Results 901 to 925 of 3644
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08-29-2019, 09:52 PM #901
Fucking Chuck Todd. What a dork.
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08-30-2019, 07:18 AM #902Banned
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- 8,291
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08-30-2019, 09:23 AM #903
I did not see what sleepy Chuck Todd said to get Benny riled. If he commented that Dorian is being enhanced by extremely warm ocean water and that water is warmer because of climate change, aside from Ron does anyone else disagree with that?
I have been in this State for 30 years and I am willing to admit that I am part of the problem.
"Happiest years of my life were earning < $8.00 and hour, collecting unemployment every spring and fall, no car, no debt and no responsibilities. 1984-1990 Park City UT"
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08-30-2019, 09:45 AM #904
The number of category 4 and 5 Atlantic hurricanes seems to be increasing. Warm water strengthens hurricanes. The water in the Caribbean is getting warmer. But if you don't like it Benny you can turn off the TV, go into your room, and work on your Asian accent.
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08-30-2019, 09:55 AM #905
He opened his stupid show with an image of this storm loudly saying something over that stupid music that, omg, there's a hurricaine heading for Florida and the Amazon is burning! I'm not, heh heh, saying the two are connected, but, you know, maybe they are! We'll have self appointed experts blathering about this, but first, a word from our sponsors, Lexus and Shell.
You know, it's like Russia beat Hillary. Over and over.
As far as hurricaines gaining in intensity, where are the stats on that? You know, going back more than 60 years. I'll tell you. There are none. And what's 60 years in the history of storms?
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08-30-2019, 10:03 AM #906
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08-30-2019, 10:13 AM #907As far as hurricaines gaining in intensity, where are the stats on that? You know, going back more than 60 years. I'll tell you. There are none. And what's 60 years in the history of storms?
https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-war...nd-hurricanes/
study up.I have been in this State for 30 years and I am willing to admit that I am part of the problem.
"Happiest years of my life were earning < $8.00 and hour, collecting unemployment every spring and fall, no car, no debt and no responsibilities. 1984-1990 Park City UT"
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08-30-2019, 10:30 AM #908
Dude, Florida has actually been fairly hurricane free in the past sixty years. Last big one to hit the east coast was in 92. That's a problem. There's millions of new residents who have moved into harm's way. Same all up and down the entire East coast of America. Climate change isn't the issue, it's millions and millions of people who now live in very dangerous places, places that had zero to very little population at the turn of the 20th century.
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08-30-2019, 10:38 AM #909
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08-30-2019, 11:11 AM #910
Yeah, nobody has ever been able to predict weather. Evar............
I have been in this State for 30 years and I am willing to admit that I am part of the problem.
"Happiest years of my life were earning < $8.00 and hour, collecting unemployment every spring and fall, no car, no debt and no responsibilities. 1984-1990 Park City UT"
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08-30-2019, 11:15 AM #911
Well, how many times have incoming storms to your mountain never happened or just straggled in with an inch or two?
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08-30-2019, 11:20 AM #912
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08-30-2019, 11:26 AM #913I have been in this State for 30 years and I am willing to admit that I am part of the problem.
"Happiest years of my life were earning < $8.00 and hour, collecting unemployment every spring and fall, no car, no debt and no responsibilities. 1984-1990 Park City UT"
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08-30-2019, 11:52 AM #914
"How climate change is making hurricanes more dangerous ---Stronger wind speeds, more rain, and worsened storm surge add up to more potential destruction."
Major hurricanes are by far the world’s costliest natural weather disasters, in some cases causing well over $100 billion in damage. There’s now evidence that the unnatural effects of human-caused global warming are already making hurricanes stronger and more destructive. The latest research shows the trend is likely to continue as long as the climate continues to warm.
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08-30-2019, 12:00 PM #915
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08-30-2019, 12:05 PM #916
Predicting localized snowfall is totally the same thing as predicting the long-term average frequency and intensity of hurricanes in the Western Atlantic.
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08-30-2019, 12:06 PM #917Go that way really REALLY fast. If something gets in your way, TURN!
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08-30-2019, 12:09 PM #918
I want to name the storms, bitch would be a go one.
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08-30-2019, 12:18 PM #919
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08-30-2019, 12:37 PM #920
Ever since I first learned about confirmation bias I've been seeing it everywhere.
How many times does the forecast call for 94 degrees and sunny, and instead there was a blizzard with twelve inches of snow?
Modern weather forecasting is amazing. The key is understanding that a forecast is a statistical prediction of a dynamic system and not an absolute precise prediction.
If a forecast says there’s a 20 percent chance of snow tomorrow, one way to think about that is that in 20 percent of the statistical weather models, a snow storm developed, and in the other 80 percent—based a few variations in initial conditions—it fizzled.
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08-30-2019, 12:43 PM #921
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08-30-2019, 01:00 PM #922Registered User
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- Dec 2008
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- 821
^that sounds like the ranger was misinterpreting the forecast
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08-30-2019, 01:05 PM #923Registered User
- Join Date
- Dec 2008
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- 821
Aaaannnddd just checked. The ranger was right, I was wrong! Huh.
PoP = C x A where "C" = the confidence that precipitation will occur somewhere in the forecast area, and where "A" = the percent of the area that will receive measurable precipitation (greater than or equal to 0.01"), if it occurs at all.
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08-30-2019, 01:41 PM #924
There are few better indicators of general ignorance and / or stupidity than those who bitch about weather forecasts not being 100% accurate or saying, “it’s the only job where you can be wrong X percent of the time and still keep your job”, “they can’t tell us if it’s going to rain Tuesday but they want to tell us what the weather will be in 80 years”
Modern weather forecasts are amazing. I challenge anyone to predict the weather without using models and compare your accuracy to the professionals.
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08-30-2019, 01:50 PM #925
Yeah, according to NWFlow's formula the ranger is sort of right but they are probably framing it that way for safety. Better for the ranger to say if there's a chance of rain then it will rain somewhere in the vicinity so watch out for flash flooding rather than saying the forecast is a combination of the chance of precipitation combined with the percent area in which the precipitation might occur.
FWIW, improved weather forecasts means things like fewer people caught in flash floods and lower odds of being struck by lightning.
Sort of related, around thirty years ago Hurricane forecasts three days out from landfall used to have something like a 350 mile predicted radius which is a circle big enough to contain Houston and Tallahassee on its circumference but the radius is much smaller now, about a hundred miles.Last edited by MultiVerse; 08-30-2019 at 02:11 PM.
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