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  1. Replies
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    Gold & Silver poised for muy large moves on the...

    Gold & Silver poised for muy large moves on the weekly and monthly charts. I'm long some gold miners, prolly adding a silver miner soon. Should be a 50-200% trade by 2019 summer.
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    Wrp

    Wrp
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    Wild intraday volatility, even for the new vix...

    Wild intraday volatility, even for the new vix era.
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    Lllo

    Lllo
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    I read today it's likely a RICO case involving...

    I read today it's likely a RICO case involving Congress. Amidst the hydrant of noise, things like Rohrbacher, slow rolling sanctions & managing foreign policy pre-inauguration are kind of illegal &...
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    A cheap canary for irrational bullishness like...

    A cheap canary for irrational bullishness like TSLA can be a useful proxy. If distressed debt backed by underwater assets can be priced within 10pts of par, it's really not bad out there.

    Seems to...
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    Neb

    Neb
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    It could be a 20 year bull market.

    It could be a 20 year bull market.
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    He looks like an idiot. Doesn't seem to get the...

    He looks like an idiot. Doesn't seem to get the memo on fedpseak that's been the rule since, what, Greenspan?
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    Small caps gettin luv the last 5 or so sessions....

    Small caps gettin luv the last 5 or so sessions. Lossa boulish behaviors.
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    Loaded with puts?

    Loaded with puts?
  12. Replies
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    +1, good to see

    +1, good to see
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    Generally, that's ok for me in an options trade....

    Generally, that's ok for me in an options trade. I don't do the dip buy/sell tops routine though. That friend is a crude trader, so we're not very alike in terms of approach. Give me small cap daily...
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    It'll be interesting to see how much dislocation...

    It'll be interesting to see how much dislocation it causes. Not seeing much about institutional bankruptcies so that's good, but it's early.
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    Have we ever talked about the short vol trade? It...

    Have we ever talked about the short vol trade? It didn't take a hit today. It was eviscerated. Svxy xiv adios. 100% losses for that side of volatility complex. Pretty wild to see it unfold after...
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    Japanese 10yr yield weekly is set up like a...

    Japanese 10yr yield weekly is set up like a dream. Any ideas on instruments?

    https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20180202/bf457c82c1ccd6665009db91aa05f384.jpg
    (VE = vix expansion)
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    30yr hit 3% today. I sawr in the papers that a 3%...

    30yr hit 3% today. I sawr in the papers that a 3% 10yr will face some buying pressure.
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    January was fun. I'm shedding positions very...

    January was fun. I'm shedding positions very fast-like, preserving what's left over from the first part of the month.
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    Something really small, yeah Nice run in...

    Something really small, yeah




    Nice run in twitter. 43% is good for a year, especially if you can repeat it.
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    I post my book on twitter. +17% YTD with max 2%...

    I post my book on twitter. +17% YTD with max 2% drawdown. Afraid of hard work or something?
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    Teflon Dow Some things I like this year:...

    Teflon Dow

    Some things I like this year:
    -shippers
    -energies
    -banks
    -bio
    -tech
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    Bill Gross also bearish on bonds now. You're in...

    Bill Gross also bearish on bonds now. You're in good company.
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    Weekly compression and release at the right edge...

    Weekly compression and release at the right edge of a bear flag that's taken a year to build. I'm going to be shorting TLT for the rest of the year in one way or another. Started shorting Monday.
    ...
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    ^^berkshire has quite the team of experts with...

    ^^berkshire has quite the team of experts with varying objectives. I think the salient point is that, absent a highly skilled team of managers, individual managers are best served with a relatively...
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    Good to see that we're both afraid of the future...

    Good to see that we're both afraid of the future and blaming some 'evil' group of people for perceived problems.
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    Literally!

    Literally!
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    Fyi to riot holders. I don't have a d0g in this...

    Fyi to riot holders. I don't have a d0g in this fight, but 7 figure short sellers are all over that ticker right now. Read & decide for yourself.
    ...
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    Secular bull Rotation in lieu of crashes

    Secular bull

    Rotation in lieu of crashes
  29. Replies
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    Recency bias, 2 substantial crashes in the last...

    Recency bias, 2 substantial crashes in the last 20 years.
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    Finviz is really nice to scan and reference news...

    Finviz is really nice to scan and reference news & basic value data, it's primarily used as a scanner but has a decent chart function as well.

    Rates going up is certainly worth considering, yields...
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    Flight to safety of pot stocks

    Flight to safety of pot stocks
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    .

    .
  33. Replies
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    Interesting, I know zippy about BC implementation...

    Interesting, I know zippy about BC implementation but am happy to ride the wave. What tickers are involved outside of RIOT? I saw MARA but will give a look this week to see if any others are set up...
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    The thing about RIOT is that it's a failed...

    The thing about RIOT is that it's a failed biotech firm. It has a price signature of accumulation going back to February, then the name change from BIOP to RIOT blew the roof off its price. I'd be...
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    Nice article on crypto-bonanza: ...

    Nice article on crypto-bonanza:

    https://seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4127443-bitcoin-big-short-moment-approaches
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    https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20171103/91a5b314...

    https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20171103/91a5b314a959b91726a3b1f5bd77aa43.jpg
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    A semi that actually respects the flow of traffic...

    A semi that actually respects the flow of traffic would be hudge. They may need more time to figure out how to automate heavy loads in the mountain west though.
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    Price contracted for the better part of a year,...

    Price contracted for the better part of a year, then range started to expand a month or two ago. Now the sector's searching for a new trend.
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    Look, I read an article on bloomberg about this....

    Look, I read an article on bloomberg about this. You don't want to come at me.
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    But.. and Touche

    But..

    and


    Touche
  41. Replies
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    One thing about those periodic cycles. You can...

    One thing about those periodic cycles. You can statistically predict the start, but the rest is guesswork (duration, eventual top).

    Example, I lucked out on AUPH and sold 60% near highs. Closed...
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    I bought some AUPH towards the end of the...

    I bought some AUPH towards the end of the session. Pray for me

    TWTR trading laikaboss
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    Like short AMZN, long WMT short TSLA, long F...

    Like

    short AMZN, long WMT
    short TSLA, long F

    The market is dumb in that it herds, but infallible in that it's really tough to sell for a different price than the highest bid.

    Over time,...
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    They're entrenched. News often breaks there...

    They're entrenched.

    News often breaks there first & outlets constantly use its contributors to stay up to date. Utility is there without question, the street just hates their prioritization of...
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    A bout of auto silliness will have a hard time...

    A bout of auto silliness will have a hard time arresting a global investing trend towards equities. Money needs to sit somewhere, and bonds are shit atm unless you're very selective.
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    Great for consumer, but I think people are...

    Great for consumer, but I think people are smoking hopium on AMZN as a profit center. I've long been a fan of their delivery, but don't believe their margins are as scalable as some think.
    ...
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    Fade the coins near term, it's a tulip frenzy....

    Fade the coins near term, it's a tulip frenzy. I'll look to buy ETH after it collapses.

    https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20170614/9b7c76f912debdfe76b986563d1acc74.jpg
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    The Uber quote was borrowed from a point John...

    The Uber quote was borrowed from a point John Arnold was making re: parallels in missing executive level management across both Uber & the Trump admin.

    Maybe the PE investors have a handle on...
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    There's a lot of money rotating between indexes...

    There's a lot of money rotating between indexes as 4m noted. Russell is an equity canary for risk appetite along with Nasdaq. As long as IWM is doing well, it's hard to be bearish. Pharma had some...
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    Tech is carrying absurd valuations now. Central...

    Tech is carrying absurd valuations now. Central banks are buying equities in this cycle as well, which makes equity markets incredibly hard to understand, much less predict.

    A credit cycle of some...
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