You cherry picked some data. I didn't interpret anything. I left that to the holy ones at the IPCC.
Here is some data for you. Some actual facts. I'm sure you heard about the snowstorm in Montana this weekend right? Well, Browning, MT received 48" of snow. In September!! They average 81" per year. Clearly global warming is fake!
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09-30-2019, 10:58 AM #1932Banned
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09-30-2019, 10:59 AM #1933Go that way really REALLY fast. If something gets in your way, TURN!
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09-30-2019, 11:04 AM #1934Banned
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09-30-2019, 11:16 AM #1935
Unlike human caused warming for which there is high confidence, it's much more difficult to detect the anthropogenic contribution, relative to natural variability, of intensifying hurricanes.
However, the models predict the global proportion of hurricanes and cyclones that reach very intense (Category 4 and 5) levels will likely increase this century.
So yeah even though it's too early to say so with high confidence, nevertheless we're seeing an increasing percentage of Category 4 & 5 hurricanes. And, for the Atlantic islanders and East Coasters among us all measures of Atlantic hurricane activity show a significant increase in recent decades:
- Significant increases in the strongest hurricanes have occurred in the North Atlantic (Kossin et al. 2013)
-- A more recent study shows 95th percentile/24-h hurricane intensity significantly increased in the central and eastern tropical Atlantic basin (Balaguru et al, 2018)
--- Intensity uncertainty is very low for the North Atlantic indicating the proportion of the highest hurricane intensity significantly increased in the Atlantic (Bhatia et al. 2019)
---- Hurricane intensity also increased significantly in the West Pacific (Mei et al, 2016)
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09-30-2019, 11:44 AM #1936
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09-30-2019, 12:21 PM #1937Banned
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If the IPCC's conclusions aren't satisfactory for you, here are NOAA's: https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-war...nd-hurricanes/
"While there have been increases in U.S. landfalling hurricanes and basin-wide hurricane counts since the since the early 1970s, Figure 4 shows that these recent increases are not representative of the behavior seen in the century long records. In short, the historical Atlantic hurricane frequency record does not provide compelling evidence for a substantial greenhouse warming-induced long-term increase."
"Owing to the large interannual to decadal variability of SST and hurricane activity in the basin, Bender et al (2010) estimate that detection of an anthropogenic influence on intense hurricanes would not be expected for a number of decades, even assuming a large underlying increasing trend (+10% per decade) occurs. While there is a large rising trend since the mid 1940’s in observed category 4-5 numbers in the Atlantic, our view is that these data are not reliable for trend calculations, until they have been further assessed for data homogeneity problems, such as those due to changing observing practices."
"In summary, neither our model projections for the 21st century nor our analyses of trends in Atlantic hurricane and tropical storm activity support the notion that greenhouse gas-induced warming leads to large increases in either tropical storm or overall hurricane numbers in the Atlantic. While one of our modeling studies projects a large (~100%) increase in Atlantic category 4-5 hurricanes over the 21st century, we estimate that such an increase would not be detectable until the latter half of the century, and we still have only low confidence that such an increase will occur in the Atlantic basin, based on an updated survey of subsequent modeling studies by our and other groups."
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09-30-2019, 12:23 PM #1938Banned
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09-30-2019, 12:26 PM #1939
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09-30-2019, 12:28 PM #1940
This was just observable data that I post, you fucked the goat after getting sand in your vag
In a remarkable burst of rapid intensification, Hurricane Lorenzo vaulted to Category 5 status late Saturday, becoming the Atlantic’s second Cat 5 storm of the year, the strongest hurricane ever observed so far east in the Atlantic, and one of the northernmost Cat 5s on record. As of 11 pm EDT Saturday, Lorenzo was packing top sustained winds of 160 mph.
With Lorenzo and Dorian, this year is now one of only seven years in Atlantic hurricane records going back to 1851 that have produced at least two Category 5 storms. None of those years produced more than two Cat 5s except for 2005, which yielded four (Emily, Katrina, Rita, and Wilma).
The last 20 years have seen a striking clustering of Category 5 storms in the Atlantic, as noted by Sam Lillo
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09-30-2019, 12:31 PM #1941
NOAA and the IPCC both support the conclusion that global warming is happening and it is human caused. What is your argument? Ohyeah, no argument, just obfuscation and casting doubt. Nothing to see here. Ron, the russkies paying well this week?
sigless.
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09-30-2019, 12:44 PM #1942Banned
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09-30-2019, 12:49 PM #1943Banned
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09-30-2019, 02:02 PM #1944
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09-30-2019, 02:09 PM #1945Banned
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So the Montana snowstorm is weather, and hurricane Lorenzo is climate?
Can you give me an example of where I mixed up weather and climate?
What are the basic science concepts i don't understand?
Really looking forward to your response on this one. You might have to do something other than than finding some article and sections to copy and paste.
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09-30-2019, 02:28 PM #1946
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09-30-2019, 02:32 PM #1947
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09-30-2019, 02:48 PM #1948
I can't believe you guys are still arguing with that bot.
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09-30-2019, 03:05 PM #1949I have been in this State for 30 years and I am willing to admit that I am part of the problem.
"Happiest years of my life were earning < $8.00 and hour, collecting unemployment every spring and fall, no car, no debt and no responsibilities. 1984-1990 Park City UT"
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09-30-2019, 03:08 PM #1950Banned
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