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Type: Posts; User: 4matic

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  1. Replies
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    Lathrop was 2008 peak. I remember the vast...

    Lathrop was 2008 peak. I remember the vast ghost town for years after the crash. Driving to ski it was a sea of darkness.
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    Toll Brothers has 3.99% financing for move in...

    Toll Brothers has 3.99% financing for move in homes.
  3. Thread: Ukraine

    by 4matic
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    Yale's Sonnenfeld breaks down myths surrounding...

    Yale's Sonnenfeld breaks down myths surrounding the strength of Russia's economy...
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    ď.. there has never been a bear market rally that...

    ď.. there has never been a bear market rally that exceeded the 50% retracement and then gone on to make new cycle lows. Therefore, if the SPX were to exceed 4231, we would have to assume that June...
  5. Thread: Beautifully Sad

    by 4matic
    Replies
    279
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    46,236

    Beautifully Sad

    https://youtu.be/ZQhGcC10J0U
  6. Thread: Ukraine

    by 4matic
    Replies
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    529,615

    Russian missile fail ...

    Russian missile fail

    https://twitter.com/P_Belvedere/status/1555130610703863814?s=20&t=OZUuie3_db1-HR8TTXJK4Q
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    Blue horseshoe loves annacott steel on this one. ...

    Blue horseshoe loves annacott steel on this one. Just look at the five day chart.
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    "The four-week average of US gasoline consumption...

    "The four-week average of US gasoline consumption .. dropped lower last week than during the summer of 2020 .. even as retail fuel prices have fallen for more than 50 days straight."
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    For example, BKKT provides institutional transactions support and has been a big dud

    It now focuses on providing technology to banks, credit-card issuers and companies with customer-loyalty...
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    I donít see how this helps Coinbase that much...

    I donít see how this helps Coinbase that much since they get paid for transactions. Itís not like institutions are short term traders. I suppose there are companies that sell stuff for crypto that...
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    Gasoline futures are only .25c higher than oct 21

    Gasoline futures are only .25c higher than oct 21
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    Crypto only way to pay on Pornhub. Maybe a...

    Crypto only way to pay on Pornhub. Maybe a Blackrock client.
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    Pornhub takes Crypto. So thereís that.. no...

    Pornhub takes Crypto. So thereís that.. no surprise there. BTC supports child exploitation!
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    Five years ago Blackrock called it a money...

    Five years ago Blackrock called it a money laundering scam. Think how many Blackrock billions could have been third party laundered out of Russia through Alladdin had it been in place prior to...
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    Right. After all the fraud and tears this year a...

    Right. After all the fraud and tears this year a CFO would be a fool to go there.

    I suppose Blackrock did see a flurry of clients from Russia trying to get capital clear of Rubles.
    ...
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    It is nothing. A partnership costs them nothing and they avoid the regulatory problems.

    I worked in data and trading partnerships. Itís easy to link brokerage into a feed.
  17. The guy that jumped out landed in his families...

    The guy that jumped out landed in his families back yard and they heard the thud?
  18. Thread: 2022 PGA

    by 4matic
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    16,224

    If LIV is a closed league how can the players...

    If LIV is a closed league how can the players justify antitrust?
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    3 mo treasury pays 2.50 1 yr pays 3.14

    3 mo treasury pays 2.50
    1 yr pays 3.14
  20. Thread: Ukraine

    by 4matic
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    8,921
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    529,615

    That guys feed is chilling apocalyptic

    That guys feed is chilling apocalyptic
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    Fore! Who's playing golf, yo-

    Green conditions look good! Not so much for me.
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    The huge drop in ISM prices paid -- from 78.5 in...

    The huge drop in ISM prices paid -- from 78.5 in June to 60.0 in July -- is 18.5 points, the largest since May/June of 2010 where the difference was 22.1 points.
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    10y note 2.59%. Mortgage rates back under 5% soon.
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    You didnít miss much at Tralee. Probably the...

    You didnít miss much at Tralee. Probably the most forgettable from my Ireland trip.
  25. Thread: Ukraine

    by 4matic
    Replies
    8,921
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    529,615

    Anatoly Chubais, one of the highest-level Russian...

    Anatoly Chubais, one of the highest-level Russian officials to have resigned from Putinís govít since the Ukraine invasion, was hospitalized Sunday in a western European country with symptoms of a...
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    Front month gasoline $2.97. Almost a 5 month...

    Front month gasoline $2.97. Almost a 5 month low.
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    Pretty sure itís a free drop lateral from the...

    Pretty sure itís a free drop lateral from the graveyard
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    Fresh four month low in the 10y rate. Especially...

    Fresh four month low in the 10y rate. Especially positive on a Friday and eom if it closes near the low.
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    DupÖ.
  30. Replies
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    In March the 10y was @2.50 and the SP500 was 4600. 10y @2.68 now with SP500 4050. The biggest difference now is High Yield rates.
    Iím way long High Yield at a very small loss now
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    Gaps filled on Sp500 cash

    Gaps filled on Sp500 cash
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    Lots of alternatives to SWIFT have been floated. ...

    Lots of alternatives to SWIFT have been floated. ICE has one, GS has one.
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    2y rate down 20bp in less than 24 hours. 10y at...

    2y rate down 20bp in less than 24 hours. 10y at 2.66%. Curve flattening toward the short end.
  34. Thread: Wagon Stoke

    by 4matic
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    4,940
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    658,581

    Love the W126. Old 70-80ís benzes are bargains...

    Love the W126. Old 70-80ís benzes are bargains in the classic world.
  35. Thread: Wagon Stoke

    by 4matic
    Replies
    4,940
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    658,581

    Pretty sure thatís a ďHammerĒ

    Pretty sure thatís a ďHammerĒ
  36. Thread: Wagon Stoke

    by 4matic
    Replies
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    658,581

    They do call the latest AMG wagon the ďSĒ. ...

    They do call the latest AMG wagon the ďSĒ. Probably for sports.
  37. Thread: Wagon Stoke

    by 4matic
    Replies
    4,940
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    658,581

    I wouldnít worry too much about miles if itís up...

    I wouldnít worry too much about miles if itís up to date and no issues. The one with 86k is pretty nice.

    I just drove 150 miles at close to 80 mph and got 21mpg.
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    NAR says next year will be a good time to buy! ...

    NAR says next year will be a good time to buy!

    Signed contracts to purchase existing homes dropped 20% in June compared with the same month a year ago, the National Association of Realtors said....
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    10/2 spread -28bp. Fresh low

    10/2 spread -28bp. Fresh low
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    Lahinch was completely brown from drought when I...

    Lahinch was completely brown from drought when I played it. Paired up with locals as walk ons. Cool local scene and The Cliffs of Mohrer. Did you avoid the rain at Waterville?
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    I saw Novogratz talking about more regulation needed. If the SEC follows through they will put Coinbase and most ďtokensĒ out of business. Be careful what you wish for and I wouldnít be in any...
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    Another brick. More incentives: After two...

    Another brick. More incentives:

    After two years of not being able to build homes fast enough to keep up with demand, the nationís homebuilders are now experiencing a slowdown in sales and an...
  43. Thread: Ukraine

    by 4matic
    Replies
    8,921
    Views
    529,615

    Arestovich confirmed the encirclement of a group...

    Arestovich confirmed the encirclement of a group of Russians in the Kherson region and revealed the details
    ...
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    Doesnít have to be graphite. There are soft...

    Doesnít have to be graphite. There are soft steel shifts. Larger grips can help too.
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    10y back to early April yield so the rate hikes...

    10y back to early April yield so the rate hikes are mostly front end loaded now. If the Fed does 75 next week with a hawkish outlook look for curve inversion to accelerate.
  46. Thread: Ukraine

    by 4matic
    Replies
    8,921
    Views
    529,615

    Deputy Minister of Agrarian Policy and Food Taras...

    Deputy Minister of Agrarian Policy and Food Taras Vysotskyi said a complicated harvest continues but this yearís crop will be enough for domestic consumption and export.
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    Fore! Who's playing golf, yo-

    Thatís the breakfast I remember. Nice parkland style courses near Killarney. Irish open played there. Beautiful parks. Killarney is great. Local flavor

    https://killarneygolfclub.ie
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    Fore! Who's playing golf, yo-

    I stayed at that white hotel with the awning in Kinsale in pic 5. Irish breakfast (included) is hard to beat.

    Killarney is awesome. Hope you stay there.

    422107
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Two month low in the 10y note yield.

    Four month low close on gasoline
  50. Replies
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    Which makes it more negative since supply is not...

    Which makes it more negative since supply is not the cause of weak sales
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