Snow in the PNW 14/15: El Niño can suck it

[LeeLau]

Probably, but hwy 16 from PG to Terrace is a crap shoot.

Watch for winter storm warnings and freezing rain. Also moose. Winter storms are fine. Freezing rain is a bit more of a hazard

[PNWbrit]

Check with Scotsman for how bad that drive can get.

[NWSkier]

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...ext#.VJybVAABo

Crystal is about to get fucked hard. The forecast for baker on the other hand...

[NWSkier]

Most years we're on the ragged edge of snow vs. rain.

This exactly. 30 deg F with a lot of precip means a ton of snow but a couple degrees the wrong direction and we all know what happens

[PNWbrit]

The forecast for baker on the other hand...

I'm forecasting a reasonably strong chance of a Mt Baker point forecast failure setting up?

[Andyski]

I'm forecasting a reasonably strong chance of a Mt Baker point forecast failure setting up?

With 95% confidence.

[Ted Striker]

re: Yellowhead Highway, I've driven it.

For anyone looking at a Shames trip, I'd call Hawkair. If you are flexible on the dates, they have some good deals. IIRC, they used to throw a lift ticket in gratis.

[PNWbrit]

With 95% confidence.

:-)

[PNWbrit]

For bad skiing in the PNW, this year has now surpassed the previous record set in the snow drought of 1975-76.

Skiing has been far better than it was in 04/05. It got quite good late in that season though.

[Ted Striker]

re: baker

The aviation area forecast is calling for a 5000' freezing level. The 6000' wind is forecast to be due south. Satellite shows a warm front that is going to make landfall this afternoon. Straight up pineapple express.

I'd like to share nwskier's optimism, but brit's probably right.

[NWSkier]

^^ let's hope this doesn't pan out. I had only looked at the NOAA forecast.

Either way I'll be at crystal tomorrow if anyone else is desperate enough to be there say hey. Green jacket yellow pants black helmet sally czars.

[Van_skier]

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...ext#.VJybVAABo
The forecast for baker on the other hand...

I'm guessing you missed the fine print on the Mt Baker NOAA forecast. ABOUT THIS FORECAST: Point Forecast: Mt Baker WA, 48.78°N 121.81°W (Elev. 10070 ft)

NOAA's forecast is for the actual Mt Baker, not the ski resort (ski resort highest point is 5091 ft)

[skiingsamurai]

Baker resort-ish
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...t#.VNK9sp3F81I

[Bandit Man]

Decided to take some time and enjoy the table scraps that Stevens Pass still had to offer today. A few inches of dust on crust, but skied decent enough. Snowing most of the morning, but all felt in vain. Based on the forecast through the weekend, I wouldn't be surprised if they have to close until another real winter storm rolls through. They just don't have much base to give up at this point.

[skiingsamurai]

Decided to take some time and enjoy the table scraps that Stevens Pass still had to offer today. A few inches of dust on crust, but skied decent enough. Snowing most of the morning, but all felt in vain. Based on the forecast through the weekend, I wouldn't be surprised if they have to close until another real winter storm rolls through. They just don't have much base to give up at this point.

I havent been up in a couple weeks (knee issue), how's it looking up high and on the backside?

[NWSkier]

The link I originally posted was for crystal. This is what I'm looking at for baker
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...2#.VNLJoYm9LCT

Roughly 4200 ft. 10mi ENE of mt baker its self

[Van_skier]

The link I originally posted was for crystal. This is what I'm looking at for baker
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...2#.VNLJoYm9LCT

Roughly 4200 ft. 10mi ENE of mt baker its self

Fail again at reading the fineprint. While at the top for the current condition, it identifies it at 4200ft, the forecast is for 8236ft:
"ABOUT THIS FORECAST. Point Forecast: 10 Miles ENE Mt Baker WA 48.83°N 121.6°W (Elev. 8236 ft)
(this info is under the map)

[MagnificentUnicorn]

The link I originally posted was for crystal. This is what I'm looking at for baker
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...2#.VNLJoYm9LCT

Roughly 4200 ft. 10mi ENE of mt baker its self

Fail again at reading the fineprint. While at the top for the current condition, it identifies it at 4200ft, the forecast is for 8236ft:
"ABOUT THIS FORECAST. Point Forecast: 10 Miles ENE Mt Baker WA 48.83°N 121.6°W (Elev. 8236 ft)
(this info is under the map)

This is why so many people get excited and then have their hopes smashed. Pay attention to detail.

[NWSkier]

Got it. Do I get points for not looking at the forecast for the mountain it's self?

At this rate there's not going to be any snow left in a week...

[AK47bp]

Fail again at reading the fineprint. While at the top for the current condition, it identifies it at 4200ft, the forecast is for 8236ft:
"ABOUT THIS FORECAST. Point Forecast: 10 Miles ENE Mt Baker WA 48.83°N 121.6°W (Elev. 8236 ft)
(this info is under the map)

Can't we let the kid dream?

[Stikki]

Are we going to lose any shops after this season? I remember the last go around we lost a few.

[bgrayvy]

So I unexpectedly have next weekend to myself. Seriously considering driving to Big Sky to get something out of my Snoqualmie pass...

[fiddler]

thanks alpine, just got an apt with Dr Wagner for this afternoon.
Fiddler: bham is a bit of a trek for me.

At least I picked a good season to hurt myself...

Glad you got an appt that quick, good luck. Speaking of luck, don't you think a giant set of cold storms should come in right about the time you're ready to go again? Yeah, that sounds good.

[Ted Striker]

At this rate there's not going to be any snow left in a week...

Sadly, that looks like a distinct possibility right now.

I don't mean to bum you out, it's just that I've lived here for a long time and have seen the good and bad.

[XavierD]

Are we going to lose any shops after this season? I remember the last go around we lost a few.

As flowing alpy said, Fiorini's lease was gonna double, and they were ready to call it quits regardless.
Olympic Sports got too big. The North Gate location used to get my money as well.

With Mt Pilchuck, Marmot and SnoCon already closed up, I think most of the local shops should be able to stay around. If any disappear, my money is on Seattle Ski.

04-05 was a worse season, too.