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  1. The evidence cited in that article is rather...

    The evidence cited in that article is rather sparse. "US officials" and an opinion about the position of the flaps. I'm gonna need a named official, and I'll probably wait for the voice recorder...
  2. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Me: Question... do any of you admit to supporting...

    Me: Question... do any of you admit to supporting Putin and wanting the US to be more like his version of Russia?
    Them: Today at 1:18 PM
    i support the latest thing n stuff
  3. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Fuck Putin

    Fuck Putin
  4. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    I may be an outlier, but I think so. I haven't...

    I may be an outlier, but I think so. I haven't asked the question the way you phrased it. But in a lot of words over several conversations, yes, they do admit to supporting Putin and wanting the US...
  5. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    I think it's been creeping up on us. First, in...

    I think it's been creeping up on us. First, in the 90s, Russian corruption crept into democracies more than democracy and law and order crept into Russia, and that's continued. Many of our...
  6. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Given Russia's military performance, they'll be...

    Given Russia's military performance, they'll be burrowing more UFOs than borrowing.
  7. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    My reading says Russia without Putin would...

    My reading says Russia without Putin would probably be the same or worse. All of the likely successors are nationalist / great power / restore the empire types who read and believe the same stuff...
  8. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    I agree many people pay no attention and can't...

    I agree many people pay no attention and can't find Ukraine on a map, much less know anything of its recent history. I tend to pay some attention* to the world's stronger (or nuclear) dictators. And...
  9. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    ok then. Yesterday I rambled about Ukraine and...

    ok then. Yesterday I rambled about Ukraine and Russia sorting out Crimea and naval base...

    That says Russia already had a good agreement for Crimea basing thru 2047, and ripped it up in 2014....
  10. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    I never caught that at the time. Chechnya and...

    I never caught that at the time. Chechnya and Russian tactics generally did seem overly brutal. I'll claim my focus was distracted by what I saw as US hysteria and misguided bandwagoning for our own...
  11. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    I hope it does. It sure is a mess. I have no...

    I hope it does. It sure is a mess. I have no grand ideas for how it might end, and I haven't heard others that sound plausible/attractive and likely. The best I've heard is Russia fractures...
  12. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    If that's Ukraine's compromise for their peace,...

    If that's Ukraine's compromise for their peace, that's their right. The west should keep the sanctions in place until Russia returns to the prior conditions for our peace. There can be no rewards for...
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    Go away with your math. Emotion gets more clicks

    Go away with your math. Emotion gets more clicks
  14. Replies
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    Wow. Do they know where all the dust is from?...

    Wow. Do they know where all the dust is from? Just windier? New type of land use, or increased use? Positive feed back? (drier->less plants/cryptocrust->more dust->less snow->drier)
  15. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Project for the New American Century - basically...

    Project for the New American Century - basically American empire building for world's benefit

    Russian elites have a similar program. There's a book they read, though I forget the title.
  16. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    US leaders respond to voters. The American people...

    US leaders respond to voters. The American people voted strongly for the guy who lied about and started the Iraq mess. So, call it what you want, but it's a feature of our system. Now, Russians don't...
  17. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    About a dozen years? About when Google left...

    About a dozen years? About when Google left China? When Google notified dozens of companies China was in their IT systems? None of those companies said squat about it and kept investing in China?...
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    Fortunately, there's still the snowmelt season....

    Fortunately, there's still the snowmelt season. Unfortunately, there isn't much snow and the ground is plenty dry to absorb most of it.

    Methinks there's also a problem with the runoff models, as...
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    Is that the pathway HCQ blocked in vitro? IIRC it...

    Is that the pathway HCQ blocked in vitro? IIRC it was some sort of endocytosis pathway, and the lab cell lines used didn't express Ace2, so HCQ worked in that case. Gonna warp some minds if HCQ...
  20. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Double down means Russian 2nd 200,000 man army...

    Double down means Russian 2nd 200,000 man army begins exercises just across the border from Ukraine. Then... blyat... and Profit
    Putin's being nice this whole time, going easy on the little...
  21. Replies
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    No. Because the effort against Covid, while not...

    No. Because the effort against Covid, while not enough to contain Covid, did contain all the other respiratory diseases. Quick analogy, firefighters dump a bunch of water on a fire. Most fires go...
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    With the general decision that "it's over," it...

    With the general decision that "it's over," it isn't surprising to see all the "normal" bugs come back. While masking and distancing etc were only partly successful against covid, it devastated most...
  23. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Yes, and call me decadent. The only good shelling...

    Yes, and call me decadent. The only good shelling happens once at about 7am on a powder day. And I'm acutely aware every time, that the sounds of a glorious day are also the sounds of war, and wish...
  24. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    One could hope. Just imagine. Being shelled...

    One could hope.

    Just imagine. Being shelled five times a day is good news :(
  25. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Projecting the Russian invasion Jomini of the...

    Projecting the Russian invasion
    Jomini of the West
    https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1521700041601302529.html

    Bunch of graphs and diagrams to project that Russia will continue to make gains in...
  26. Replies
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    Yes (and I'm anti-religion). Kids find video...

    Yes (and I'm anti-religion). Kids find video games fulfilling. We still focus on teaching reading, writing, math, etc. There's nothing wrong with teaching a little video games, and we do need a few...
  27. Replies
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    I'm just a STEM major, so please help me...

    I'm just a STEM major, so please help me understand the social contract. Where I sit, it appears you've placed the cart before the horse. The social contract requires contributors. The STEM majors...
  28. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
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    439,133

    When Putin runs a racist authoritarian regime,...

    When Putin runs a racist authoritarian regime, and sends the "lesser" races to do his fighting, there is some risk of separatist movements. Especially if he kills a lot of them, or loses....
  29. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Ok. I have not studied the diplomacy and don't...

    Ok. I have not studied the diplomacy and don't know the details or expectations of participating diplomats and leaders. I can imagine no one expected Russian enmity nor an invasion when it was...
  30. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Idk. US and UK have the problem that they've made...

    Idk. US and UK have the problem that they've made Ukraine security guarantees via the Budapest Memorandum. I'm not sure how to legitimately believe the "greater peace through deterrence" exists....
  31. Replies
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    Businesses do this all the time. Run the business...

    Businesses do this all the time. Run the business into the ground, and sorry lender/investor, here's a worthless failed business.

    This might make it harder to get a student loan. And it might make...
  32. Replies
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    I think I phrased it as fix bankruptcy. Student...

    I think I phrased it as fix bankruptcy. Student loan debt should be dismissed/modified similar to any other loan.
  33. Replies
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    Seems pretty unfair to me. I know a guy who went...

    Seems pretty unfair to me. I know a guy who went into to debt to own a subway franchise. Fairness says we should bail him too. Actually lots of people have debt. Come to think, there's also lot's of...
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    I post this PSA, sourced from the TWiV doctor...

    I post this PSA, sourced from the TWiV doctor (Griffin), who claims many doctors aren't keeping up with available treatments. There's also a FDA website somewhere with the latest covid treatment...
  35. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    I don't see anyone smuggling Ukraine a nuke...

    I don't see anyone smuggling Ukraine a nuke either. That would also be frowned upon. I do see proliferation pressure resulting from Russia's invasion though (and to a lesser degree US moves under...
  36. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    I won't claim to be the master nuclear...

    I won't claim to be the master nuclear strategist, but my take is no one can prove the effectiveness of a nuke without earning the hatred of the entire world. Maybe a country could do it in...
  37. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    That's not what he's suggesting. He's suggesting...

    That's not what he's suggesting. He's suggesting their leadership is vulnerable to the idea that their nukes may not work. And helping them with their fears would weaken them politically. Sort of...
  38. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Thread about Russia's nukes and the amount of...

    Thread about Russia's nukes and the amount of maintenance they need to remain functional and almost certainly did not get.
    https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1520180151992131584.html
    Telenko...
  39. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Not entirely positive to have Eastern Europe...

    Not entirely positive to have Eastern Europe armed. I recently saw a Europe map of percentage of citizens who felt their national territory is bounded by the current boundaries. For the western...
  40. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Could be. They discussed it without showing the...

    Could be. They discussed it without showing the clip. Agree that's terrifying. Fuck Putin. Send him to the front of his stupid war
  41. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Amazing weather where the smoke rises straight....

    Amazing weather where the smoke rises straight. Lot's of smoke too. Definitely looks cool, but that was a lot of units/targets with no covering fire or counter fire. Stayed on position for a long...
  42. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    This guy Perun has good videos on war economics....

    This guy Perun has good videos on war economics. In a war of attrition, Russia can draw on a huge stock of soviet armor. That doesn't mean they win, just that they may be able to replace losses from...
  43. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Whoever leads the coup will have substantial...

    Whoever leads the coup will have substantial disagreements with Putin's approach, otherwise why a coup? So far, and I don't have a Russian POV, no one has attacked Russia, which leaves de-escalation...
  44. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    I'm not optimistic either. Problems: Putin is a...

    I'm not optimistic either. Problems:
    Putin is a lying sack of shit
    I don't he has sufficient command of his forces to keep them from firing
    Missing detail - which UN nations are leading this?...
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    Sounds like you want the car. As you say,...

    Sounds like you want the car. As you say, shopping for and buying another car is a pain in the ass, with weekends lost, etc. Is it a good car? Mechanically sound, safety systems intact, no accidents...
  46. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Depends what you mean by middle ground. People in...

    Depends what you mean by middle ground. People in lots of nations, especially Russia think the invasion is fine or even good. The Russian Patriarch blessed it (religious supreme leader), and he's...
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    Yep. Any doubters take a look at Hong Kong's...

    Yep. Any doubters take a look at Hong Kong's recent experience. Low vax rate plus omicron gave them the world's highest fatality rate (so far). Looks like maybe omicron is not milder, rather a...
  48. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Putin could call off the invasion. Then he...

    Putin could call off the invasion. Then he wouldn't have to worry what the US might do. Also, a bunch Russians and Ukrainians wouldn't have to die, get maimed, or learn hatred. And Ukraine wouldn't...
  49. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    7,847
    Views
    439,133

    Hope that's what happened. Can't leave the wings...

    Hope that's what happened. Can't leave the wings on or they'll be clipped by train signals, crossing gates, and trees.
  50. Replies
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    It's called "test to treat"...

    It's called "test to treat"
    https://www.covid.gov/
    https://aspr.hhs.gov/TestToTreat/Pages/default.aspx

    Not sure what to do if you plan to enter the backcountry, and then test. Sounds like a...
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