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  1. Replies
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    The International Monetary Fundís board urged El...

    The International Monetary Fundís board urged El Salvador to strip #bitcoin of its status as a legal currency due to its large risks, highlighting a major obstacle for the nationís efforts to get a...
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    Why is the price tempting? does it deserve a $54b...

    Why is the price tempting? does it deserve a $54b market cap?
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    Record option volume again yesterday

    Record option volume again yesterday
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    Iím happy to see rates act inversely to stocks. ...

    Iím happy to see rates act inversely to stocks. Ideal would be a 2% 10y and a back and fill stock market holding the low.

    Girlfriend was furiously buying stocks this morning: JPM, IBM, GM,...
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    Nah. It also means no tax increases. Trillions...

    Nah. It also means no tax increases. Trillions of dollars for buybacks and profit margin.
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    3200 is pre pandemic high. Add average annualized at an optimistic 10% puts it around 3900. A decline to 3200 doesnít really affect the long term annualized gain that much. 1550 was the high in...
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    Iíve gotta think a lot of the selling today is...

    Iíve gotta think a lot of the selling today is fund redemptions. Puke all over the floor
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    Sell a quarter or half of the index on a bounce...

    Sell a quarter or half of the index on a bounce and see if you feel better? Target fund should be ok depending on the date
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    No one can answer this question: 1. Define...

    No one can answer this question:

    1. Define your time frame

    2. Define your risk.

    Cash earned nothing over the last year so what was your risk tolerance a year ago? You havenít really...
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    Bottom not in as long as people buying dips in...

    Bottom not in as long as people buying dips in worthless companies like GME
  11. Replies
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Novice option trading has exploded. How many are stuck short puts? That wiped out many individuals in the 87 crash.

    In 87 selling strangles was all the rage..
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    It depends. REITís that collect rent still have a...

    It depends. REITís that collect rent still have a good yield. Homebuilders I have no idea how rates, materials, and wages are going to affect them
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    Itís held up pretty well today considering the...

    Itís held up pretty well today considering the conditions.
  14. Replies
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    If heís up the ladder theyíll get repriced.

    If heís up the ladder theyíll get repriced.
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    I always lean skeptical so I have my days.. ...

    I always lean skeptical so I have my days..

    I wasnít going to go there and use the B word but how much pain can they take before looking for an exit? Especially with rates up a bit. Im...
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    It might be one and done though. QE has to be...

    It might be one and done though. QE has to be finished for at least a few years
  17. Replies
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    A big pullback in WTI can add fuel to a decline. ...

    A big pullback in WTI can add fuel to a decline. XOM can go back $60 in a couple days.
  18. Replies
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    Sentiment is still buy dips instead of sell...

    Sentiment is still buy dips instead of sell rallies in everything but bonds.
  19. Replies
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    I thinks itís more important whether itís another...

    I thinks itís more important whether itís another V bottom or a longer choppier period. Latter is my thought. Lots of individual executions still to come.
  20. Thread: NFL 2021/2022

    by 4matic
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    Run a two or three deep defense with 3 man rush...

    Run a two or three deep defense with 3 man rush and just donít let the receivers past ten yards.
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    SP500 took out the December low and bounced back. That should clean out a lot of trading longs.

    AMZN down $1k from its high. Still has another $800 to go on the chart
  22. Thread: NFL 2021/2022

    by 4matic
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    NFL 2021/2022

    Hereís a thought.. Bills could have intentionally held contacted receivers on every play. 5 yd penalty first down so what?
  23. Thread: NFL 2021/2022

    by 4matic
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    Clock doesnít start till someone touches it. ...

    Clock doesnít start till someone touches it. Just go down and itís same thing.
  24. Thread: NFL 2021/2022

    by 4matic
    Replies
    2,082
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    96,217

    NFL 2021/2022

    They want incentive for a quick winner to try and protect players. Itís a dangerous game and the players are tired; injury risk goes up.
  25. Thread: NFL 2021/2022

    by 4matic
    Replies
    2,082
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    96,217

    RT 15/24 with three picks?

    RT 15/24 with three picks?
  26. Thread: NFL 2021/2022

    by 4matic
    Replies
    2,082
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    96,217

    Remember whatís itís like trying to catch a...

    Remember whatís itís like trying to catch a frozen football? Itís advantage defense when the field gets compressed in the red zone. Rodgerís played well imo. He put them in position to win. The...
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    Gartman? Prechter? Granville?

    Gartman? Prechter? Granville?
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    From the interview I gather that MSTR had reached...

    From the interview I gather that MSTR had reached an inflection point where it was change direction or die so Saylor went all in on BTC. Heís not the first CEO that chose to change direction. He...
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    I watched Michael Saylor on Bloomberg Studio. I donít get the argument about BTC as inflation hedge. In retrospect it would have been prior to the pandemic but that is hind site thinking. If...
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    With correlation so high, as you note, I think ARKK is a better speculation at this point if youíre bullish
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    No reason MSTR can't go to zero if they have no...

    No reason MSTR can't go to zero if they have no earnings:

    A filing released Thursday showed the SEC rejecting the accounting method MicroStrategy was using for bitcoin in its earnings reporting....
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    How would you access and use BTC without power?

    How would you access and use BTC without power?
  33. Replies
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Itís just another macro asset now. Subject to the whim of speculation, derivative, and sentiment albeit one with no earnings or intrinsic value.
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    My mortgage would be costing me $300+ more a...

    My mortgage would be costing me $300+ more a month than when I got it last summer.
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    My buddy that coaches community college swimming...

    My buddy that coaches community college swimming had total compensation of $196k in 2020 and will retire with $10k a month income and medicare deductible paid. Teachers and government employees in...
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    Even now SP500 is still almost 3% higher than...

    Even now SP500 is still almost 3% higher than it's september low.

    18 month low on AMZN
  37. Replies
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    GME up 5% with an hour left in trade $107. What...

    GME up 5% with an hour left in trade $107. What other reason than option leverage?
  38. Replies
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    Is the stock market going to tank?

    Canít wait for March quarterly. So exciting!
  39. Replies
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    GME either side of $100. Not surprising on an...

    GME either side of $100. Not surprising on an expiration day and could lead to closing volatility
  40. Replies
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    Lows are often made on an expiration Friday

    Lows are often made on an expiration Friday
  41. Replies
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    Bitcoin stocks got it right?

    Bitcoin stocks got it right?
  42. Replies
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    Compound annual return on IWM since the 2018 high...

    Compound annual return on IWM since the 2018 high is around 2.5%. Takes it all back at $173
  43. Replies
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    Not four months ago the SP500 was 4288 and rates...

    Not four months ago the SP500 was 4288 and rates were a lot lower
  44. Replies
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    I have 4K sf for two people. GIrl has the whole...

    I have 4K sf for two people. GIrl has the whole upstairs with separate home theater, living space, guest suite. It might be too big but if you like personal privacy itís great. Not to mention...
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    Bitcoin....who's gotten into it?

    BTC relatively steady but the infrastructure stocks are getting crushed. If BTC stops going up for profit public plays will struggle mightily: riot, bkkt, mara, etc. bkkt is especially interesting...
  46. I rode sunny groomers at Palisades today and it...

    I rode sunny groomers at Palisades today and it was great. Shirley didnít really soften and the tilled man made was semi tooth chattering. Great day though. Its not bulletproof off trail. ...
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    Saw a bull bear discussion with scarramuci. The...

    Saw a bull bear discussion with scarramuci. The bear made a point that if BTC acted like a currency and basically went side wise for a couple years would anyone care about it?
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    SP500 is still 80 points (2%) higher than the...

    SP500 is still 80 points (2%) higher than the December low.
  49. Replies
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    Itís clear why MSFT been selling off. Blue...

    Itís clear why MSFT been selling off. Blue horseshoe loves Annacott Steel
  50. Thread: Doggie stoke

    by 4matic
    Replies
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    1,112,968

    Doggie stoke

    Bubu

    401232

    Took the sweats off for a run

    https://youtu.be/WillLPDexLM
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