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  1. Replies
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    Any season pass gets a day ticket at Bear Valley...

    Any season pass gets a day ticket at Bear Valley through Friday
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    Yeah. Electric rates here are 40-50 cents/kWh...

    Yeah. Electric rates here are 40-50 cents/kWh depending on when you use it and how much you use. California electric rates are not making it easy to be green.

    I've poked around but still don't...
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    Data from CDC...

    Data from CDC
    https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/acip/meetings/downloads/slides-2024-02-28-29/06-COVID-Wallace-508.pdf

    Slide 11, shows a seroprevalence study of Covid antigens in blood donations last...
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    In my family circle the majority have not had...

    In my family circle the majority have not had covid. In my wider friend circle most have had it at least once. The difference is avoiding indoor spaces and wearing masks when indoors is necessary. I...
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    My understanding is there's many types of viruses...

    My understanding is there's many types of viruses that infect humans, and have different characteristics as to how they replicate and spread. Some like covid, colds, and flu replicate in epithelial...
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    Many are long wearing similar to non-winter tires...

    Many are long wearing similar to non-winter tires - I run mine year round with no issues. So cost is same as running any other decent tire. The X-Ice are low rolling resistance, so I'm also...
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    Maybe the resort's lease allows public access or...

    Maybe the resort's lease allows public access or the resort chooses to allow it or the employees didn't care. If there's a closed sign, don't be a dick - stop in the patrol shack or contact the...
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    For 80, or squalpine? I know a guy who'd know the...

    For 80, or squalpine? I know a guy who'd know the answer for 80 if you're interest in the last 10-15 years. Specifically he'd know every time Caltrans reported 80 closed (or 50 or 88), which is...
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    Happiness is a open resort, plowed driveway,...

    Happiness is a open resort, plowed driveway, plowed road, and a foot plus on the car since last night. Thanks snow removal crews!
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    I've got some old ones and some stragglers you're...

    I've got some old ones and some stragglers you're welcome to. Mix of polkadots, black, ski socks etc. Ski socks are good b/c they'll teach the other socks how to get after it.

    As for teaching...
  11. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
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    Some general should have explained war to the...

    Some general should have explained war to the politicians. The cheapest war is the one we've prepared for, such that no one wants to fight us and no one does. Necessarily that means all the ammo,...
  12. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
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    what is Of Mice and Men? xyz shouldn't be...

    what is Of Mice and Men?

    xyz shouldn't be handling rabbits bc he doesn't understand care for them?
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    If you reserve a hut trip during winter, you are...

    If you reserve a hut trip during winter, you are agreeing to winter weather unless the contract says otherwise. Sounds like folks are cancelling an epic trip because it's going to snow. They should...
  14. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
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    1,299,190

    Does it? What about the risk of allowing...

    Does it? What about the risk of allowing additional destruction in a poorly supported Ukraine? There's lots of chatter now about defense strategies in various countries and whether it's wise to rely...
  15. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
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    1,299,190

    I'm waiting for longer range artillery, and...

    I'm waiting for longer range artillery, and adequate supplies of stuff we've already sent. Ukraine's been undergunned the entire war, and Russian rail logistics have been out of range. All the...
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    Two thoughts - the bridge is weak and the lower...

    Two thoughts - the bridge is weak and the lower speed limit reduces dynamic loads, so it won't fall down before they fix it. Or maybe just because construction. Slow traffic lets trucks enter/exit...
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    Sorry, I assumed you were somewhat intelligent or...

    Sorry, I assumed you were somewhat intelligent or had read the various gun threads here and knew the arguments, so there was no need to repeat them. Here's a couple: We already have plenty of gun...
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    Sorry to "trigger" you. Perhaps dog licensing...

    Sorry to "trigger" you. Perhaps dog licensing laws are an example you'd understand better. Traffic laws? Food safety? Government is useful to have.
  19. Have you tried not feeding them? There's lots of...

    Have you tried not feeding them? There's lots of coyotes around here. As in I occasionally see them and often hear them. Only recent problem I've heard of (someone got bit), the neighbors were...
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    TWiV mentioned the study in a recent Dr. Griffin...

    TWiV mentioned the study in a recent Dr. Griffin episode, probably one or two weeks back. I don't weight a single study high enough to go back and find it. Even with several studies, we still have...
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    That's an example of the inflated R0's. One...

    That's an example of the inflated R0's. One referenced paper (Burki, 2021) presents the high R values but no evidence. The other (Ito et al., 2021) defines a relative reproduction number, their value...
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    eta: Damn I'm cruising toward my own wall of text...

    eta: Damn I'm cruising toward my own wall of text thread



    I agree with you about the misuse of "R0," but it seemed to be common to misuse it in that way to create the study titles and article...
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    Mike Rothschild, an expert in conspiracy theories...

    Mike Rothschild, an expert in conspiracy theories who wrote a book on QAnon, sees a profit motive in conservative media’s use of the term, which he said is on the rise.

    “There’s a desperate need...
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    I'll help Leroy out with comments from my...

    I'll help Leroy out with comments from my conspiracy loving friends. Often when I see another shooting, I'll post it up jokingly as "another gun control advocate appears." Unfortunately, in their...
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    Those slipped past me so I won't argue the...

    Those slipped past me so I won't argue the results. I didn't see real world evidence that any variants spread faster than OG covid.

    I think Leroy's main concern is that there were three types of...
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    Quibble on the less virulent statement: There...

    Quibble on the less virulent statement:

    There was a study out of China a few months back that said a recent strain (omicron?) produces more severe outcomes than the OG strain. China could study...
  27. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
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    Somebody had to say it.

    Somebody had to say it.
  28. Replies
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    Leroy, and anyone needing help with vaccine/study...

    Leroy, and anyone needing help with vaccine/study skepticism, that was covered in this thread about 3 years ago. Go back and review. Several of us tackled different studies and different sources of...
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    I agree in principle, but these are the actual...

    I agree in principle, but these are the actual views of someone I know. Someone who seems pretty plugged in to conspiracies. I didn't distort their views. Like you, I also find them extreme. Extreme...
  30. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
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    1,299,190

    Listened to some thinktankers again...

    Listened to some thinktankers again https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H_PFkylATXk Council on Foreign Relations

    Takeaways:
    1. There seems a general lack of military thinking among these folks. In...
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    All I got on that is the jet fuel people have...

    All I got on that is the jet fuel people have decided there were no excess deaths and the pandemic is a lizard people conspiracy that didn't happen irl. All the vaxxed people were tricked, and any...
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    Doomed we are.

    Doomed we are.
  33. Replies
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    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/...

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264410X24001270?via%3Dihub
    Some diseases were up, some were down. Most were not statistically significantly up or down. More up than down. Ofc,...
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    "experts say the risks of developing Covid-19...

    "experts say the risks of developing Covid-19 greatly outweigh the risks of getting vaccinated."

    Not a scientist, but filtering out the media fearporn and looking at the study - the conclusion is...
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    I remember talk of reopening the unused tunnels...

    I remember talk of reopening the unused tunnels and snow sheds, with a lowered track to fit double-stack container cars. Guessing that cargo goes via the new Panama locks, or the Golden Gate bridge...
  36. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
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    1,299,190

    What if Ukraine nukes Moscow? or maybe a...

    What if Ukraine nukes Moscow? or maybe a demonstration on Rostov on Don? Ukraine is an industrial technological country. I assume they can master 80 year old technology. They have physicists,...
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    What if IDF just destroys all their homes? Is...

    What if IDF just destroys all their homes? Is that ok?

    Speaking of which, have I missed Israel's announcement of reconstruction funds? And a compensation fund? And a fund for internally displaced...
  38. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
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    1,299,190

    Steven Kotkin on ending Russia's Ukraine War, or...

    Steven Kotkin on ending Russia's Ukraine War, or as he says - winning the peace. He's one of those Hoover people, so this should be a safe space for those who lean conservative. He didn't hurt my...
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    This stuff? ...

    This stuff?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sa1FwCidoOk
  40. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    16,377
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    1,299,190

    I also don't understand why interrupting the rail...

    I also don't understand why interrupting the rail links from Russia to Ukraine hasn't been a key element of western support. My understanding is there aren't that many rail links, and they surely...
  41. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    16,377
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    1,299,190

    Also countless examples of former enemies having...

    Also countless examples of former enemies having friendly relations and even alliances. E.g. I can't speak for 100% of Europe, but most of them have invaded or been invaded by another, and yet today...
  42. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
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    1,299,190

    Ukraine not joining NATO played some role. If in...

    Ukraine not joining NATO played some role. If in some unlikely alternate timeline, Ukraine had joined, Putin may have thought twice about invading, and may not have done it. OTOH, Putin rants...
  43. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    16,377
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    1,299,190

    Yes, they provide a useful function by monitoring...

    Yes, they provide a useful function by monitoring the threats and attempting to kick the rest of us lazy asses into responding to small problems before they become big problems. I could see a...
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    I was hoping for tips to ski two day old sierra...

    I was hoping for tips to ski two day old sierra cement, with a suncrust, in the trees. I've seen guys rip it, but I have yet to.
  45. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    16,377
    Views
    1,299,190

    Every generation needs to figure out the war and...

    Every generation needs to figure out the war and peace thing. Obviously Russia demonstrates how responsible countries should behave these days. Instead of opposing Russia in Ukraine, the proper US...
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    Which thread for random unthreadworthy posts? ...

    Which thread for random unthreadworthy posts?

    Some folks make progress deciphering the charred Herculaneum scrolls.

    You might remember some news about "purple" a few months ago. They've made it...
  47. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    16,377
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    1,299,190

    Yep. If we send 1000, that would be about one per...

    Yep. If we send 1000, that would be about one per kilometer of front. Could all be used in a day. And will we send even 1000?

    Usually the west sends enough to make a fig leaf for the media, enough...
  48. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
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    1,299,190

    My bad. I was thinking of this. Connects a bunch...

    My bad. I was thinking of this. Connects a bunch of strikes over the last month or so into one video, expanding on your thought.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LTcXeda196E
  49. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
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    16,377
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    1,299,190

    Poking around in wiki, I see several possible...

    Poking around in wiki, I see several possible roles. It's missiles (145kg warhead, 260km range) cover all of the Black Sea off the Ukrainian controlled coast, and reach pretty far inland. Mykolaiv,...
  50. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    16,377
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    1,299,190

    It's pretty amazing we're getting video of the...

    It's pretty amazing we're getting video of the attacks. Video transmission has gotta produce a decent signature.

    I bet there's some engineers in various countries working hard on that question....
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