TS Danny (almost but not quite Hurricane Danny)

[likwid]

OFFICIAL THREAD! SHITS GONNA GET FUCKED UP! TO YOUR BASEMENTS! TO YOUR BASEMENTS!



The shit is on motherfuckers.

[rdennhs]

lookin like it could be a cat 1 or 2 right under LI....PM me your game plan likwit if you don't have to kill me after.

[likwid]

Go to Long Island. Hope its not too fucking huge and blown out. Take pictures. Maybe surf. Chill with gf. The End.

If it were MV I'd have to kill you.



ninjaedit: Tiger Woods 10 for Wii in there somewhere.

[rdennhs]

It's a small island, i bet i can find my way around. From what I've heard it's gotta have perfect winds or it's worthless. I may as well stay home again, hopefully there won't be anymore kayak wars.

[likwid]

000
WTNT35 KNHC 262035
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052009
500 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2009

...POORLY ORGANIZED DANNY MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT A SLOWER
FORWARD SPEED...

INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANNY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.2 WEST OR ABOUT
390 MILES...625 KM...EAST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 735 MILES...1185 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

DANNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A
GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1009 MB...29.74 INCHES.

DANNY IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES...
WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES...OVER THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS.

...SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...25.2N 71.2W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


Same plot.
Dooooooooooom
DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM

[likwid]

And now for our long and boring high seas text forecast.

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2230 UTC WED AUG 26 2009
CCODE/1:31:04:01:00/AOW/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
SECURITE
NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC AUG 26.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 27.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 28.
REFER TO PART 2 BELOW FOR INFORMATION ON DANNY.
.WARNINGS.
(chopped out to part 2)

TROPICAL STORM WARNING
.TROPICAL STORM DANNY NEAR 25.2N 71.2W 1007 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
26 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE
...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANNY NEAR 27.1N 73.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT
...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N
AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANNY NEAR 31.1N 74.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER N OF 29N BETWEEN 71W AND 76W WITH SEAS 13 TO 20 FT...
HIGHER SEAS N OF 31N.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANNY WELL N OF AREA NEAR 38.5N
71.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NEAR 47.5N 63.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NEAR 53.1N 48.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

[likwid]

Slight east shift. Good for surf conditions.

[Hugh Conway]

Have you laid in gallon jugs of milk? Canned food?

[likwid]

...CENTER OF DANNY WOBBLES WESTWARD...

danny wobbles but doesn't fall down?

Have you laid in gallon jugs of milk? Canned food?

you mean a handle of Gosling's isn't enough?

[Ottime]

As for the LI chatter. I think that is a good call. And if the wind has too much east in it, everything else is screwed anyway. Long Beach, Rockaway and a few others do just fine with a NE. I think the other choice is RI. Find a protected nook.

East trajectory is good.

[likwid]

Morning from down island.

Fortress should be good.
The "illegal" spot at MTK should be great again.

[jayfrizzo]

Holy crap I love surfing. Last weekend was all survival for me. I didn't find any real good shoulders and was mostly stinkbugging at a million miles an hour trying to outrun closeouts. Which is fun, but I like to be the hunter and Bill definitely had the upper hand.

But today! Peaks galore, head-high drops and long chest-to-shoulder lines (for here). After last weekend this stuff seems as powerful as wind chop, so I'm way more aggro, and there are peaks galore.

I'm exhausted. Rides so long you basically paddle all the way out after every ride.

Eating an apple after this then getting after it.

Aroo.

J-

[jayfrizzo]

Maybe head-high was pushing it. Still super fun and clean. And empty -- just one other guy out where I was shralping.

Eating lunch, checking in at the office, then hopefully an afternoon shralp before the wife and kids show up.

It's pretty sweet staying 50 feet from the beach . Wish I could do this all the time.

[Ottime]

Way to get after it.

Had an unexpected day off here, so I headed up the coast in the morning. Two sessions of glassy, fun, and sometimes thick head high surf. It was supposed to be flat today - in between swells. Ooops. Might grab a third after a CostCo run.

[jayfrizzo]

Maybe the best day ever for me in terms of quality. 4 sessions total.

3rd Session: offshore wind picked up in the afternoon. Steeper drops, stronger bottom turns. May have even thrown a coupe buckets but probably not. Blue water. Pelicans "riding" the wave, 6 inches in front of it. Dolphins and shit.

4th Session, almost sunset: A buddy showed up with his Longboard so I busted out my wife's foam BZ. We were backdropped by a full rainbow, which is appropriate since I was on a big pink foamie. I don't care if I look like a kook -- those things are fun. Turns sharper than my longboard and I'll drop in on anything. Plus it's fun stealing waves from the kids on shortboards.

I am so happy. /blog

[rdennhs]

Maybe the best day ever for me in terms of quality. 4 sessions total.

3rd Session: offshore wind picked up in the afternoon. Steeper drops, stronger bottom turns. May have even thrown a coupe buckets but probably not. Blue water. Pelicans "riding" the wave, 6 inches in front of it. Dolphins and shit.

4th Session, almost sunset: A buddy showed up with his Longboard so I busted out my wife's foam BZ. We were backdropped by a full rainbow, which is appropriate since I was on a big pink foamie. I don't care if I look like a kook -- those things are fun. Turns sharper than my longboard and I'll drop in on anything. Plus it's fun stealing waves from the kids on shortboards.

I am so happy. /blog

I know this feeling oh so well and it's fucking awesome. Minus the BZ, STOKED!

[jayfrizzo]

Minus the BZ, STOKED!

It's like rocking some skinny skis, or an old-timey snowboard. A little campy, not optimal, and being on it makes me appreciate my shortboard. Heck, after today I'd almost rather ride it than my longboard.

Also, it's pink.

Hopefully there will be some leftovers tomorrow so I can shralp with Mrs. Frizzo. If it's as clean as it was today but a little smaller she'll have the time of her life.


J-

[likwid]

Its raining its pouring I'm going to Montauk.
Back hopefully with pics soon.

[Breakwater]

R.I. is really blown-out, with kooksticks galore. Still blowing strong SE

[likwid]

R.I. is really blown-out, with kooksticks galore. Still blowing strong SE

Rain is keeping the kooks out of the water on LI.
Not TOO bad as far as being blown out. Could be worse. Beaches are better than Montauk today.
Tomorrow will be better.

[rdennhs]

Surfed tonight in NH, pretty small waist high maybe some chest sets. Sheltered spot, but still had 25 mph gusts to the face which sucked. Tmro looks good in the morning up here.

[Ottime]

Rain is keeping the kooks out of the water on LI.

Well, who in their right mind wants to get wet? It is not like you can surf with an umbrella.

[likwid]

Well, who in their right mind wants to get wet? It is not like you can surf with an umbrella.

Yeah like seriously.

PS: ITS HERE! ITS HERE! THE SURF IS HERE!

Was pretty lame-o earlier but on a whim we went to the beach since the rain stopped and it was nice out. Small army of locals out ripping up head+ surf.
Good shit. Forgot the DSLR, couple P&S shots to come.

Gonna go out tomorrow am before working. It should be firing pretty well still then.

[Breakwater]

Well, who in their right mind wants to get wet? It is not like you can surf with an umbrella.

Right, that would be an atrocity.

Mad props to the guy surfing in a full-brimmed orvis african safari hat tonight.

[peterslovo]

To Maine, Danny brought fun - but windy and somewhat sideshore - surf on Saturday, and very fun, foot overhead or so stuff on Sunday am, with very clean, but fun waist-chest leftovers this am.