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  1. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    Ukraine: The Latest daily podcast from the...

    Ukraine: The Latest
    daily podcast from the Telegraph (UK news)
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K96UpvXm3D8

    I'd seen earlier pieces that were janky, but just listened to two of these and they...
  2. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    As armchair general, I support MV's promotion to...

    As armchair general, I support MV's promotion to armchair field marshal. There's only a few bridges and rail lines carrying most of Russia's occupation logistics. Should be relatively easy to cut...
  3. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    Supposedly that's been going on for months if not...

    Supposedly that's been going on for months if not years. Primarily to motivate the colonial troops (LPR, DPR). I think it's barbaric. Though, maybe pre-modern is a better term, as many armies used...
  4. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    I favor looking at policies and how and why they...

    I favor looking at policies and how and why they fail, and looking for better approaches. I went for a walk after writing that, and was thinking China is an example where more pressure should have...
  5. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    Much of this reeks of predicting the past, and...

    Much of this reeks of predicting the past, and concluding general principles from specific instances.

    There are many examples of democratic transitions following decades of trade with autocracies....
  6. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    As a Russian historian for about 6 months, here's...

    As a Russian historian for about 6 months, here's what I've gathered:

    Putin in Russia is an infallible king, like all czars, and favored by god. If his policy failed it was either executed poorly,...
  7. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    I think it's worse. Though as I start to sketch...

    I think it's worse. Though as I start to sketch the argument, wtf, who compares genocides? Russia aims to convert or exterminate an entire nation.

    Here's Snyder again, on Russia's declaration of...
  8. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    A historian's pre-war essay on Russian...

    A historian's pre-war essay on Russian imperialism:
    https://snyder.substack.com/p/how-to-think-about-war-in-ukraine

    quote from same:
  9. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    Here's a Yale history prof lecturing on this...

    Here's a Yale history prof lecturing on this topic this semester. His lectures are good so far, I'm going to watch them all.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Om_A5TTQMm0
  10. Replies
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    They should post a video of that warm body...

    They should post a video of that warm body moving. Maybe there's some gait clues. And tell us what tool was used - an angle grinder, a fierce wind gust, or something else.

    Maybe the image is just...
  11. Replies
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    is that the business/HQ near temple square or...

    is that the business/HQ near temple square or something new? Been a couple decades since I took the tour.
  12. Replies
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    20,126

    Link to original thread...

    Link to original thread
    https://www.tetongravity.com/forums/showthread.php/329091-Gondola-cable-snaps
  13. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    Unlikely to be enough (not saying it won't...

    Unlikely to be enough (not saying it won't happen). Likely a cold conflict remains for decades, complete with continued efforts to restore the empire. Maybe eventually, the Russians throw off the...
  14. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    I blame autocorrect, but it was a brainfart.

    I blame autocorrect, but it was a brainfart.
  15. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    That's good. One nit (Am I allowed to kibbitz...

    That's good.

    One nit (Am I allowed to kibbitz a general?) I wonder what he means by the "RU commanders will likely try to defend the key logistics hub of Kupyansk on the Donets River." Hertling...
  16. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    So someone woke up this morning, discovered...

    So someone woke up this morning, discovered nukes, and is frightened. Welcome to the world the rest of us have lived in for the better part of a century.

    I haven't followed deterrence ideas...
  17. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    I saw that. FOX, or at least Tucker, seems to...

    I saw that. FOX, or at least Tucker, seems to have lost touch with reality. :nonono2:
    Presumably that's a reflection of RU propaganda. Sad and concerning.
  18. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    Telenko's comments: He says the Ukrainians...

    Telenko's comments:

    He says the Ukrainians captured a bunch of Russian supply trains in Kharkiv oblast. And with this materiel, they are good for another 5-10 days on offense. He adds that Russia...
  19. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    After I posted that I looked at CNN who says they...

    After I posted that I looked at CNN who says they have a crew in Kupiansk and report there's still fighting in the area (Sunday). So, yeah. Ukraine is likely waiting for more flags and consolidating...
  20. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    I'm not reading much last couple days. Return to...

    I'm not reading much last couple days. Return to normal after last week's frenzy and it just seems quiet due to withdrawal? Or is this the unusual silence that means Ukraine's army is kicking ass?
    ...
  21. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    Ha! re: Maga - I believe a useful, careful...

    Ha!

    re: Maga - I believe a useful, careful discussion can be had. However that discussion sits on a narrow pedestal with steep cliffs to poliass, so said discussion requires care. Best to try in...
  22. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    Yep. Most Americans still believe Saddam attacked...

    Yep. Most Americans still believe Saddam attacked us 21 years ago, among many other lies from that era. Our media is much freer than Russia's. Disinformation is durable. Try to counter it and you're...
  23. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    You're right ofc. Putin believes Ukraine is...

    You're right ofc. Putin believes Ukraine is russia, so the border's gotta be watched.

    I'm seeing a new positive sign that the Russian army may respect the border. Supposedly RU forces in the...
  24. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    Dunno. Russians seem to be staying on their side...

    Dunno. Russians seem to be staying on their side of the border up around Sumy. I'm sorta assuming Ukraine won't need a massive military presence at the border and the Russians will stay on their side...
  25. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    Any armchair generals here? That know about...

    Any armchair generals here? That know about planning campaigns?

    There's a meme going around that shows a "leaked" map of UA's Kherson war plan. It's a two pronged assault, the north prong is the...
  26. Replies
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    WSJ on economic effects of drying Great Salt Lake...

    WSJ on economic effects of drying Great Salt Lake
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k6oSNLkIBEg

    Notably less snow due to less lake effect. They didn't mention the feedback connection.
  27. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    I find it fascinating how other people can be...

    I find it fascinating how other people can be fully convinced that reality differs from my reality. For Russians and Chinese, we might argue that's due to information censoring and government...
  28. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    Time flies. Now they're supposedly 60km further,...

    Time flies. Now they're supposedly 60km further, in Blahodativka, 3 km from Kupyansk. Shelling reported there too. Counteroffensive progress seems unbelievable. Hope they can hold it. Shoot I hope...
  29. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    Kupyansk... I've been waiting to see that name...

    Kupyansk... I've been waiting to see that name ever since the Rooskies got pushed back from Kharkiv. Rail lines from Russian depots run through there to the Izium region. Volchansk is another good...
  30. I'm proposing we put it in the trash, not litter...

    I'm proposing we put it in the trash, not litter it.
  31. They didn't find much, and as a point source, it...

    They didn't find much, and as a point source, it seems easily mitigated. If you're worried about microplastics leaking into the environment, stop wearing and washing clothes, especially ski clothes...
  32. Thread: Ukraine

    by LongShortLong
    Replies
    9,817
    Views
    597,859

    Telenko's take is interesting...

    Telenko's take is interesting
    https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1567227150926766081.html
    He think's the DPRK ammo is likely old enough and crappy enough that we'll be seeing exploding Russian...
  33. Replies
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    My argument was a simple projection of the growth...

    My argument was a simple projection of the growth rate, and a call to do something about it. Also, an observation that at that time, there was no sign the early efforts were effective. I never argued...
  34. Replies
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    You forgot my qualifier - "if the growth rate...

    You forgot my qualifier - "if the growth rate continues." And the usual disclaimer about future results.

    And the growth has indeed slowed. I considered posting about it a couple weeks ago, but...
  35. Good non-answer. Where's the harm in landfilling...

    Good non-answer. Where's the harm in landfilling a crapload of plastic? Does this harm outweigh the benefit of using the plastic? Is there a better alternative to plastic? As near as I can tell, all...
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    When a leader leaves office peacefully and later...

    When a leader leaves office peacefully and later dies of old age, that is a good sign for a country. Have nothing else nice to say about Russia. RIP Gorby.
  37. Replies
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    Zing!

    Zing!
  38. Replies
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    Funny this should come up as I posted my plastic...

    Funny this should come up as I posted my plastic rant. My city has decided we're separating food scraps into separate bins now. I question the economics and environmental impact, though I can see...
  39. Another thread covering the topic previously. No...

    Another thread covering the topic previously. No conclusion, though others argue for landfill solution....
  40. I see some are offended by the thought we put our...

    I see some are offended by the thought we put our used plastic in a landfill. Why? Somewhere upthread, someone mentions landfill cost at $100/ton (same price here). What's the environmental problem...
  41. Bumping an old thread that seems relevant. ...

    Bumping an old thread that seems relevant.

    It's becoming clear to many people that recycling most (all?) plastic doesn't make sense. Why can't we just throw it away?

    I understand that many...
  42. Replies
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    Hear hear! Also accepting canals from Yukon,...

    Hear hear! Also accepting canals from Yukon, Columbia, or Missouri Rivers. Cover them in solar panels to make the greenies happy.
  43. Replies
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    Don't worry, you're getting 50% more government...

    Don't worry, you're getting 50% more government than you pay for, and have been for a couple decades. People wanted wars, tax cuts for aristocratic estates, and tax cuts for the wealthy and...
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    I guess this goes here instead of the student...

    I guess this goes here instead of the student loan thread

    BBC says deficit spending is free money. Fire up the presses. Brrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr....
  45. Replies
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    Other recent gov't policies have cut taxes for...

    Other recent gov't policies have cut taxes for the corporations and wealthy, so they won't be paying for this. This will be added to the national debt. Since we've chosen not to pay our debt, we'll...
  46. Replies
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    True, but the public already bears the cost. The...

    True, but the public already bears the cost. The coffee shop philosophy major is a misallocation of an intelligent human. To the degree they become bitter at their loans and the government, and tune...
  47. Replies
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    De facto admission that the current student loan...

    De facto admission that the current student loan system is broken, in that it's a debt trap for some people. The fundamental problem is people ought to be able to declare bankruptcy about as easily...
  48. Replies
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    Thanks for trying to jinx it. I like my breeze....

    Thanks for trying to jinx it. I like my breeze. Oops did I antijinx?
  49. Replies
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    Single issue polls are an exceptionally bad way...

    Single issue polls are an exceptionally bad way to decide policy. The question probably wasn't framed at all. Should we give a bunch of people ice cream? Yay!

    Should we take $1000 for every...
  50. Replies
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    Yes. Something about a constitution in this...

    Yes. Something about a constitution in this country. "takings clause"
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