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Type: Posts; User: jono

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  1. Replies
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    That is kind of wrong. For some people....

    That is kind of wrong. For some people. Everything is on a spectrum so if 95% of people get protection that keeps them from a symptomatic infection (typical definition of success in the trials), some...
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    Dr. Spivak feeding RFK Jr. does seem like a poor...

    Dr. Spivak feeding RFK Jr. does seem like a poor career move.

    At those rates and taking a wild ass guess to the vax weighting by time, it seems like you'd expect like 200 cases of ITP in the...
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    I've seen that noted but I wonder about the...

    I've seen that noted but I wonder about the proportionality of it. I mean, it seems logical that those would be people who make more virus and making more virus gives more chances for mutation. But...
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    There are some contradictions in there. We don't...

    There are some contradictions in there. We don't curb variants without curbing spread, particularly since vaccination spread creates an environment that favors variants that are better at evading...
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    Since "full" is slightly lower there's a decent...

    Since "full" is slightly lower there's a decent chance the differences are mainly from taking the bulk of their data at different points in time. Maybe a small advantage to mRNA in the long run vs....
  6. Thread: Shiffrin

    by jono
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    ...and the next and the next. Could be a big...

    ...and the next and the next. Could be a big mistake for them.
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    100% chance. Which is evidently one of the two...

    100% chance. Which is evidently one of the two numbers to which he rounds all probabilities. Never wanted to ski backcountry, apparently.
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    Sadly, just another expert lost.

    Sadly, just another expert lost.
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    I'm sorry for your loss and thanks for sharing...

    I'm sorry for your loss and thanks for sharing the story. Any chance the Minister was this guy?

    https://es.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ramiro_Vald%C3%A9s_Men%C3%A9ndez
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    You're not wrong. Sounds like she wasn't, either.

    You're not wrong. Sounds like she wasn't, either.
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    I just can't get over what a genius move this was...

    I just can't get over what a genius move this was by the estate. Virtue signal and victim all in one--book sales are soaring. And they pulled just enough, too--in a few years when they need another...
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    Damn. The missing details on separating from...

    Damn. The missing details on separating from rider 4 seem like a twist of the knife.
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    Yup. At the beginning I took a step back from...

    Yup. At the beginning I took a step back from some of my least objective friends. It's a bummer when a lot of "creative" people turn out to be less genuinely creative and more just average but...
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    Also consider people comparing places with...

    Also consider people comparing places with mandates to places without them and reversing cause and effect (a la RJ) to blame the mandates. Logically, the higher the case rate the more reason to have...
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    LOL. Thanks for that

    LOL. Thanks for that
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    Solid use of quotes in your article. Seems like...

    Solid use of quotes in your article. Seems like Pieps and McNutt sum it up well:

    (Pieps: ) "...tests have shown that the lock/switch mechanism on the DSP PRO, DSP PRO ICE and DSP SPORT meets all...
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    FIFY

    FIFY
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    Why lame? This solves the problem by augmenting...

    Why lame? This solves the problem by augmenting the useless lock mechanism and keeps functional electronics out of landfills. What's the downside? Minor pain to store it outside the harness?
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    Just to add two more: Did the J&J use the same...

    Just to add two more: Did the J&J use the same sample period from the time of the (first) shot? And definition of success?

    How many people will get the J&J and jump on a plane the next day? Having...
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    I don't see an answer for the OP, but it does...

    I don't see an answer for the OP, but it does contain at least one bit of wisdom:
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    ...

    ...
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    Is there actually a trial underway for children...

    Is there actually a trial underway for children or is that the soonest it could happen if they start one? Can't tell if this is priorities or trying not to state the obvious and hoping a bifurcated...
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    It's been a minute since the pic of the Chinese...

    It's been a minute since the pic of the Chinese dude wearing a maxipad got all the attention, huh?
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    So true.

    So true.
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    $85 and apparently available (lifetime purchase?)...

    $85 and apparently available (lifetime purchase?)

    https://narwallmask.com/

    If you hook the intake to your seat's overhead air please post pics.
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    CA has their own variant, why not WI?

    CA has their own variant, why not WI?
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    Like an eruption turned inside out. Awesome.

    Like an eruption turned inside out. Awesome.
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    Uptick of two posts ago explained?

    Uptick of two posts ago explained?
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    No judgement but, I mean, it stands to reason,...

    No judgement but, I mean, it stands to reason, right?
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    So...gearswap?

    So...gearswap?
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    Lycra. It's the Lycra.

    Lycra. It's the Lycra.
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    Were you up there yesterday Goldmember? I thought...

    Were you up there yesterday Goldmember? I thought I spotted some black skis on the Face but I'm awful at remembering clothes colors.
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    All I have are some random thoughts so apologies...

    All I have are some random thoughts so apologies in advance for their general uselessness.

    Too many ethical arguments both ways for my little brain. The only thing that stands out, and I'm not...
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    Unfortunately the sarcasm wasn't lost, I'm just...

    Unfortunately the sarcasm wasn't lost, I'm just trying to be more diplomatic with people who claim stupidity. The "just" implies that no one ever gets more than a moderate improvement when in reality...
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    So you're saying you're adjusting your...

    So you're saying you're adjusting your understanding to account for the mistake in your assumption? Are you removing the word "just" and accounting for the fact that some will also get "complete...
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    Foggy basin pushed the ceiling up for a minute or...

    Foggy basin pushed the ceiling up for a minute or six between the hail and graupel. Halfway to a reset maybe? Ice under B- feels covered, at least.

    364594
  37. Sigworthy

    Sigworthy
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    At the risk of stating the obvious: now skiing....

    At the risk of stating the obvious: now skiing. Highly recommended. Maybe sleeping first (so not technically now) but then definitely skiing.
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    Obviously I'm just spitballing here, so not...

    Obviously I'm just spitballing here, so not really looking to take a firm position on it, either. The recent numbers out of Scotland and Israel were what got me thinking the mRNAs might already be...
  40. Thread: Tiger...

    by jono
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    Well played, sir

    Well played, sir
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    FIFY I think it worked out. No idea what I'll...

    FIFY

    I think it worked out. No idea what I'll think of this in a few more hours, but so far so good; just about to hour 5, skied from ~1.5-4.5.

    It'll most likely kill me tomorrow, but my phone...
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    Like like no one yet. If I'm the first I'll...

    Like like no one yet. If I'm the first I'll update--but no GoPro footie.
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    Ok, Dr Two-dose, here's the question that keeps...

    Ok, Dr Two-dose, here's the question that keeps ringing in my head: if we're concerned about dropping down to one dose for mRNA's, should we also try to avoid the J&J/AZ vaccines because of their...
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    I want to go skiing right after Moderna #2 for a...

    I want to go skiing right after Moderna #2 for a couple hours. Why's that a bad idea?
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    Yeah, I noticed you said Friday was busy, too. We...

    Yeah, I noticed you said Friday was busy, too. We must be hitting opposite times or places lately. Pretty sure the fog is an easy explanation--my wife wanted to avoid the racers so we never got to...
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    I worked with a guy who had been involved with...

    I worked with a guy who had been involved with the Q400 qualification in ~2012 and we discussed those props a bit. He said the qual standard was to finish the flight, not that all passengers must...
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    Ouch, glad that didn't end with something worse!...

    Ouch, glad that didn't end with something worse! That ice layer is sneaky. Last week I unwittingly pointed someone onto it just past B chute and got to watch her slide/scrape the 4" dust off the...
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    Think of it as a chance to do original exploring....

    Think of it as a chance to do original exploring. A rare opportunity these days. Way easier than it used to be, and getting less rewarding as the challenge shrinks.
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    Depends on the objective. A more basic question...

    Depends on the objective. A more basic question would be whether or not capturing a multi-dimensional situation in a one-dimensional rating is the right goal?

    The goal should be communication,...
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    Wishful thinking is one way to put it. Herd...

    Wishful thinking is one way to put it. Herd immunity threshold depends on behavior and interactions. It's like if we have five threads and some people read 1 or 2 but not all five: a meme or an...
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