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  1. #8551
    Join Date
    Sep 2004
    Location
    Ten Mile Vistas
    Posts
    3,734
    Quote Originally Posted by Summit View Post
    The tourists were supposed to be gone, they aren't. Schools have started. But those populations are not the real cause of the spike.

    While the tourists aren't completely gone, there's definitely far fewer. I'm not seeing much evidence in Breck of more people not wearing masks, but if it's happening at work or in offices, I wouldn't. The one variable that has noticeably changed since this summer is the schools. My nephew's class at Silverthorne Elementary has been quarantined, my daughter's cross country team was quarantined with a few kids sick and testing positive. Isn't it very difficult to trace cases if the kids are spreading the virus asymptomatically and possibly causing the uptick in cases we're seeing? Or is asymptomatic spread unlikely?

    At any rate, we need to be MUCH more vigilant about curbing the spread or we're fucked this winter.
    Old's Cool.

  2. #8552
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    SW, CO for now
    Posts
    654
    Quote Originally Posted by Summit View Post
    It's is pretty nuts how the trend is going right now. It is supposed to be slow season, but numbers are UP UP UP. Case rates are higher than they have EVER been.

    The tourists were supposed to be gone, they aren't. Schools have started. But those populations are not the real cause of the spike.

    It's everyone having get togethers or being lax on masking/distancing in the workplace.

    We are starting to see hospital cases in CO which typically lag behind case spikes by 2-3 weeks (based on predominant transmitting demographics and chains of infection into vulnerable populations or multiplication in less vulnerable populations and then the time it takes to become acutely ill). CDPHE went over this yesterday and it was the most doom and gloom that I'd heard since March. What is sticking in my mind is some of the modeling that I dismissed from early summer was predicting the spike we are seeing now to occur now. Based on this new trend, everything gets shut down in December unless we bend the curve the right way. It is far easier to do it now than in November.

    If the hospitals fill, things will shut down. That will be BAD. We must not let it get there. However, everyone has caution fatigue and local cops don't want to break up parties or write tickets for public health order violations, so... I'm feeling pessimistic.
    Nice post. I bolded the key imo.

    Down here in Durango the tourist season has slowed down significantly, but not to normal levels for this time of year. That said, mask usage from visitors has been pretty good and local provisions have kept out of town folks from gathering large groups with locals at the bars or in ways that spread the virus badly. I've yet to hear of a single case in La Plata county that can be confirmed to have been contracted directly from a tourist out in public. I'm sure it has happened, but not at the level most expected. I love to blame tourons for all of our problems just like the rest of us, but it is clear to me now that it is not the texans that are responsible for the recent outbreaks around here.

    We had outbreaks at three major restaurants in town that forced shutdowns. The rumor is that almost all the cases attended a house party a few days before with some people who were visiting from out of the state. Fort Lewis has been forced to shut down a huge portion of their athletics following a big party and people are hosting "secret" music festivals in the woods. When it comes to COVID restrictions, there is a general attitude around town of, "do as I say, not as I do." Everyone I know (myself included) is having BBQs, going on long drives to the desert, sleeping around, having housewarming parties, and just doing everything we'd normally do, besides packing the bars on the weekends.

    For the most part we've been totally fine. Our community basically spent the entire summer expecting some kind of outbreak, and it didn't happen. It's understandably difficult to stay vigilant when the town is packed with tourists and no one is sick. Now that restrictions/attitudes are more lax and winter is coming the virus is sneaking up on us and it feels like no one is paying any attention. Everyone is just talking about what a great year it will be to get into backcountry skiing

  3. #8553
    Join Date
    Apr 2004
    Location
    cordova,AK
    Posts
    2,882
    since this is where we bitch about traffic. Durango has some awesome trails but your traffic sucks. Would of thought with all those Texas plates going by I wouldn't of almost froze to death waiting 1.5hrs to get a ride from Cascade back to Molas.
    off your knees Louie

  4. #8554
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    SW, CO for now
    Posts
    654
    Quote Originally Posted by BFD View Post
    since this is where we bitch about traffic. Durango has some awesome trails but your traffic sucks. Would of thought with all those Texas plates going by I wouldn't of almost froze to death waiting 1.5hrs to get a ride from Cascade back to Molas.
    I've had some cold waits down there during the winter, but 1.5hrs to get back to Molas sucks. Did you try showing some skin? The locals love that.

  5. #8555
    Join Date
    Feb 2005
    Posts
    13,492
    Quote Originally Posted by BFD View Post
    since this is where we bitch about traffic. Durango has some awesome trails but your traffic sucks. Would of thought with all those Texas plates going by I wouldn't of almost froze to death waiting 1.5hrs to get a ride from Cascade back to Molas.
    Maybe if you posted closer to I70 or in the sprocket rockets forum you would have had better luck?

  6. #8556
    Join Date
    Feb 2005
    Posts
    13,492
    Got escorted on the way home by a statie around a stuck semi, at the Forest Service on 24! I-70 looked like a fucking nightmare, oh, wait, I really couldn't see it.

    https://www.vaildaily.com/news/8-inc...to-avoid-i-70/

    Hope lodging made bank.

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