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Thread: Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?
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04-22-2022, 03:07 PM #8226
Stonks REKT today. People should really be careful about investing in something so volatile.
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04-22-2022, 03:09 PM #8227
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04-22-2022, 03:20 PM #8228
I just don’t see the use case becoming reality if the price doesn’t go up. What % of Hodlers are in it for the use case vs appreciation?
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04-22-2022, 03:22 PM #8229I have been in this State for 30 years and I am willing to admit that I am part of the problem.
"Happiest years of my life were earning < $8.00 and hour, collecting unemployment every spring and fall, no car, no debt and no responsibilities. 1984-1990 Park City UT"
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04-22-2022, 03:36 PM #8230
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04-22-2022, 03:39 PM #8231
Zoom out, man. This is the plan.
https://twitter.com/MichaelRihani/st...QogFfHMLw&s=19
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04-22-2022, 03:48 PM #8232
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04-22-2022, 04:34 PM #8233
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04-22-2022, 04:37 PM #8234
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04-22-2022, 04:41 PM #8235
And why is the dollar a benchmark? The Yuen could be a lot higher at the same time. Chart needs more ~
Bloomberg tested BTC in El Salvador. It didn’t go well
https://www.bloomberg.com/features/2...avel-problems/
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04-22-2022, 05:03 PM #8236Rope->Dope
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Interesting thread...
When I see that graph, and Dorsey's quote about a "single world currency", I think "when does the developed government kill a competing currency where it stands?" As a speculative asset, it's not as threatening.
This scenario where a first world country lets someone else in their financial sandbox, for better or worse, seems naive.
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04-22-2022, 05:21 PM #8237
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04-22-2022, 05:23 PM #8238
Dalio's stance for a long time was that gov't would outlaw BTC. TBH, I'm not totally sure if he's changed his position there or not yet. I also somewhat reluctantly agree with him that govt's outlawing BTC is a big threat. Sadly, it seems most governments want control over their people, more than they care about the well-being of their people. I think the covid lockdowns were a real wakeup call in this regard. I'm 3x vaxxed, but I think it's not hard to argue that a lot of people in power greatly overplayed their hands. And of course some people just want to be told what to do. I've been in awe when I've seen people walking around outside wearing masks in 70 degree weather lately with nobody around them.
There is a lot of interesting game theory as far as governments accumulating BTC. As in the move is to stack secretly, not announce it and jack up the price. There are many rumors swirling that the next couple of El Salvadors are not far off. Some people say that BTC is a failure because a G8 nation hasn't adopted yet, but it was never going to be the big guys first, at least not publicly.
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04-22-2022, 05:25 PM #8239
Last edited by bennymac; 04-22-2022 at 05:55 PM.
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04-22-2022, 05:27 PM #8240
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04-22-2022, 05:56 PM #8241
A single global currency would fuck over developing countries around the world. How did Greece do under the euro?
What would happen if sovereign countries couldn’t issue debt? How would you handle an economic crisis if said economic crisis was actually an incentive for people to hold onto the currency?
All these claims fall apart after 30 seconds of thinking, but BTC pimps don’t care. The trick is to hold the asset and sell the currency.
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04-22-2022, 07:40 PM #8242
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04-22-2022, 07:55 PM #8243
I'm not calling for a single global currency. But it would be nice to have an option to opt out of the tight grip held by central bankers. Do you really want to stay under the influence of JPOW? Can you honestly say you're pleased with his performance? Do like the system where every time he flaps his gums global markets swing by trillions of dollars? Talk about volatility! Personally, I'd prefer to have my unit of account be something with an extremely predictable issuance, where anyone can opt in.
Having BTC as an option is does not mean that sovereign nations can't issue debt. Which BTW, El Salvador is set to issue BTC backed bonds. The issuance was delayed, but from what I can tell they will be over-subbed when they come out. Of course there is plenty of FUD out there saying this is a horrible idea, but we'll see.
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04-22-2022, 08:30 PM #8244
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04-22-2022, 08:31 PM #8245
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04-22-2022, 08:40 PM #8246
I mean, that Ray Dalio slide dunfree posted is pretty stupid. It’s just a bunch of random negative shit, so they must lead to the downfall of a country? Does he have robust evidence to back up those claims?
Better source may be something like this:
https://www.amazon.com/Why-Nations-F.../dp/0307719227
Edit to continue rant: Interest rates go to 0% are the downfall of civilization? Really?
So if the Fed had of set an explicit 4% inflation target instead of a 2% back in the 90’s, and then only lowered interest rates to 2% following the Great Recession, that would have prevented the downfall of civilization? Even though for all intents and purposes it’s the same situation?Last edited by J. Barron DeJong; 04-22-2022 at 09:14 PM.
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04-22-2022, 08:50 PM #8247
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04-22-2022, 09:35 PM #8248
Well Barron, what happened to the value of our dollars after the fed decided to print 20% of all dollars in existence in one year, or as JPOW put it when he said, they "flooded the system with money"? When you add shitloads of dollars to the denominator, the value of your dollars in the numerator go way way down. What happens when Neel Kashkari goes on TV and tells everyone that, "there is an infinite amount of cash at the federal reserve?" Does it give you faith in the system when the value of your savings are suddenly divided by infinity?
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04-22-2022, 09:39 PM #8249
Ray's whole thesis, and the point of that slide is that all those things happened repeatedly over the last 500 years to the Dutch, British and other empires, and he believes they are happening again.
Watch the short video. It's extremely well done. And if you can't learn anything from it, I feel sorry for you.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xguam0TKMw8
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04-22-2022, 09:40 PM #8250
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