Colorado Weather Discussion Thread

[mt_wilson]

Skied dead dog on the 4th. Horrible snow condition unless you like gravely glacial runnels. But hey it was the 4th and it was fun!!

[Lindahl]

Skied dead dog on the 4th. Horrible snow condition unless you like gravely glacial runnels. But hey it was the 4th and it was fun!!

Try skiing the other side next time. Really fun snow still.

[The SnowShow]

Did anyone ski Fourth of July Bowl? Looked fat from town yesterday.

[cmsummit]

Peak 2 Fire.....80 acres, 0% contained and thankfully the winds shifted. It was looking pretty scary for a while this afternoon. Big THANK YOU to those who are fighting it.

3pm:

8pm:

[mt_wilson]

Try skiing the other side next time. Really fun snow still.

Tuning fork? It looked melted out but didn't get a great view

[cmsummit]

Winds are forecasted to increase throughout the day today and blow from the N/NW which would blow the Peak 2 Fire back toward Breck....no bueno. Fire officials are expecting it to flare back up. Gonna be hot and dry again.

[Danno]

where the fuck are our monsoons????

[smmokan]

That's what I said last summer too.... and nothing. Fingers crossed for some much needed moisture, and soon.

[Name Redacted]

That's what I said last summer too.... and nothing. Fingers crossed for some much needed moisture, and soon.

Two weeks


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[cmsummit]

where the fuck are our monsoons????

Thanks, Obama.

[SkiCougar]

where the fuck are our monsoons????

https://www.bing.com/search?q=brecke...FORM=QBLH&sp=2

looks like 70% or better next 10 days in Breckenridge.

[cmsummit]

https://www.bing.com/search?q=brecke...FORM=QBLH&sp=2

looks like 70% or better next 10 days in Breckenridge.

Unfortunately NOAA has a fairly different forecast...
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...7#.WV6HSU2pWUk

[The SnowShow]

Anyone near the fire...is it as bad as yesterday PM?

[SkiCougar]

Anyone near the fire...is it as bad as yesterday PM?

It just made national news, supposedly died down a little last night with the overnight temps; come on 10 days of rain !

[ColMan]

Didn't look too bad this morning when I snapped a pic from the ZL trail. Winds just picked up quite a bit from the north though which is bad news.

[goldengatestinx]

Unfortunately NOAA has a fairly different forecast...
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick...7#.WV6HSU2pWUk

Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)

Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

Product Version:

133
FNUS55 KBOU 062114
FWFBOU

Fire Weather Forecast for Northeast and North Central Colorado
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
314 PM MDT Thu Jul 6 2017

.DISCUSSION...Tonight and Friday...
Isolated to scattered high based showers and thunderstorms
will continue into the early evening hours. Some of the storms may
produce dry lightning given the low surface humidities, and new fire
starts will be possible in drier fuels. Gusty outflow winds of 30 to
50 mph can also be anticipated near any of these high based showers
and storms. Outside of storms, surface winds will remain light and
follow normal diurnal wind patterns. Similar picture for tomorrow
with slightly increased chances of a wetting rain on the plains.

LONG TERM DISCUSSION...Friday night through Tuesday...
Moisture will remain over the area Friday night into Saturday,
though there will be less instability and some drying aloft for
Saturday resulting in less thunderstorm activity. Sunday and
Monday will be warmer and drier, with only isolated storms. The
upper level ridge that has been over the central Rockies will
shift eastward in the middle of the week, allowing for an increase
in moisture and thunderstorm activity, but temperatures will
remain hot. There will be a little bit of dry lightning each day,
and there may be an increase in this activity sometime next week.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty erratic winds...
...All surface winds are 20-Foot...10-Minute averaged winds...
...CWR is Chance of Wetting Rain - 0.10 inch or more liquid...
...24 HR Trends are based on averages over the respective zone
groups and may not match the actual forecast values
shown in those groups...

COZ212-071015-
South and Southeast Grand/West Central and Southwest Boulder/
Gilpin/Clear Creek/Summit/North and West Park Counties Above
9000 Feet-
Including Berthoud Pass, Breckenridge,
East Slopes Mosquito Range, East Slopes Southern Gore Range,
Eisenhower Tunnel, Indian Peaks, Kenosha Mountains, Mount Evans,
Puma Hills, Tarryall Mountains, Williams Fork Mountains,
and Winter Park
314 PM MDT Thu Jul 6 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy until 2300, then partly
cloudy(40-50%). Chance of thunderstorms until
2100, then slight chance of thunderstorms until
2400.
Min Temperature.....41-51.
24 hr trend......4-7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........56-66%.
24 hr trend......15-20% wetter.
20-foot winds.......
Valleys/lwr slopes...Southwest winds 4-8 mph.
Ridges/upr slopes....Southwest winds 4-8 mph.
Haines Index........3 very low.
LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
CWR.................10 percent until 2400, then 0 percent.
15K FT MSL winds....North around 15 mph.
Mixing height.......8500-9500 ft AGL until 2100, then 3000-4000 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Light winds.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(30-40%) until 0700, then mostly
sunny until 1000, then partly cloudy(40-50%)
until 1500, then mostly cloudy. Slight chance
of thunderstorms after 1100 until 1200, then
chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....65-75.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Min Humidity........21-29%.
24 hr trend......4-7% wetter.
20-foot winds.......
Valleys/lwr slopes...Northwest winds 4-8 mph shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon.
Ridges/upr slopes....Northwest winds 5-9 mph shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20
mph.
Haines Index........3 very low.
LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4.
CWR.................0 percent until 1200, then 20 percent.
15K FT MSL winds....North around 15 mph.
Mixing height.......5000-6000 ft AGL until 0900, then 13000-14000
ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Light winds until 0800, then north around 10
mph until 1600, then light.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then good.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy until 2300, then partly
cloudy(50-60%). Chance of thunderstorms until
2400, then slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....42-50.
24 hr trend......Little change.
Max Humidity........61-71%.
24 hr trend......4-7% wetter.
20-foot winds.......
Valleys/lwr slopes...Southeast winds 4-7 mph shifting to the
southwest 4-8 mph after midnight.
Ridges/upr slopes....Southeast winds 4-7 mph shifting to the
west 5-9 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 very low.
LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
CWR.................10 percent until 2400, then 0 percent.
15K FT MSL winds....Northwest around 15 mph.
Mixing height.......3000-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Light winds until 2200, then west around 10
mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(40-50%) until 1200, then mostly
cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms until
1200, then chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....61-71.
24 hr trend......4-7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........29-39%.
24 hr trend......4-7% wetter.
20-foot winds.......
Valleys/lwr slopes...Northwest winds 4-6 mph shifting to the
northeast 4-7 mph in the afternoon.
Ridges/upr slopes....Northwest winds 4-8 mph shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 very low.
LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4.
CWR.................0 percent until 1200, then 20 percent.
15K FT MSL winds....North around 15 mph.
Mixing height.......5000-6000 ft AGL until 0900, then 10500-11500
ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10-15 mph until 1200, then light.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then good until 1600, then
fair.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 40s. South winds 5-7 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs
around 70. Northwest winds 5-8 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 5-8 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds 5-8 mph.

[WTF is dat]

Driving up I70 near golden there appears to be a plume of smoke near lookout mountain area ? Anyone know anything ?!

[The SnowShow]

Triple Bypass cancelled due to wildfire

[Lindahl]

Tuning fork? It looked melted out but didn't get a great view

Traverse two short dry patches and you can ski about 200' from the summit to the valley floor. Going back up on Sun

[montanaskier]

Hope it isn't blowing in Breck or the Gutzler areas like it is here tonight. Super windy for the last couple of hours.

[The SnowShow]

Pouring in Frisco!! Hopefully Peak 2 is getting this.

[cmsummit]

New wildfire on Bald Mountain

[The SnowShow]

New wildfire on Bald Mountain

Ugh, just heard that. How big?

[SkiBall]

Fuck people. Lanterns and jackets ffs

Denver7 News Retweeted
Liz Gelardi‏Verified account @LizGelardi 5m5 minutes ago
More
Firefighters found a campfire ring near the #BaldyFire. Also received 4-5 calls about unintended campfires today. A FIRE BAN IS IN PLACE!

[Micol]

i was up on peak 7 this afternoon and it rained some...