Moving to Bay Area, headed to tahoe for sunday, fat or mogul stix?

[pogs4ever]

Hey Guys,

Im leaving my homebase in Idaho for the sierra cement. My company is relocating most of my ish. I signed up for a ridelaketahoe bus trip to heavenly on sunday (yah it sucks, but anything to get to the hill, cant miss a weekend). I am able to take one set of stix on the plane with me. What's ya'lls prediction for the weekend?

I searched and it seems the base is kind of sketchy in tahoe right now, but weather predictions look good, i got line prophets and scratch moguls.

Originally i was planning on bringing the mogul/parks but with the forecast, will it be more wise to bring the fatties?

Thanks!

[dookeyXXX]

depends on your definition of "fat."

94-99?
100+?
RC/Rockered?

if it's 94-99, take those, they'll be fine (I ride 94mm's as my everyday ride).

Welcome to Cali, too!

[Superstar Punani]

Hey Guys,

Im leaving my homebase in Idaho for the sierra cement. My company is relocating most of my ish. I signed up for a ridelaketahoe bus trip to heavenly on sunday (yah it sucks, but anything to get to the hill, cant miss a weekend). I am able to take one set of stix on the plane with me. What's ya'lls prediction for the weekend?

I searched and it seems the base is kind of sketchy in tahoe right now, but weather predictions look good, i got line prophets and scratch moguls.

Originally i was planning on bringing the mogul/parks but with the forecast, will it be more wise to bring the fatties?

Thanks!

Does your momma still hold your dick when you piss?

[pogs4ever]

they are 100mm, thanks for the welcome!

[Blurred]

will it be more wise to bring the fatties?

No, I'd suggest you leave your Mom and wife at home.

[The Dad]

B11 for the win!


Seriously, fuck the mogul skis, man. 100mm skis are the Tahoe one-ski-quiver.

[alpinerider]

I would buy a bag that you could bring both skis . . . or just bring your fat skis.

[LightRanger]

Your answer lies here...

.SHORT TERM...
A VERY BUSY WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES...WITH THREE PERIODS OF
INTEREST THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. I WILL BREAK THEM UP TO KEEP FROM
CONFUSING MYSELF AND OTHERS.

THE FIRST PERIOD OF INTEREST WILL BE TONIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY
THURSDAY. THE CULPRIT WILL BE A VORT LOBE SPINNING AROUND AN UPPER
LOW CURRENTLY ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST. THE LOBE WILL ROTATE INTO
EASTERN CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
MORNING....PUSHING A DEFORMATION/PRECIPITATION BAND INTO THE REGION.
THE AREA EXPECTED TO RECEIVE THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL BE MONO
COUNTY AS THAT AREA WILL HAVE THE BEST COMBINATION OF UPPER LIFT
ALONG WITH EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW INTO THE SIERRA. IN ADDITION...
AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF MONO LAKE HAVE RECEIVED HEFTY LAKE EFFECT
ENHANCED SNOWS WHICH WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS EASTERLY FLOW PICKS UP
MOISTURE FROM MONO LAKE. ELSEWHERE...WE ARE ONLY EXPECTING SNOW
ADVISORY AMOUNTS (A COUPLE INCHES IN THE LOWER VALLEYS AND 5 TO 9
INCHES FOR LAKE TAHOE LEVEL) AS THE DEFORMATION AXIS PIVOTS INTO THE
REGION. ANOTHER FACTOR WHICH MIGHT PUMP UP SNOW AMOUNTS A BIT MORE
WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW THURSDAY DOWNWIND (IN
THIS CASE ON THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST SIDE OF THE LAKES) OF LAKE TAHOE
AND PYRAMID LAKE. TEMPERATURE PROFILES LOOK PLENTY COLD ENOUGH TO
INITIATE INSTABILITY OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM LAKE SURFACES.

THE NEXT PERIOD OF INTEREST WILL BE THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW
ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST IS KICKED INLAND AS ANOTHER LOW (OFF THE
BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST THIS AFTERNOON) DIGS OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST.
THIS WILL SET UP A PERIOD OF FAIRLY STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION AHEAD
OF THE NEW UPPER LOW OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST. WE HAVE A WINTER
STORM WATCH FOR MONO COUNTY WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FLOW AIDING UPSLOPE
NEAR THE MONO CREST TO HELP THE LIFT FROM THE WARM ADVECTION. LOW
LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW LOOKS WEAKER AND SHALLOWER WITH THE SYSTEM THAN
WE HAVE TODAY. THIS WILL PROBABLY CUT BACK AMOUNTS NEAR AND EAST OF
HIGHWAY 395 AS WE WON`T HAVE THE UPSLOPE OR LAKE EFFECT SNOW OFF OF
MONO LAKE TO ADD TO SNOW TOTALS.

OUTSIDE OF MONO COUNTY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...THE OROGRAPHIC
FLOW WILL BE POOR (WITH SOUTHWEST A BETTER FLOW FOR THE NORTHERN
SIERRA)...LEAVING ONLY WARM AIR ADVECTION TO CREATE LIFT. WE WILL
STILL PROBABLY NEED SNOW ADVISORIES FOR LAKE TAHOE...WITH SATURATED
PROFILES AND STABLE LOW LEVELS AIDING SOME SPILLOVER INTO WESTERN
NEVADA AS WELL.

FINALLY...THE THIRD PERIOD OF FOCUS WILL BE SATURDAY NIGHT. A RATHER
CONVOLUTED PATTERN WILL DEVELOP AS THE LOW OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST
EJECTS INLAND AS A VERY COLD SYSTEM DIGS SOUTH ALONG THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST COAST. A SOUTHERN BRANCH JET STREAK LOOKS TO DEVELOP AND
HEAD INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL SIERRA WITH NORTHERN BRANCH
ENERGY OVER THE PAC NW. THIS MAY AID LIFT OVER WESTERN NEVADA AND
NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA IF THE TWO JET STREAKS CAN COUPLE UP. ALSO...
THERE WILL BE A TRICKY CLASHING OF AIRMASSES SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE
TRIES TO STREAM UP FROM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WHILE THE VERY COLD LOW
OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MOVES INTO NORTHERN NEVADA AND
CALIFORNIA. GFS MODEL SOUNDINGS WOULD INDICATE A SWITCHOVER TO RAIN
FOR LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING BELOW ABOUT 5000-5500
FEET. HOWEVER...THIS MAY BE LOWERED SOMEWHAT BY LIFTING IF THE JET
STREAKS CAN COUPLE IN ADDITION TO LIFTING FROM THE DEFORMATION AXIS
BETWEEN THE SOUTHERN LOW AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST LOW. IN
ADDITION...THE 12Z ECMWF KICKS OUT THE SOUTHERN LOW FASTER WITH LESS
WARM AIR ENTRAINED NORTHWARD...WHICH WOULD KEEP SNOW LEVELS LOWER...
AT LEAST FOR FAR WESTERN NEVADA AND EASTERN CALIFORNIA. LIKE I SAID...
THE PATTERN GETS VERY CONVOLUTED! SNYDER

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... COLD AND UNSETTLED
WEATHER PATTERN TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE LONG TERM...WITH A MAJOR
SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH SUNDAY/MONDAY. STRONG WAVE STILL EXPECTED
TO MOVE OUT OF THE GULF OF AK THIS WEEKEND AND INTO THE PAC NW BY
SATURDAY NIGHT. BETWEEN THE 12Z GFS AND ECMWF...THE TRAJECTORY
STILL LOOKS FAVORABLE FOR ABUNDANT MOISTURE ADVECTION INTO THE
NORTHERN SIERRA. PREFER THE ECMWF...IT HAS BEEN THE MOST
CONSISTENT IN LAST FEW DAYS WITH QPF AND TRACK. NOT THE BEST
TRAJECTORY FOR HEAVY SNOW IN THE DESERT VALLEYS...BUT SHOULD STILL
BRING SOME GOOD SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE SIERRA...ESPECIALLY WITH THE
COLD TEMPS BEHIND THE FRONT. FOR NOW...WILL CONTINUE SPECIAL
WEATHER STATEMENT MENTIONING SUNDAY STORM.

THIS SYSTEM MOVING DOWN WILL INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS THE EASTERN SIERRA AND WESTERN GREAT BASIN...
MAKING FOR A POSSIBLE HIGH WIND EVENT FROM RENO DOWN THROUGH MONO
COUNTY ON SUNDAY.

LOOKING FOR A BIT OF A BREAK EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR A DAY OR
SO...BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH SOMETIME MID-WEEK. LOOK
FOR TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE FIRST HALF
OF NEXT WEEK.