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  1. #226
    Join Date
    Oct 2006
    Location
    MA
    Posts
    7,017
    Fed buying 500b in tsy and 200b mbs. Rates should drop again.
    Decisions Decisions

  2. #227
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    19,826
    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    Fed buying 500b in tsy and 200b mbs. Rates should drop again.
    If it's enough. Daily volume is $600 billion. How many sovereigns need immediate cash and dollars? Fed just announced further intervention in swaps

  3. #228
    Join Date
    Oct 2006
    Location
    MA
    Posts
    7,017
    200 billion over the next few months...say in the longer end 6 months (maybe less) is 35b/ month. That spread should come right in and more than offset any small bump in tsy over the last week
    Decisions Decisions

  4. #229
    Join Date
    Nov 2014
    Posts
    1,887
    New MBS origination has been running at $8bln a day on average.

    Hundreds of billions are traded each day. $200bln (+$20bln a month in reinvestments that are coming back after having previously been diverted to Treasuries) is a tourniquet, but not a panacea.

    Lenders can't drop rates too quick or all of this week's locks will bail. They'll also be more overwhelmed with biz than they already are.

    IF YOU'RE CONSIDERING A REFI, do yourself and your loan officer a favor and don't call them asking if the Fed just cut your rate again. Read up:

    http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/con...es/938844.aspx

  5. #230
    Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Location
    Down In A Hole, Up in the Sky
    Posts
    35,439
    Our gal will call us if there is a drop below a certain threshold, we don’t bother her with bullshit.
    Forum Cross Pollinator, gratuitously strident

  6. #231
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    United States of Aburdistan
    Posts
    7,281
    My lender is offering 2.875 15 year fixed, I'm locking it in now and ready to cancel/regroup if rates drop while it's being processed. This will save us about $177,000 over the lifetime of the loan, partly because we are switching from 22 years left of a 30 fixed to a 15.

    Feels like I'm jumping the gun but I don't want to miss out on saving a shitload like I did earlier this month. One day he quoted me 2.875 and the next day it was gone.

    What are you guys seeing out there?

  7. #232
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    19,826
    Quote Originally Posted by muted View Post
    This will save us about $177,000 over the lifetime of the loan, partly because we are switching from 22 years left of
    How much would you save if you went to 30 years and invested the payment difference at 2% compounded and you can also use the tax deduction?

  8. #233
    Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Location
    Down In A Hole, Up in the Sky
    Posts
    35,439
    Just talked to my lender yesterday, said the best she could find was 3.3 (we are at 3.37) unless we went to a 15. Both with impeccable credit and perfect payment records. She said to hang tight, she will keep looking.
    Forum Cross Pollinator, gratuitously strident

  9. #234
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    United States of Aburdistan
    Posts
    7,281
    Quote Originally Posted by 4matic View Post
    How much would you save if you went to 30 years and invested the payment difference at 2% compounded and you can also use the tax deduction?
    Good question. Payment difference is about $150 more a month though.

  10. #235
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    19,826
    Quote Originally Posted by muted View Post
    Good question. Payment difference is about $150 more a month though.
    You'd have $32000 after 15 years not including any additional tax savings. it's a tough calculation for sure and more what makes one comfortable.

  11. #236
    Join Date
    Oct 2006
    Location
    MA
    Posts
    7,017
    Quote Originally Posted by 4matic View Post
    You'd have $32000 after 15 years not including any additional tax savings. it's a tough calculation for sure and more what makes one comfortable.
    Plus the liquidity/ optionality of that money. Just in case. Or if something presents itself (great hookers, deal on blow, etc).
    Decisions Decisions

  12. #237
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    At the beach
    Posts
    19,140
    Nice price improvement today. Scenario below is a SFR, rate and term refi. $600k value and $350k loan amount. O/O with a 760+ credit score. Pricing in GREEN is a credit towards your costs.

    30 year fixed 45 day lock
    Name:  Capture rates.JPG
Views: 463
Size:  21.5 KB

    15 Year fixed with a 45 day lock
    Name:  Capture rates 2.JPG
Views: 459
Size:  26.4 KB
    Quote Originally Posted by leroy jenkins View Post
    I think you'd have an easier time understanding people if you remembered that 80% of them are fucking morons.
    That is why I like dogs, more than most people.

  13. #238
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    At the beach
    Posts
    19,140
    O poop, I have been waiting for this shoe to start to fall with my investors.

    Effective immediately, we are not accepting new loan submissions for properties located in the following Bay Area Counties: Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz, San Francisco, and San Mateo, with the following exception: Properties with a PIW and a notary service willing to sign the borrowers up.
    Quote Originally Posted by leroy jenkins View Post
    I think you'd have an easier time understanding people if you remembered that 80% of them are fucking morons.
    That is why I like dogs, more than most people.

  14. #239
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    United States of Aburdistan
    Posts
    7,281
    I hope our appraiser can get to our house before SLC has a non-essential travel ban.

  15. #240
    Join Date
    Jun 2007
    Location
    Cruzing
    Posts
    11,935
    Well, guess I won’t be calling you back any time soon. I can only assume this is due to the fact that we are early adopters to fighting the spread of the virus. Hope y’all join us, so this thing passes sooner rather than later.

  16. #241
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    At the beach
    Posts
    19,140
    Ottime, one investor out of 20. My concern has been more about getting notaries to come out, but I can see appraisers getting weird too I guess.
    Quote Originally Posted by leroy jenkins View Post
    I think you'd have an easier time understanding people if you remembered that 80% of them are fucking morons.
    That is why I like dogs, more than most people.

  17. #242
    Join Date
    Jun 2007
    Location
    Cruzing
    Posts
    11,935
    If I recall correctly, my last appraisal was completely virtual. I took a lot of pictures in an ap. Not sure if that still floats.

  18. #243
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    At the beach
    Posts
    19,140
    Nope, but properties with a lot of equity and no cash out usually get an appraisal waiver. Now can we get a notary out to you at closing in 5 weeks?
    Quote Originally Posted by leroy jenkins View Post
    I think you'd have an easier time understanding people if you remembered that 80% of them are fucking morons.
    That is why I like dogs, more than most people.

  19. #244
    Join Date
    Jun 2007
    Location
    Cruzing
    Posts
    11,935
    I can me a notary in Alpine County. But my wife can’t. That would be the issue.

  20. #245
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    At the beach
    Posts
    19,140
    Rates are the best in about 3 weeks today, 2.625% on a 15 year and 3.125% on a 30 year with a closing cost credit on a SFR with 760+ credit. If you missed it, time to look again. Closed a few loans for maggots and I know they are stoked.
    Quote Originally Posted by leroy jenkins View Post
    I think you'd have an easier time understanding people if you remembered that 80% of them are fucking morons.
    That is why I like dogs, more than most people.

  21. #246
    Join Date
    Oct 2007
    Posts
    12,655
    Quote Originally Posted by liv2ski View Post
    Rates are the best in about 3 weeks today, 2.625% on a 15 year and 3.125% on a 30 year with a closing cost credit on a SFR with 760+ credit. If you missed it, time to look again. Closed a few loans for maggots and I know they are stoked.
    You know anyone who specializes in special loans like portfolios? Building in 36.5% retail.

  22. #247
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    At the beach
    Posts
    19,140
    Sorry, not my forte. Look at the commercial edition of the Scottsman Guide for leads? http://www.sg-comdigital.com/comdigi...olio=Cover#pg1
    Quote Originally Posted by leroy jenkins View Post
    I think you'd have an easier time understanding people if you remembered that 80% of them are fucking morons.
    That is why I like dogs, more than most people.

  23. #248
    Join Date
    Oct 2007
    Posts
    12,655
    Quote Originally Posted by liv2ski View Post
    Sorry, not my forte. Look at the commercial edition of the Scottsman Guide for leads? http://www.sg-comdigital.com/comdigi...olio=Cover#pg1
    No worries, almost pulled the trigger to refi with our current bank a few weeks ago but held off because they couldn't get it done without jumping through some hoops.

  24. #249
    Join Date
    Nov 2014
    Posts
    1,887
    Commercial is pretty fucked right now, apart from stuff backed by agencies (since the Fed is buying CMBS). That's mainly residential-only based on my limited understanding of the safe.

  25. #250
    Join Date
    Sep 2011
    Location
    Front Range, CO
    Posts
    488
    Quote Originally Posted by liv2ski View Post
    Rates are the best in about 3 weeks today, 2.625% on a 15 year and 3.125% on a 30 year with a closing cost credit on a SFR with 760+ credit. If you missed it, time to look again. Closed a few loans for maggots and I know they are stoked.
    Are you licensed in CO? What are you seeing for 30 year today?

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