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Today, 08:08 PM
Thread: 2013/14 Inland PNW thread
by jono- Replies
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- 419,400
Were you up there yesterday Goldmember? I thought...
Were you up there yesterday Goldmember? I thought I spotted some black skis on the Face but I'm awful at remembering clothes colors.
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Today, 01:34 PM
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All I have are some random thoughts so apologies...
All I have are some random thoughts so apologies in advance for their general uselessness.
Too many ethical arguments both ways for my little brain. The only thing that stands out, and I'm not... -
Today, 11:51 AM
Thread: Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey
by jono- Replies
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Unfortunately the sarcasm wasn't lost, I'm just...
Unfortunately the sarcasm wasn't lost, I'm just trying to be more diplomatic with people who claim stupidity. The "just" implies that no one ever gets more than a moderate improvement when in reality...
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Today, 09:12 AM
Thread: Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey
by jono- Replies
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- 4,648,585
So you're saying you're adjusting your...
So you're saying you're adjusting your understanding to account for the mistake in your assumption? Are you removing the word "just" and accounting for the fact that some will also get "complete...
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Yesterday, 11:58 PM
Thread: 2013/14 Inland PNW thread
by jono- Replies
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Foggy basin pushed the ceiling up for a minute or...
Foggy basin pushed the ceiling up for a minute or six between the hail and graupel. Halfway to a reset maybe? Ice under B- feels covered, at least.
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Yesterday, 09:03 PM
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Sigworthy
Sigworthy
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Yesterday, 07:09 PM
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At the risk of stating the obvious: now skiing....
At the risk of stating the obvious: now skiing. Highly recommended. Maybe sleeping first (so not technically now) but then definitely skiing.
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Yesterday, 06:38 PM
Thread: Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey
by jono- Replies
- 33,936
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- 4,648,585
Obviously I'm just spitballing here, so not...
Obviously I'm just spitballing here, so not really looking to take a firm position on it, either. The recent numbers out of Scotland and Israel were what got me thinking the mRNAs might already be...
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Well played, sir
Well played, sir
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Yesterday, 03:59 PM
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FIFY I think it worked out. No idea what I'll...
FIFY
I think it worked out. No idea what I'll think of this in a few more hours, but so far so good; just about to hour 5, skied from ~1.5-4.5.
It'll most likely kill me tomorrow, but my phone... -
Yesterday, 11:42 AM
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Like like no one yet. If I'm the first I'll...
Like like no one yet. If I'm the first I'll update--but no GoPro footie.
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Yesterday, 10:11 AM
Thread: Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey
by jono- Replies
- 33,936
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- 4,648,585
Ok, Dr Two-dose, here's the question that keeps...
Ok, Dr Two-dose, here's the question that keeps ringing in my head: if we're concerned about dropping down to one dose for mRNA's, should we also try to avoid the J&J/AZ vaccines because of their...
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Yesterday, 10:02 AM
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I want to go skiing right after Moderna #2 for a...
I want to go skiing right after Moderna #2 for a couple hours. Why's that a bad idea?
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02-21-2021, 10:06 PM
Thread: 2013/14 Inland PNW thread
by jono- Replies
- 2,374
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- 419,400
Yeah, I noticed you said Friday was busy, too. We...
Yeah, I noticed you said Friday was busy, too. We must be hitting opposite times or places lately. Pretty sure the fog is an easy explanation--my wife wanted to avoid the racers so we never got to...
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02-21-2021, 09:22 PM
Thread: United 328.....Holeeeeee Shit.
by jono- Replies
- 133
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- 16,554
I worked with a guy who had been involved with...
I worked with a guy who had been involved with the Q400 qualification in ~2012 and we discussed those props a bit. He said the qual standard was to finish the flight, not that all passengers must...
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02-21-2021, 08:08 PM
Thread: 2013/14 Inland PNW thread
by jono- Replies
- 2,374
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- 419,400
Ouch, glad that didn't end with something worse!...
Ouch, glad that didn't end with something worse! That ice layer is sneaky. Last week I unwittingly pointed someone onto it just past B chute and got to watch her slide/scrape the 4" dust off the...
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02-21-2021, 11:05 AM
Thread: 2013/14 Inland PNW thread
by jono- Replies
- 2,374
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- 419,400
Think of it as a chance to do original exploring....
Think of it as a chance to do original exploring. A rare opportunity these days. Way easier than it used to be, and getting less rewarding as the challenge shrinks.
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02-21-2021, 10:44 AM
Thread: UAC - Danger in the Danger Ratings
by jono- Replies
- 9
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- 3,073
Depends on the objective. A more basic question...
Depends on the objective. A more basic question would be whether or not capturing a multi-dimensional situation in a one-dimensional rating is the right goal?
The goal should be communication,... -
02-21-2021, 08:26 AM
Thread: Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey
by jono- Replies
- 33,936
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- 4,648,585
Wishful thinking is one way to put it. Herd...
Wishful thinking is one way to put it. Herd immunity threshold depends on behavior and interactions. It's like if we have five threads and some people read 1 or 2 but not all five: a meme or an...
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02-20-2021, 10:17 AM
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- 370,732
Are you speaking the language they use to train...
Are you speaking the language they use to train the bots?
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02-19-2021, 09:12 PM
Thread: Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey
by jono- Replies
- 33,936
- Views
- 4,648,585
The ability to lay off employees if things don't...
The ability to lay off employees if things don't go as expected actually encourages manufacturing to ramp up. Not as nice for the employees but less binding on the bean counters. If you make a...
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02-19-2021, 01:19 PM
Thread: What do I want from Costco?
by jono- Replies
- 255
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- 25,066
There it is
There it is
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02-19-2021, 12:46 PM
Thread: What do I want from Costco?
by jono- Replies
- 255
- Views
- 25,066
Systemic change
Systemic change
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02-19-2021, 12:28 PM
Thread: Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey
by jono- Replies
- 33,936
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- 4,648,585
For sure. Conversely, the randos on a message...
For sure. Conversely, the randos on a message board are a little more like the general (no to say exactly "voting") public.
Interesting point about Fauci again--his ability to stay on the fences... -
02-19-2021, 11:12 AM
Thread: Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey
by jono- Replies
- 33,936
- Views
- 4,648,585
I don't know if we'll see a study on single doses...
I don't know if we'll see a study on single doses here, but the ones in Israel (Lancet link above) and the UK (bumping second doses to 12+ weeks on everyone) should be of some use if we're paying...
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02-19-2021, 09:54 AM
Thread: Togwotee Pass fatality
by jono- Replies
- 52
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- 19,020
Thanks for inspiring me to do the same. All you...
Thanks for inspiring me to do the same. All you stupid fucks calling people names are being stupid and you need to knock it off. It's stupid because it's ineffective at achieving the exact thing you...
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02-19-2021, 09:28 AM
Thread: Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey
by jono- Replies
- 33,936
- Views
- 4,648,585
I should have just read the NEJM letter's chart...
I should have just read the NEJM letter's chart slower, the details are straightforward. The sample size was kind of small to get very precise about efficacy numbers for the single week before the...
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02-18-2021, 11:27 PM
Thread: Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey
by jono- Replies
- 33,936
- Views
- 4,648,585
The whole problem with that line of thought is...
The whole problem with that line of thought is that we don't know duration of either 1 or 2 dose regimens. So we have no direct evidence that 2 will last longer than 1 or to be confident long term of...
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02-18-2021, 05:40 PM
Thread: Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey
by jono- Replies
- 33,936
- Views
- 4,648,585
Argument for skipping second doses (for a while,...
Argument for skipping second doses (for a while, at least):
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2036242
Thoughts? Hopes? Unless this is garbage it seems like a huge leap compared to... -
02-17-2021, 11:40 AM
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If NYT's opinion section is Maury, Glen Greenwald...
If NYT's opinion section is Maury, Glen Greenwald wants to be TMZ.
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02-17-2021, 07:18 AM
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Greenwald, so...lemme guess, the fire...
Greenwald, so...lemme guess, the fire extinguisher may not have killed him so the while thing about officer Sicknick being dead is just media exaggeration?
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02-16-2021, 06:16 PM
Thread: Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey
by jono- Replies
- 33,936
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- 4,648,585
There are a lot of jobs that shouldn't be done in...
There are a lot of jobs that shouldn't be done in person until those people are vaxed--most because the job can be done otherwise. And first responders etc should have been eligible everywhere for a...
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02-16-2021, 12:55 AM
Thread: Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey
by jono- Replies
- 33,936
- Views
- 4,648,585
So a 75% reduction in viral load for Pfizer from...
So a 75% reduction in viral load for Pfizer from 12-28 days after the first shot. Any similar study for Moderna anywhere? Lots of assuming the two are interchangeable--any exceptions?
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02-16-2021, 12:24 AM
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Don't be fooled. The fear was always that it...
Don't be fooled. The fear was always that it could be illegal for people to buy their way ahead in lines. That really hasn't happened. I mean, sure, in theory, but more people go to jail for touching...
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02-15-2021, 07:49 PM
Thread: Remote workers....what do you actually do?
by jono- Replies
- 154
- Views
- 23,095
Seriously the biggest challenge. I had my best...
Seriously the biggest challenge. I had my best day in months today while my wife took a car in for a recall and ran errands. Been 80% or so remote for almost 15 years but the pandemic somehow gave me...
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02-15-2021, 10:50 AM
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Not that this justifies it, but maybe it tempers...
Not that this justifies it, but maybe it tempers it a little:
Dinner partiers jumping the line is not all bad: if we self-selected based on concern about the virus (which is happening in a few... -
02-15-2021, 12:27 AM
Thread: NFL 2020/2021
by jono- Replies
- 2,029
- Views
- 324,179
You need to make the troll less obvious. No one...
You need to make the troll less obvious. No one seriously overestimates the popularity of two or the other PNW sports teams by that much.
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02-15-2021, 12:02 AM
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- 11,802
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- 1,523,970
Gee, thanks. The skiing wasn't great, but it was...
Gee, thanks. The skiing wasn't great, but it was worth it. Good luck getting your sarcasm meter fixed, it kinda looks like it'll need more than batteries. Tough situation, what with the semi-chip...
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02-14-2021, 07:47 AM
Thread: Is the stock market going to tank?
by jono- Replies
- 13,649
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- 1,244,977
Nope. There were 18.628 million. How many have...
Nope. There were 18.628 million. How many have been lost? No way to know. Fundamental design flaw? Or does society not really need to know all that badly?
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02-13-2021, 05:53 PM
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- 380,117
Ballsy callout, though, right? Where is that...
Ballsy callout, though, right? Where is that popcorn?
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02-13-2021, 05:39 PM
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- 11,802
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- 1,523,970
He can be convicted criminally now and...
He can be convicted criminally now and disqualified by section 3 of the 14th, but they'd have to indict him and not just forget about being a nation of laws so we can be a nation of the ruling and...
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02-12-2021, 10:54 PM
Thread: Persistent Weak Layers and forecasting.
by jono- Replies
- 119
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- 44,016
Gotta agree with MTM's adjustment there. But...
Gotta agree with MTM's adjustment there. But obviously there are things a forecast is better suited for and things it's not going to do well.
The point I'm slowly circling is that LPHC risks are... -
02-12-2021, 06:22 PM
Thread: New Ortovox Diract Avy Beacon
by jono- Replies
- 33
- Views
- 13,022
This is actually why I suggested going right to...
This is actually why I suggested going right to an environmental chamber if some Uni program has one they can spare for a week or two. It's probably more of a service than a manufacturer deserves,...
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02-12-2021, 03:51 PM
Thread: Persistent Weak Layers and forecasting.
by jono- Replies
- 119
- Views
- 44,016
Good thread. It's interesting that we focus on...
Good thread. It's interesting that we focus on mentoring and education in a year that's seen so many examples of experienced people dying on familiar terrain, though. Aging on the TRGs? Not to...
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02-11-2021, 11:20 AM
Thread: Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey
by jono- Replies
- 33,936
- Views
- 4,648,585
I was being a little facetious about vax vans,...
I was being a little facetious about vax vans, but -50 isn't what I'd call "very, very difficult" if you coordinate with a central source. Dry ice and liquid nitrogen are both pretty accessible (and...
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02-11-2021, 10:36 AM
Thread: New Ortovox Diract Avy Beacon
by jono- Replies
- 33
- Views
- 13,022
I'm more thinking of the fact that the battery is...
I'm more thinking of the fact that the battery is a permanent part of the unit. There's a good chance that the number of thermal and charge cycles both play a role in how the battery performs over...
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02-11-2021, 09:22 AM
Thread: New Ortovox Diract Avy Beacon
by jono- Replies
- 33
- Views
- 13,022
Using a fixed battery lets them design around a...
Using a fixed battery lets them design around a known commodity and qualify their supplier(s). Lithium has been up in the real cold of space for a long time so it certainly can be done right.
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02-10-2021, 11:28 PM
Thread: Fear and Loathing, a Rat Flu Odyssey
by jono- Replies
- 33,936
- Views
- 4,648,585
The auto industry offers a solution: start a...
The auto industry offers a solution: start a little organization to set up mobile vax clinics in inner city areas and sell the branding rights as POC credits. The free market will work until the...
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02-10-2021, 09:28 PM
Thread: Future Olympians - Robots Ski Racing
by jono- Replies
- 18
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- 2,564
Robot crashes don't look so bad now.
Robot crashes don't look so bad now.
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02-09-2021, 03:08 PM
Thread: 2013/14 Inland PNW thread
by jono- Replies
- 2,374
- Views
- 419,400
Anybody else digging lately? I don't want to...
Anybody else digging lately?
I don't want to start ranting about the dangerous snow pack, but it seems almost taylor-made to be dangerous in the BC this year. Almost glad someone slid Blue (and...
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