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  1. Replies
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    Bloomberg saying VIX is low because large hedgers...

    Bloomberg saying VIX is low because large hedgers are using futures for pure directional beta rather than options. Record short interest in stock futures.
  2. Thread: Kitty Stoke

    by 4matic
    Replies
    7,438
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    793,907

    Love a cat with a broken tooth. Life lived.

    Love a cat with a broken tooth. Life lived.
  3. Thread: Fuel Prices.

    by 4matic
    Replies
    1,192
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    71,962

    My V8 wagon with 187k miles has original plugs...

    My V8 wagon with 187k miles has original plugs and coils and still gets itís epa designated fuel economy. Rock solid idle.
  4. Replies
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    Simple Monetary theory has been largely dismissed.

    Simple Monetary theory has been largely dismissed.
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    Crew are employees.

    Crew are employees.
  6. Replies
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    Real Estate Crash thread

    If PPP money obtained legally was used to buy ďtoysĒ that was the intention. Stimulus. A yacht needs a lot of downstream support.
  7. Replies
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    Rated on the Ogden scale?

    Rated on the Ogden scale?
  8. Replies
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    Itís not the BTC, itís the irresponsibility with...

    Itís not the BTC, itís the irresponsibility with sovereign assets in speculative investments:

    El Salvador bet its economic salvation on bitcoin, but so far the gamble isnít paying off like...
  9. Replies
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    Laser is most beneficial for ancillary distances:...

    Laser is most beneficial for ancillary distances: traps , front of green, layups, carry distance.

    I donít mind first to the tee calling out a flag yardage. It can help speed up play.
  10. Thread: Fuel Prices.

    by 4matic
    Replies
    1,192
    Views
    71,962

    I think itís reasonable to forego summer blend...

    I think itís reasonable to forego summer blend early this year.
  11. Replies
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    Yeah, I played with some div1 college kids a few...

    Yeah, I played with some div1 college kids a few years ago. Itís a different game.
  12. Replies
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    Whatís the interest rate on your margin?

    Whatís the interest rate on your margin?
  13. Replies
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    BTC has a long way to fall if that is prevailing...

    BTC has a long way to fall if that is prevailing thought because it shows complete lack of comprehension of what bonds are.
  14. Replies
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    Thereís your bitcoin buyer presenting the new...

    Thereís your bitcoin buyer presenting the new world of finance
  15. Replies
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    So, Bond rates went to negative yield because people were optimistic about the future?

    Also, your chart is a constant maturity yield chart. Not really a bond chart.
  16. Replies
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    Not true. BTC is accounted as a mark to market asset and loss. Bonds are not.
  17. Replies
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    Bonds also have a maturity date which provide...

    Bonds also have a maturity date which provide return of capital. Itís the definition of a paper loss.
  18. Replies
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Copper was 30% lower than it is now pre-pandemic and is working on 13 straight days of decline.

    RIO dividend @13% is pretty attractive
  19. Replies
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    Wheat and corn are down 20% from recent high. ...

    Wheat and corn are down 20% from recent high. Corn is down 6% today. Nat Gas is down another 9%, 30% below itís recent high
  20. Replies
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    2y rate crashes back below 3%. Down 50bp from its recent high. 10y on the verge. 3% is support for the 10y so Iíd like to see a close or three below. At this point an aggressive Fed move will...
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Xpeng, $XPEV has an average analyst price of $280. Trading at $30. Watched a review on the p7 that sells for $35k. Impressive package.

    Another interesting stock is JOBY trading at $5. Itís...
  22. Replies
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    August WTI is the only month over $100 now 20...

    August WTI is the only month over $100 now

    20 month low in copper.

    Corn and Wheat at risk for much larger declines.
  23. Replies
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    Assumption that corporations are greedy because...

    Assumption that corporations are greedy because consumers made a choice is conflation. The resulting enhanced climate change is an issue that should be addressed by regulation that serves public...
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    Boise $220k markdown on a $1mm house ...

    Boise $220k markdown on a $1mm house

    https://apps.realtor.com/mUAZ/6xfxs79p
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    Real Estate Crash thread

    3x as many sales last month Vs 2021 in my hood. Inventory up and dom up 100% last three months. In 2019 dom was 3x higher than it was now.

    Nice house. Quiet street. Marked down $100k and well...
  26. Replies
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    The new wave. Whoís the man?


    https://youtu.be/ZI3Wwis82cc
  27. Replies
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    Long buyers are no different. Saylor for...

    Long buyers are no different. Saylor for example. Musk for another. Sell hopes and dreams.
  28. Replies
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    Conflation. Consumers chose convenience. I made...

    Conflation. Consumers chose convenience. I made no implication otherwise.
  29. Replies
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    Walmart, Costco and Home Depot did the same thing. Donít blame them. Consumers have choices.
  30. Thread: Fuel Prices.

    by 4matic
    Replies
    1,192
    Views
    71,962

    The F250 lightning has 100 mile range towing less...

    The F250 lightning has 100 mile range towing less than 10k pounds.
  31. Replies
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    Now that the word is out that bankman-fried is...

    Now that the word is out that bankman-fried is white knighting it becomes a target to see how deep heíll dig.
  32. Replies
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    GSCI is 10% off itís recent high. Itís still up...

    GSCI is 10% off itís recent high. Itís still up 40% yoy but only slightly above its pre-war price.
  33. Thread: Fuel Prices.

    by 4matic
    Replies
    1,192
    Views
    71,962

    Wide contango in the gasoline futures. WTI is...

    Wide contango in the gasoline futures. WTI is $20 off itís recent high too. Lower prices ahead. https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/refined-products/rbob-gasoline.quotes.html
  34. Replies
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    Because itís wreckable


    https://youtu.be/oDD1tW59Mjg
  35. Replies
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    The shorts added to it. If it wasnít vulnerable...

    The shorts added to it. If it wasnít vulnerable it wouldnít have gone down
  36. Replies
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    Whatís the difference between an attack (sell)...

    Whatís the difference between an attack (sell) and an engineered short squeeze (buy)? Both seem nefarious but thatís what makes a market .
  37. Replies
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    The problem with a ďspotĒ etf is custody and settlement. Futures exchange have that in place. Even the GLD etf has a warehouse with actual gold in it. It can be done but Iím not sure there is a...
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    Luna ancillaries still have btc to liquidate. ...

    Luna ancillaries still have btc to liquidate. Celsius, 3AC. MSTR is going to have to do something to avoid liquidation. The ETFís are going to have to sell for redemptions. Institutions arenít...
  39. Replies
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    No, every little bounce convinces inexperienced...

    No, every little bounce convinces inexperienced investors that the bottom is in. Eventually theyíll just quit looking at it and talking about it turning what is left into a long term investment. ...
  40. Replies
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    Solana is holding well above its recent low.

    Solana is holding well above its recent low.
  41. Replies
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    When Celsius declares bankruptcy theyíll...

    When Celsius declares bankruptcy theyíll liquidate holdings?
  42. Replies
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    Might be concerning going into a weekend near an...

    Might be concerning going into a weekend near an 18 month low with the publicly hedges closed
  43. Replies
    16,334
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    1,618,911

    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Nat gas is down 30% in 8 trading days.

    GSCI also down 11%
  44. Replies
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    Gasoline is down .50c in 7 trading days. 11%.

    Gasoline is down .50c in 7 trading days. 11%.
  45. Replies
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    1,618,911

    The 70ís was a post war recession exacerbated by...

    The 70ís was a post war recession exacerbated by the oil shock. Additionally, taking USD off the gold standard led to uncertainty about dollar stability.

    As you said, it was also the beginning...
  46. Replies
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    1,618,911

    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Quarterly expiration is always important but I think more so these days with all the new found retail activity. Especially selling puts. What Bob and LL is prudent investing but Iím guessing there...
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    Today is expiration day for a good portion of the...

    Today is expiration day for a good portion of the quarterly options.
  48. Replies
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    10y has dropped at least 20bp from its oeak two...

    10y has dropped at least 20bp from its oeak two days ago. If oil and gas come off a bit maybe back to 3%
  49. Replies
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    At 14% interest homes would cost a lot less than...

    At 14% interest homes would cost a lot less than they do now.
  50. Replies
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    As Iíve said, where is the new buyer? Itís not...

    As Iíve said, where is the new buyer? Itís not change from couch cushions thatís gonna move it.

    Former NYSE President Tom Farley and Far Peak Acquisition (NYSE:FPAC) SPAC leader said that he...
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